
Liberty Flames
Conference USA
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #102
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- -9.0 (#102)
- SP+ Offense
- 24.6
- SP+ Defense
- 32.8
- SRS
- -10.0
- FPI
- -10.7
- Elo
- 1441
- Talent
- 599
- Recruiting
- 173 (#109)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
7.3p10 5.0 — p90 9.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 13.5% | |
| Make CFP | 0.2% | |
| Quarterfinal | 0.0% | |
| Semifinal | 0.0% | |
| Natl. final | 0.0% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.0% |
Schedule
proj record 7.3–4.7
Schedule
128th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
114th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
133rd
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @James Madison | +12.3 | 20-34 | -14.4 | 19% | — |
| 2 | vsGardner-Webb | FCS | 43-6* | +37.0 | 99% | — |
| 3 | vsBall State | -23 | 33-18 | +14.6 | 81% | — |
| 4 | @Coastal Carolina | -15.1 | 27-26 | +1.0 | 53% | — |
| 5 | @Delaware | -10.9 | 30-30 | +0.1 | 50% | — |
| 6 | vsSam Houston | -27.8 | 35-18 | +16.4 | 84% | — |
| 8 | @Kennesaw State | -5.4 | 25-24 | +0.4 | 51% | — |
| 9 | vsFlorida International | -10.5 | 29-22 | +7.1 | 66% | — |
| 10 | @New Mexico State | -15.5 | 31-27 | +4.0 | 60% | — |
| 11 | vsMiddle Tennessee | -16 | 32-22 | +9.7 | 72% | — |
| 12 | vsWestern Kentucky | +1.6 | 28-29 | -1.4 | 47% | — |
| 13 | @Missouri State | -10.7 | 28-27 | +0.8 | 52% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 4
2026 · 81
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Ethan Vasko | JR | 6'3" | 220 | ★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Deshawn Purdie← Wake Forest | SO | 6'4" | 228 | ★★★ |
| QB | 3rd | Jaylen Henderson← West Virginia | SR | 6'3" | 227 | ★★★ |
| QB | 4th | Ethan Houck | FR | 6'4" | 205 | — |
Running Backs · 9
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Julian Gray | SR | 5'11" | 195 | ★★★ |
| RB | 2nd | Terron Kellman← Wyoming | JR | 5'8" | 210 | ★★★ |
| RB | 3rd | Justin Marshall← Colorado State | SO | 5'10" | 180 | ★★★ |
| RB | 4th | Kanye Udoh← Arizona State | JR | 6'1" | 220 | ★★★ |
| RB | 5th | Caden Williams | FR | 5'10" | 210 | ★★★ |
| RB | 6th | Jaylon Coleman | FR | 5'9" | 155 | ★★★ |
| RB | 7th | Peyton Jones← Duke | JR | 5'10" | 195 | ★★★ |
| RB | 8th | Kam Davis← Florida State | SO | 5'10" | 217 | ★★★ |
| RB | 9th | Jaylin Belford | JR | 5'8" | 175 | — |
Wide Receivers · 11
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Jamari Person | JR | 6'1" | 200 | ★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Jon Monteiro | FR | 6'2" | 200 | — |
| WR | 3rd | Reese Smith | SR | 5'10" | 205 | — |
| WR | 4th | Tyson Mobley | SR | 6'0" | 185 | ★★ |
| WR | 5th | Casey Cain | SR | 6'3" | 200 | ★★★ |
| WR | 6th | Elijah Canion | SR | 6'4" | 225 | ★★★ |
| WR | 7th | Makai Jackson← Indiana | SR | 6'0" | 200 | ★★★ |
| WR | 8th | Eric Smith | FR | 5'9" | 170 | ★★★ |
| WR | 9th | Bryce Randolph | FR | 5'11" | 180 | ★★★ |
| WR | 10th | Darius Copeland | SO | 6'0" | 195 | — |
| WR | — | Refeno Vangates← North Carolina Central | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Tight Ends · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Jacob Jenkins | SR | 6'3" | 235 | — |
| TE | 2nd | Caleb Ryan | JR | 6'2" | 240 | — |
| TE | 3rd | Austin Henderson | SR | 6'5" | 245 | ★★★ |
| TE | — | Bo Burklow | SO | 6'2" | 250 | ★★★ |
| TE | — | Breckan Kirby← North Greenville | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| TE | — | LaKelsey Johnson Jr.← Baylor | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Offensive Line · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Erwil Anthony Jr. | SR | 6'4" | 285 | — |
| OT | — | Val Erickson← NC State | JR | 6'5" | 316 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Kevin Evehe← Saint Francis (PA) | — | — | — | — |
Defensive Line · 15
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | 1st | Samuel Cohen | FR | 6'3" | 245 | ★★★ |
| DL | 1st | Brenton Williams | SO | 6'3" | 260 | — |
| DL | 2nd | CJ Bazile Jr. | SR | 6'1" | 260 | — |
| DL | 3rd | Mike Jarvis | SR | 6'4" | 295 | — |
| DL | 4th | Aaron Hester | JR | 6'2" | 245 | ★★★ |
| DL | 5th | Markus Clark | JR | 6'1" | 295 | ★★★ |
| DL | 6th | DJ Jackson | SO | 6'2" | 280 | — |
| DL | 7th | Bryson Jennings | JR | 6'4" | 245 | ★★★ |
| DL | 8th | Joe Strickland | SO | 6'4" | 290 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 9th | Kam Cullins | FR | 6'4" | 270 | — |
| DL | — | Henry Hicks← Elizabeth City State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| DL | — | John Custis← Emory & Henry College | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| DT | 1st | Nathan Pirolli | SO | 6'3" | 285 | — |
| DT | 2nd | Bryce Dixon | JR | 6'1" | 280 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | — | Lorenzo Payne IV← West Florida | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 9
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Derrell Farrar | SO | 6'1" | 225 | ★★★ |
| LB | 2nd | Joseph Carter | SR | 6'0" | 235 | — |
| LB | 3rd | Micah Pollard | JR | 6'2" | 235 | — |
| LB | 4th | Aidan Vaughan | JR | 6'3" | 220 | ★★★ |
| LB | 5th | Deuce Spurlock | JR | 6'0" | 225 | — |
| LB | 6th | Ethan Crisp | SO | 6'3" | 235 | — |
| LB | 7th | Dillano Glaud | FR | 6'3" | 220 | — |
| LB | 8th | Seneca Moore Jr. | FR | 6'2" | 225 | — |
| LB | 9th | Kyle Ferm← SMU | SO | 6'3" | 232 | ★★★ |
Defensive Backs · 20
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Damond Harmon | SR | 6'0" | 170 | ★★★★ |
| CB | 2nd | Amarian Williams | SR | 5'10" | 175 | ★★★ |
| CB | 3rd | Elijah Hopkins | JR | 5'10" | 195 | ★★★ |
| CB | 4th | Jiquavious Marshall | FR | 6'4" | 180 | ★★★ |
| CB | 5th | Jamal Miles | SO | 6'0" | 180 | ★★★ |
| CB | 6th | Ashton McShane← Boston College | SO | 5'11" | 194 | ★★★ |
| CB | 7th | Ronald Moore Jr. | FR | 5'11" | 195 | ★★★ |
| CB | 8th | Myke Gunn | FR | 6'3" | 180 | ★★★ |
| CB | 9th | Izaiah Guy← South Florida | SR | 6'2" | 200 | ★★★ |
| CB | — | Elijah McKenzie← Bowie State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| CB | — | Tyrell Gainey← Albany State | — | — | — | — |
| S | 1st | D-Icey Hopkins← Georgia State | JR | 5'11" | 187 | ★★★ |
| S | 2nd | A'Khori Jones | SR | 5'10" | 205 | — |
| S | 3rd | Elijah Auguste | SR | 5'9" | 190 | — |
| S | 4th | Brylan Green | SR | 5'9" | 180 | ★★★ |
| S | 5th | Ashton Whitner← Ball State | JR | 5'11" | 201 | ★★★ |
| S | 6th | Eldric Griffin | SR | 5'11" | 200 | — |
| S | 7th | Jalon Rock | SR | 5'10" | 165 | — |
| S | 8th | Tre Lawing | JR | 6'0" | 200 | — |
| S | 9th | Jayden Whaley | SO | 6'2" | 185 | — |
Special Teams · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LS | — | Greg Rivera← Grambling | — | — | — | — |
| P | 1st | Max Morgan | SR | 6'2" | 225 | — |
| PK | 1st | Jay Billingsley | SR | 5'10" | 160 | — |
| PK | 2nd | Brayden Beck | SR | 5'10" | 190 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
7.3
Exp. Losses
4.7
Toss-ups
6
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
24.638
Off PPA
+0.1756
Pass PPA
+0.2347
Rush PPA
+0.1774
Success
44%62
Explosive
1.2133
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
— Overall— Offense— Defense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.17 | +0.20 |
| Passing | +0.23 | +0.25 |
| Rushing | +0.17 | +0.19 |
| 1st Down | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| 2nd Down | +0.21 | +0.12 |
| 3rd Down | +0.52 | +0.62 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
25.6
PPG Against
26.5
Differential
-0.9
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 4-8
- Home
- 3-3
- Away
- 1-5
- Conference
- 3-5
- Non-Conference
- 1-3
- One-Score (≤8)
- 1-4
- Avg Margin
- -0.9
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 3-3 | 31.5 | 27.3 |
| Away | 1-5 | 19.7 | 25.7 |
| Competition | |||
| Conference | 3-5 | 30.8 | 29.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-3 | 15.3 | 20.5 |
Season History · last 12
0 AP top-10 · 6 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-8 | 3-5 | #102 | — | — |
| 2024 | 8-3 | 5-3 | #71 | — | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 13-0 | 9-0 | #33 | #18 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 8-4 | 2-1 | #73 | #19 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 7-5 | 0-0 | #49 | — | 1-0 |
| 2020 | 9-1 | 0-0 | #38 | — | 1-0 |
| 2019 | 7-5 | 0-0 | #74 | — | 1-0 |
| 2018 | 6-6 | 0-0 | #121 | — | — |
| 2017 | 6-5 | 2-3 | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 6-5 | 4-1 | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 6-5 | 3-3 | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 9-5 | 4-1 | — | — | — |
Recent Form · last 5
1-4 SU · 1-4 ATS · O4/U1
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 4-8 |
| ATS | 3-925% |
| Over / Under | 6-6 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 2-7 |
| As underdog | 1-2 |
| Home | 1-5 |
| Away | 2-4 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #123 · 0 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★91 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #109 | 173 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| 2025 | #86 | 161 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 2024 | #105 | 143 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2023 | #111 | 121 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2022 | #98 | 126 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2021 | #111 | 129 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2020 | #95 | 147 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2019 | #135 | 108 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2018 | #137 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2017 | #171 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 26net +7Out 19
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.0 / 3.0
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Makai Jackson | WR | 3★ | ← Indiana |
| ▲ | Kam Davis | RB | 3★ | ← Florida State |
| ▲ | Kanye Udoh | RB | 3★ | ← Arizona State |
| ▲ | Ashton McShane | CB | 3★ | ← Boston College |
| ▼ | Donte Lee Jr. | WR | 3★ | → Texas Tech |
| ▼ | Devin Henderson | S | 3★ | → App State |
| ▼ | Evan Dickens | RB | 3★ | → Boston College |
| ▼ | Michael Merdinger | QB | 3★ | → Minnesota |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
0 items
No recent news.