Team·
Liberty Flames
Conference USA
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #102
Ratings
2025 final
SP+
-9.0 (#102)
SP+ Offense
24.6
SP+ Defense
32.8
SRS
-10.0
FPI
-10.7
Elo
1441
Talent
599
Recruiting
173 (#109)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
7.3p10 5.0 — p90 9.0
RoundProb
Win conference13.5%
Make CFP0.2%
Quarterfinal0.0%
Semifinal0.0%
Natl. final0.0%
Natl. champ0.0%
Schedule
proj record 7.34.7
Schedule
128th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
114th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
133rd
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
WkOpponentSP+ScoreProjWin%Res
1@James Madison+12.320-34-14.419%
2vsGardner-WebbFCS43-6*+37.099%
3vsBall State-2333-18+14.681%
4@Coastal Carolina-15.127-26+1.053%
5@Delaware-10.930-30+0.150%
6vsSam Houston-27.835-18+16.484%
8@Kennesaw State-5.425-24+0.451%
9vsFlorida International-10.529-22+7.166%
10@New Mexico State-15.531-27+4.060%
11vsMiddle Tennessee-1632-22+9.772%
12vsWestern Kentucky+1.628-29-1.447%
13@Missouri State-10.728-27+0.852%
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 4
2026 · 81
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
QB1stEthan VaskoJR6'3"220★★★
QB2ndDeshawn PurdieWake ForestSO6'4"228★★★
QB3rdJaylen HendersonWest VirginiaSR6'3"227★★★
QB4thEthan HouckFR6'4"205
Running Backs · 9
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
RB1stJulian GraySR5'11"195★★★
RB2ndTerron KellmanWyomingJR5'8"210★★★
RB3rdJustin MarshallColorado StateSO5'10"180★★★
RB4thKanye UdohArizona StateJR6'1"220★★★
RB5thCaden WilliamsFR5'10"210★★★
RB6thJaylon ColemanFR5'9"155★★★
RB7thPeyton JonesDukeJR5'10"195★★★
RB8thKam DavisFlorida StateSO5'10"217★★★
RB9thJaylin BelfordJR5'8"175
Wide Receivers · 11
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
WR1stJamari PersonJR6'1"200★★★
WR2ndJon MonteiroFR6'2"200
WR3rdReese SmithSR5'10"205
WR4thTyson MobleySR6'0"185★★
WR5thCasey CainSR6'3"200★★★
WR6thElijah CanionSR6'4"225★★★
WR7thMakai JacksonIndianaSR6'0"200★★★
WR8thEric SmithFR5'9"170★★★
WR9thBryce RandolphFR5'11"180★★★
WR10thDarius CopelandSO6'0"195
WRRefeno VangatesNorth Carolina Central★★★
Tight Ends · 6
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
TE1stJacob JenkinsSR6'3"235
TE2ndCaleb RyanJR6'2"240
TE3rdAustin HendersonSR6'5"245★★★
TEBo BurklowSO6'2"250★★★
TEBreckan KirbyNorth Greenville★★★
TELaKelsey Johnson Jr.Baylor★★★
Offensive Line · 3
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
OLErwil Anthony Jr.SR6'4"285
OTVal EricksonNC StateJR6'5"316★★★
OTKevin EveheSaint Francis (PA)
Defensive Line · 15
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
DE1stSamuel CohenFR6'3"245★★★
DL1stBrenton WilliamsSO6'3"260
DL2ndCJ Bazile Jr.SR6'1"260
DL3rdMike JarvisSR6'4"295
DL4thAaron HesterJR6'2"245★★★
DL5thMarkus ClarkJR6'1"295★★★
DL6thDJ JacksonSO6'2"280
DL7thBryson JenningsJR6'4"245★★★
DL8thJoe StricklandSO6'4"290★★★★
DL9thKam CullinsFR6'4"270
DLHenry HicksElizabeth City State★★★
DLJohn CustisEmory & Henry College★★★
DT1stNathan PirolliSO6'3"285
DT2ndBryce DixonJR6'1"280★★★
EDGELorenzo Payne IVWest Florida★★★
Linebackers · 9
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
LB1stDerrell FarrarSO6'1"225★★★
LB2ndJoseph CarterSR6'0"235
LB3rdMicah PollardJR6'2"235
LB4thAidan VaughanJR6'3"220★★★
LB5thDeuce SpurlockJR6'0"225
LB6thEthan CrispSO6'3"235
LB7thDillano GlaudFR6'3"220
LB8thSeneca Moore Jr.FR6'2"225
LB9thKyle FermSMUSO6'3"232★★★
Defensive Backs · 20
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
CB1stDamond HarmonSR6'0"170★★★★
CB2ndAmarian WilliamsSR5'10"175★★★
CB3rdElijah HopkinsJR5'10"195★★★
CB4thJiquavious MarshallFR6'4"180★★★
CB5thJamal MilesSO6'0"180★★★
CB6thAshton McShaneBoston CollegeSO5'11"194★★★
CB7thRonald Moore Jr.FR5'11"195★★★
CB8thMyke GunnFR6'3"180★★★
CB9thIzaiah GuySouth FloridaSR6'2"200★★★
CBElijah McKenzieBowie State★★★
CBTyrell GaineyAlbany State
S1stD-Icey HopkinsGeorgia StateJR5'11"187★★★
S2ndA'Khori JonesSR5'10"205
S3rdElijah AugusteSR5'9"190
S4thBrylan GreenSR5'9"180★★★
S5thAshton WhitnerBall StateJR5'11"201★★★
S6thEldric GriffinSR5'11"200
S7thJalon RockSR5'10"165
S8thTre LawingJR6'0"200
S9thJayden WhaleySO6'2"185
Special Teams · 4
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
LSGreg RiveraGrambling
P1stMax MorganSR6'2"225
PK1stJay BillingsleySR5'10"160
PK2ndBrayden BeckSR5'10"190
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
7.3
Exp. Losses
4.7
Toss-ups
6
2550751Wk 1 @ James Madison (SP+ #27) — 19% win, proj -14.4Wk 2 vs Gardner-Webb — 99% win, proj +37.0 · FCS est.3Wk 3 vs Ball State (SP+ #132) — 81% win, proj +14.6Wk 4 @ Coastal Carolina (SP+ #121) — 53% win, proj +1.05Wk 5 @ Delaware (SP+ #109) — 50% win, proj +0.1Wk 6 vs Sam Houston (SP+ #135) — 84% win, proj +16.4Wk 8 @ Kennesaw State (SP+ #89) — 51% win, proj +0.49Wk 9 vs Florida International (SP+ #107) — 66% win, proj +7.1Wk 10 @ New Mexico State (SP+ #123) — 60% win, proj +4.011Wk 11 vs Middle Tennessee (SP+ #127) — 72% win, proj +9.7Wk 12 vs Western Kentucky (SP+ #69) — 47% win, proj -1.413Wk 13 @ Missouri State (SP+ #108) — 52% win, proj +0.8WEEK
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ OffOff PPAPass PPARush PPASuccessExplosive
SP+ Off
24.638
Off PPA
+0.1756
Pass PPA
+0.2347
Rush PPA
+0.1774
Success
44%62
Explosive
1.2133
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
-100102030402018 · SP+ Overall: -19.72019 · SP+ Overall: -2.62020 · SP+ Overall: 6.52021 · SP+ Overall: 8.42022 · SP+ Overall: -1.52023 · SP+ Overall: 8.02024 · SP+ Overall: 0.22025 · SP+ Overall: -9.02018 · SP+ Offense: 25.12019 · SP+ Offense: 29.32020 · SP+ Offense: 34.22021 · SP+ Offense: 32.12022 · SP+ Offense: 24.12023 · SP+ Offense: 36.22024 · SP+ Offense: 28.22025 · SP+ Offense: 24.62018 · SP+ Defense: 41.72019 · SP+ Defense: 32.02020 · SP+ Defense: 27.62021 · SP+ Defense: 23.12022 · SP+ Defense: 25.42023 · SP+ Defense: 26.32024 · SP+ Defense: 26.62025 · SP+ Defense: 32.81819202122232425SEASON
OverallOffenseDefense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Projected Leaders
2026 proj
Pass YdsVasko1,828·Purdie1,240·Houck256
Rush YdsUdoh361·Kellman314·Marshall312
Rec YdsPerson359·Monteiro194·Ryan185
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
SplitOffenseDefense
Overall+0.17+0.20
Passing+0.23+0.25
Rushing+0.17+0.19
1st Down+0.00+0.00
2nd Down+0.21+0.12
3rd Down+0.52+0.62