Duke Blue Devils
ACC
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #44
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 6.6 (#44)
- SP+ Offense
- 34.8
- SP+ Defense
- 29.2
- SRS
- 5.2
- FPI
- 6.4
- Elo
- 1622
- Talent
- 669
- Recruiting
- 189 (#71)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
5.8p10 4.0 — p90 8.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 0.3% | |
| Make CFP | 0.2% | |
| Quarterfinal | 0.0% | |
| Semifinal | 0.0% | |
| Natl. final | 0.0% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.0% |
Schedule
proj record 5.9–6.1
Schedule
48th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
67th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
38th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsTulane | +6.3 | 26-25 | +1.2 | 53% | — |
| 2 | @Illinois | +12.9 | 18-30 | -11.4 | 24% | — |
| 3 | vsStanford | -11.8 | 32-21 | +10.7 | 74% | — |
| 4 | vsWilliam & Mary | FCS | 45-3* | +42.4 | 100% | — |
| 6 | @Georgia Tech | +9.3 | 19-28 | -8.8 | 29% | — |
| 7 | vsNorth Carolina | -6.6 | 31-22 | +9.9 | 72% | — |
| 8 | @Virginia | +11.1 | 20-29 | -9.1 | 29% | — |
| 9 | vsBoston College | -8.5 | 30-19 | +11.0 | 75% | — |
| 10 | @NC State | +4.8 | 20-29 | -9.2 | 29% | — |
| 11 | @Miami | +20.7 | 16-33 | -17.3 | 15% | — |
| 12 | vsClemson | +9.5 | 25-28 | -3.5 | 41% | — |
| 13 | @Wake Forest | +5.7 | 23-24 | -0.5 | 48% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 3
2026 · 63
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Walker Eget← San José State | SR | 6'3" | 223 | ★★★ |
| QB | — | Blaine Hipa← Princeton | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| QB | — | Ari Patu← North Alabama | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Running Backs · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Nate Sheppard | FR | 5'10" | 195 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 2nd | Anderson Castle | SR | 6'0" | 220 | ★★★ |
| RB | 3rd | Jaquez Moore | SR | 5'10" | 205 | — |
| RB | 4th | CJ Campbell Jr.← Rutgers | SR | 5'10" | 210 | ★★★ |
| RB | 5th | Travis Bates | JR | 5'11" | 200 | — |
| RB | — | Wilhelm Daal II← Yale | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Wide Receivers · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Sahmir Hagans | SR | 5'10" | 190 | — |
| WR | 2nd | Javen Nicholas← Charlotte | JR | 5'9" | 190 | ★★★ |
| WR | 3rd | Andrel Anthony | SR | 6'1" | 186 | — |
| WR | 4th | Jayden Moore | FR | 5'8" | 185 | — |
| WR | — | Jared Richardson← Pennsylvania | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| WR | — | Jonah Burton← Idaho State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Tight Ends · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Jeremiah Hasley | JR | 6'3" | 245 | ★★★ |
| TE | 2nd | Landen King | SR | 6'5" | 230 | ★★★ |
| TE | 3rd | Nate Kurisky← Louisville | JR | 6'3" | 240 | ★★★ |
| TE | 4th | Jake Taylor | JR | 6'5" | 235 | ★★★ |
Offensive Line · 2
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OT | — | Nick Del Grande← Coastal Carolina | JR | 6'4" | 300 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Braden Miller← California | JR | 6'6" | 315 | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 13
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | 1st | Vincent Anthony Jr. | SR | 6'6" | 250 | ★★★★ |
| DE | 2nd | Tyshon Reed | SO | 6'3" | 235 | — |
| DE | 3rd | Bryce Davis | FR | 6'3" | 260 | ★★★★ |
| DE | 4th | Kobe Smith | FR | 6'3" | 225 | — |
| DE | 5th | Kevin O'Connor | SO | 6'4" | 245 | — |
| DE | 6th | Semaj Turner | SO | 6'3" | 255 | ★★★ |
| DE | 7th | Sampson Onuoha | FR | 6'3" | 230 | — |
| DL | 1st | Owen Wafle← Penn State | FR | 6'2" | 295 | ★★★ |
| DL | — | Dakota Quinonez← Dartmouth | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| DT | 1st | Josiah Green | SR | 6'1" | 280 | — |
| DT | 2nd | Aaron Hall | SR | 6'4" | 290 | — |
| DT | 3rd | Preston Watson | SO | 6'1" | 295 | ★★★ |
| DT | 4th | David Anderson | SO | 6'4" | 290 | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 11
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Luke Mergott | SO | 6'3" | 230 | ★★★ |
| LB | 2nd | Jaiden Francois | SR | 5'10" | 195 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 3rd | Tre Freeman | SR | 6'0" | 230 | — |
| LB | 4th | Kendall Johnson | SO | 6'3" | 225 | — |
| LB | 5th | Elliott Schaper | FR | 6'3" | 205 | — |
| LB | 6th | Nick Morris Jr. | SR | 6'3" | 235 | — |
| LB | 7th | Bradley Gompers | FR | 6'5" | 210 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 8th | Jon Morris← UConn | FR | 6'2" | 200 | ★★★ |
| LB | 9th | Dawson Andrew | SR | 5'11" | 200 | — |
| LB | 10th | Will Felder Jr. | FR | 6'0" | 195 | ★★★ |
| LB | 11th | Asher Wasserman | FR | 6'2" | 220 | — |
Defensive Backs · 14
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Landan Callahan | FR | 5'11" | 180 | — |
| CB | 2nd | Kimari Robinson | SO | 5'10" | 180 | — |
| CB | 3rd | Dylan Flowers← Western Kentucky | SR | 5'10" | 178 | ★★★ |
| CB | 4th | Evan Smith← Northwestern | JR | 5'10" | 185 | ★★★ |
| CB | 5th | Kaleb Lanier | FR | 6'0" | 180 | — |
| CB | — | Kyon Loud← Montana | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| S | 1st | Caleb Weaver | SR | 5'11" | 190 | — |
| S | 2nd | DaShawn Stone | SO | 6'3" | 195 | — |
| S | 3rd | Patrick Smith-Young← North Texas | JR | 5'9" | 190 | ★★★ |
| S | 4th | Che Ojarikre← Stanford | SO | 6'2" | 205 | ★★★ |
| S | 5th | Andrew Pellicciotta | FR | 5'11" | 190 | ★★★ |
| S | 6th | George Wright | SR | 5'11" | 205 | — |
| S | 7th | Kenzy Paul | JR | 6'0" | 215 | ★★★ |
| S | 8th | Leon Griffin III | SO | 5'11" | 190 | ★★★ |
Special Teams · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LS | 1st | Curtis Cooper | SR | 6'2" | 225 | — |
| P | 1st | Kade Reynoldson | SO | 6'2" | 195 | — |
| PK | 1st | Todd Pelino | SR | 6'3" | 190 | — |
| PK | 2nd | Cosme Salas | SO | 5'7" | 185 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
5.9
Exp. Losses
6.1
Toss-ups
3
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
34.887
Off PPA
+0.2585
Pass PPA
+0.3884
Rush PPA
+0.0943
Success
46%78
Explosive
1.3382
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.25 | +0.22 |
| Passing | +0.38 | +0.39 |
| Rushing | +0.09 | +0.09 |
| 1st Down | +0.02 | +0.04 |
| 2nd Down | +0.21 | +0.22 |
| 3rd Down | +0.57 | +0.71 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
34.0
PPG Against
28.7
Differential
+5.3
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 8-5
- Home
- 3-3
- Away
- 4-2
- Neutral
- 1-0
- Conference
- 6-2
- Non-Conference
- 2-3
- One-Score (≤8)
- 3-2
- Avg Margin
- +5.3
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 3-3 | 32.2 | 31.3 |
| Away | 4-2 | 37.0 | 27.5 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 34.5 | 29.5 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 0-1 | 19.0 | 45.0 |
| Conference | 6-2 | 36.3 | 27.5 |
| Non-conference | 3-3 | 32.3 | 32.0 |
Season History · last 12
0 AP top-10 · 8 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-5 | 6-2 | #44 | — | 1-0 |
| 2024 | 9-3 | 5-3 | #44 | — | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 7-5 | 4-4 | #29 | #16 | 1-0 |
| 2022 | 8-4 | 5-3 | #55 | — | 1-0 |
| 2021 | 3-9 | 0-8 | #113 | — | — |
| 2020 | 2-9 | 1-9 | #87 | — | — |
| 2019 | 5-7 | 3-5 | #68 | — | — |
| 2018 | 7-5 | 3-5 | #51 | — | 1-0 |
| 2017 | 6-6 | 3-5 | #46 | — | 1-0 |
| 2016 | 4-8 | 1-7 | #80 | — | — |
| 2015 | 7-5 | 4-4 | #65 | — | 1-0 |
| 2014 | 9-3 | 5-3 | #47 | — | 0-1 |
Recent Form · last 5
4-1 SU · 2-1 ATS · O2/U2
Betting Profile
2025 · 13 w/ line
| Straight up | 9-5 |
| ATS | 6-5-155% |
| Over / Under | 9-4 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 4-3 |
| As underdog | 2-2 |
| Home | 2-3 |
| Away | 3-2 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #53 · 15 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★123 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #71 | 189 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 2025 | #30 | 221 | 0 | 4 | 13 |
| 2024 | #61 | 184 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| 2023 | #56 | 192 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| 2022 | #52 | 187 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| 2021 | #58 | 176 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2020 | #61 | 172 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2019 | #49 | 191 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 2018 | #63 | 177 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 2017 | #47 | 184 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 19net +2Out 17
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.0 / 3.2
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Braden Miller | OT | 3★ | ← California |
| ▲ | Dylan Flowers | CB | 3★ | ← Western Kentucky |
| ▲ | Javen Nicholas | WR | 3★ | ← Charlotte |
| ▲ | Che Ojarikre | S | 3★ | ← Stanford |
| ▼ | Darian Mensah | QB | 4★ | → Miami |
| ▼ | Cooper Barkate | WR | 4★ | → Miami |
| ▼ | Terry Moore | S | 4★ | → Ohio State |
| ▼ | Que'Sean Brown | WR | 4★ | → Virginia Tech |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
20 items
- Manny Diaz fights back against 'Duke tiebreaker rule'Duke head coach Manny Diaz did not hold back his feelings when discussing the newly implemented ACC tiebreaker rule.DUKE11h
- Miami QB Darian Mensah rekindles Duke drama at ACC Media Days, alleges 'friction' in locker roomMensah dramatically entered the transfer portal just before it closed, leaving the Blue Devils scrambling
- Biggest Questions Facing Duke Football Entering Fall CampA lot of things have to go right if the Blue Devils are going to be competitive in 2026.DUKE1d
- One Returning Player Ready To Become a Star for DukeA returning player for the Blue Devils was the program's highest-rated recruit ever. He could be ready to become a star in Durham.DUKE2d
- Manny Diaz warns how college football changes can impact fans: ‘We’re going to alienate our next generation’Over the last five years, the college football landscape has changed drastically. The NIL era brought the age of player compensation, and the evolution has continued ever since its arrival in 2021. To Duke coach Manny Diaz, there’s a need to come together and ensure the sport as a whole stays strong. But he also […]DUKE3d
- CFB analyst names Darian Mensah transfer that could change Miami’s title hopesThe college football season is only a month or so away from making its grand arrival. Soon, the sports world will prepare for Week Zero and tune into any matchup it can after seven long months without football. It was…
- Duke coach Manny Diaz asked at ACC Kickoff whether Miami tampered to lure Darian MensahDuke coach Manny Diaz knew he was going to be asked about Darian Mensah during his session with reporters in Charlotte. The post Duke coach Manny Diaz asked at ACC Kickoff whether Miami tampered to lure Darian Mensah appeared first on Saturday Down South.
- SMU coach: Duke should have made CFP, not JMUSMU coach Rhett Lashlee says Duke should have made the college football playoff, not James Madison.DUKE3d
- Ranking Every Duke Football Position Group Entering Fall CampLet's rank each position group for the Duke Blue Devils ahead of the start of fall camp in the coming weeks.DUKE3d
- Ohio State's Newest Safety Named Most Impactful Transfer Before 2026 SeasonOhio State's safety Terry Moore named to Ari Wasserman's Most Impactful Transfer ahead of 2026.
- Duke Football 2026 Top 30 Players Countdown: No. 13Here's another returning corner with a chance to make a major leap in 2026.DUKE4d
- Miami hopes Duke QB transfer Darian Mensah can keep ‘Canes playing at college football’s highest levelMensah’s arrival in Miami followed a tension-filled offseason legal fight between Duke and its elite QB.
- Duke picked to finish in bottom half of ACC football standingsMany see Duke's chances of winning back-to-back ACC football titles as a long shot heading into 2026.DUKE5d
- Duke Football 2026 Top 30 Players Countdown: No. 14Duke's offensive line will be led by this veteran.DUKE5d
- Will the Miami Hurricanes Have College Football's Best Offense in the 2026 Season?Armed with star quarterback Darian Mensah and a deep arsenal of playmakers, Mario Cristobal’s squad looks to outpace national powerhouses and reclaim its status as a scoring juggernaut.
- Duke Football 2026 Top 30 Players Countdown: No. 15Duke lost a lot of its production on the offensive line.DUKE6d
- Duke Football 2026 Top 30 Players Countdown: No. 16This newcomer at cornerback brings a lot of intrigue.DUKE7d
- Every QB Duke Will Face This Season, Ranked From Worst to BestLet's rank every quarterback Duke football will face in 2026.DUKE7d
- Why Duke's Secret Passing Weapon Completely Changes the ACCThe Blue Devils could find production from their returning redshirt sophomore wide receiver, a player who could be a key factor in the passing game.DUKE8d
- Everything Duke Fans Need To Know for 2026 ACC Kickoff2026 ACC Football Kickoff is coming up.DUKE9d