Pro Baseball Terminal — MLB projections, standings & analytics

Matthew Liberatore

P · STL

26 yrs

Pitcher

Description

Position: P
Team: STL
Type: Pitcher
Bats: Left
Throws: Left
Born: 1999-11-06
Age: 26
Country: USA
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 215 lb
Last active: 2026

Career Résumé

5 seasons

Seasons	5 2022–2026
Games	135
W-L	19-28
ERA	4.74
WHIP	1.41
IP	406
SO	339
SV	0

Pitching Projections

2026 · per ~700 BF

Stat	Proj	Range (p10–p90)	vs LY
SO	138	111–166	-2
BB	49	42–68	-2
HR	22	15–30	+1
Hits	165	140–181	-2
ER	83	61–105	+2

Pitching

Regular season

Season	Tm	W	L	ERA	WHIP	G	GS	IP	SO	BB	HR	ER	xERA	Brl%
2026	STL	3	4	5.23	1.56	15	15	72.1	67	27	15	42	5.70	10.9%
2025	STL	8	12	4.21	1.31	29	29	151.2	122	40	19	71	4.86	10.6%
2024	STL	3	4	4.40	1.27	60	6	86.0	76	28	11	42	4.16	7.1%
2023	STL	3	6	5.25	1.48	22	11	61.2	46	25	5	36	6.04	8.5%
2022	STL	2	2	5.97	1.73	9	7	34.2	28	18	5	23	5.59	8.8%

Fielding

Regular season · OAA 2016+

Season	Pos	G	GS	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	FLD%	RF/9	OAA
2026	P	14	14	70.2	3	8	0	1	1.000	1.40	—
2025	P	29	29	151.2	4	12	0	0	1.000	0.95	—
2024	P	60	6	86.0	4	17	1	2	.955	2.20	—
2023	P	22	11	61.2	3	6	0	0	1.000	1.31	—
2022	P	9	7	34.2	0	2	0	0	1.000	0.52	—

Batting game log

2026 · last 2

Date		Opp	Res	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB
2026-06-24	vs	AZ	L	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-06-18	@	KC	L	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Pitching game log

2026 · last 16

Date		Opp	Res	Dec	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	Pit
2026-06-24	vs	AZ	L	L	5.1	8	6	6	2	2	3	98
2026-06-18	@	KC	L	L	1.2	7	7	5	1	0	2	48
2026-06-13	@	MIN	W	ND	4.1	5	4	4	3	1	4	70
2026-06-06	vs	CIN	W	ND	4.1	4	5	3	1	3	4	84
2026-05-31	vs	CHC	W	W	5.1	3	0	0	0	1	4	85
2026-05-25	@	MIL	L	L	5.0	7	3	3	1	2	10	101
2026-05-19	vs	PIT	W	ND	4.2	7	4	4	0	2	9	77
2026-05-13	@	ATH	L	L	5.0	9	4	4	1	2	5	89
2026-05-07	@	SD	W	W	6.0	3	1	1	0	3	6	81
2026-05-01	vs	LAD	W	W	5.2	5	2	2	0	2	4	96
2026-04-25	vs	SEA	L	ND	3.1	8	5	5	3	1	3	64
2026-04-19	@	HOU	W	ND	6.0	3	1	1	0	2	4	82
2026-04-13	vs	CLE	L	L	5.0	6	4	4	1	3	2	105
2026-04-07	@	WSH	W	ND	5.0	9	4	4	2	2	6	92
2026-04-01	vs	NYM	W	ND	6.0	3	1	1	1	1	2	76
2026-03-26	vs	TB	W	ND	5.0	7	1	1	1	2	2	78

2026 · vs 168

K/9

8.349

BB/9

3.440

HR/9

1.98

ERA

5.2320

WHIP

1.5612

xERA

5.708

Brl%A

10.9%13

PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league

Career Highs

Stat	Best	Year
Wins	8	2025
SO	122	2025
SV	0	2026
ERA	4.21	2025
WHIP	1.27	2024

Comparable Players

2026 · stat-profile similarity

Mike BurrowsHOU26y
5.79 ERA · 66 K · 1.58 WHIP
91%
vs
Edward CabreraCHC28y
5.21 ERA · 61 K · 1.40 WHIP
91%
vs
Aaron NolaPHI33y
5.71 ERA · 77 K · 1.48 WHIP
90%
vs
Tyler MahleSF31y
6.04 ERA · 57 K · 1.54 WHIP
89%
vs
Jack LeiterTEX26y
5.29 ERA · 83 K · 1.44 WHIP
86%
vs

Career Arc

ERA by season · taller = better

Year over Year

pitching trajectory

Yr	Tm	W	ERA	WHIP	SO	IP
22	STL	2	5.97	1.73	28	35
23	STL	3▲	5.25▼	1.48▼	46▲	62▲
24	STL	3	4.40▼	1.27▼	76▲	86▲
25	STL	8▲	4.21▼	1.31▲	122▲	152▲
26	STL	3▼	5.23▲	1.56▲	67▼	72▼

Career Milestones

chase to the next mark

Wins19

31 to 50

Strikeouts339

661 to 1,000

Season

Pitch Arsenal

2025 · Statcast

Pitch	Use	Velo	Spin
4-Seam	29%	93.9	2114
Slider	21%	86.4	2690
Curve	15%	77.5	2964
Sinker	12%	94.0	2097
Changeup	12%	88.4	1802
Cutter	11%	90.2	2500

Plate Discipline

2025 · induced

29.1%

Chase

lg 28.5%

66.4%

Z-Swing

lg 67%

18.5%

Whiff

lg 24.5%

81.5%

Contact

lg 76%

51.2%

Zone

lg 48.5%

25.7%

CSW

lg 28%

2,461 pitches · green/red vs league avg

Statcast Trend

xERA by season · taller = better

Barrel% Against by season · taller = better

Per game	9.8
Ceiling (90th)	20.7
Floor (10th)	-0.9
Std dev	8.5
Boom rate	38%
Bust rate	25%
Profile	Volatile