MLB Terminal — projections, standings & analytics

Nathan Church

LF · STL

26 yrs

Hitter

Description

Position: LF
Team: STL
Type: Hitter
Bats: Left
Throws: Left
Born: 2000-07-12
Age: 26
Country: USA
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 180 lb
Last active: 2026

Career Résumé

2 seasons

Seasons	2 2025–2026
Games	108
HR	9
RBI	37
Runs	39
Hits	67
SB	6
AVG	.220

Projections

2026 · model

Stat	Proj	Range (p10–p90)	vs LY
HR	16	7–24	−2
RBI	72	40–93	−4
Runs	78	61–94	−2
Hits	142	115–160	+0
2B	28	18–33	−0
3B	3	0–6	+1
SB	11	0–27	−0
BB	49	30–67	+1
SO	165	121–195	+4

Regular season

Season	Tm	G	PA	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA	xwOBA	Brl%	HH%	EV	Spd
2026	STL	81	266	249	30	57	9	1	8	29	5	3	13	56	.229	.271	.369	.640	.278	.278	7.8%	31.8%	86.0	28.5
2025	STL	27	65	56	9	10	1	0	1	8	1	0	3	18	.179	.254	.250	.504	.232	.247	2.4%	41.5%	89.0	28.7

Regular season · OAA 2016+

Season	Pos	G	GS	Inn	PO	A	E	FLD%	RF/9	OAA
2026	CF	49	37	334.1	85	1	2	.977	2.32	+2
2026	LF	36	28	253.0	55	1	0	1.000	1.99	0
2026	RF	3	3	23.0	7	1	0	1.000	3.13	—
2025	CF	18	15	135.0	43	2	0	1.000	3.00	—
2025	RF	7	1	16.1	5	0	1	.833	2.76	—
2025	LF	5	1	13.0	7	0	0	1.000	4.85	—

2026 · last 81

Date		Opp	Res	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB
2026-07-20	@	LAA	W	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
2026-07-19	@	AZ	L	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2026-07-18	@	AZ	L	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2026-07-17	@	AZ	W	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-07-12	vs	ATL	L	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-07-11	vs	ATL	W	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2026-07-10	vs	ATL	W	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-07-09	vs	MIL	L	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2026-07-08	vs	MIL	W	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-07-07	vs	MIL	L	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
2026-07-07	vs	MIL	L	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2026-07-06	vs	MIL	L	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-07-05	@	CHC	L	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2026-07-04	@	CHC	W	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0
2026-07-03	@	CHC	W	5	2	2	0	0	1	3	0	1	0
2026-07-02	@	ATL	W	5	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0
2026-07-01	@	ATL	L	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-06-30	@	ATL	W	4	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0
2026-06-28	vs	MIA	W	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-06-27	vs	MIA	L	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
2026-06-26	vs	MIA	L	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-06-24	vs	AZ	L	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-06-23	vs	AZ	L	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2026-06-22	vs	AZ	W	3	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	1
2026-06-21	@	KC	W	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0
2026-06-19	@	KC	L	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0
2026-06-18	@	KC	L	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-06-17	vs	SD	L	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-06-16	vs	SD	W	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0
2026-06-15	vs	SD	W	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0
2026-06-14	@	MIN	L	3	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	0
2026-06-13	@	MIN	W	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
2026-06-12	@	MIN	L	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2026-06-11	@	NYM	L	4	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	0
2026-06-10	@	NYM	W	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2026-06-09	@	NYM	W	4	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-05-20	vs	PIT	L	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
2026-05-19	vs	PIT	W	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2026-05-17	vs	KC	L	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2026-05-16	vs	KC	W	3	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-05-15	vs	KC	W	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1
2026-05-14	@	ATH	W	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-05-13	@	ATH	L	4	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
2026-05-12	@	ATH	W	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
2026-05-10	@	SD	L	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2026-05-09	@	SD	L	3	0	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	0
2026-05-08	@	SD	W	4	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-05-07	@	SD	W	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2026-05-06	vs	MIL	L	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-05-04	vs	MIL	W	4	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-05-03	vs	LAD	L	4	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-05-02	vs	LAD	W	4	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-05-01	vs	LAD	W	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0
2026-04-30	@	PIT	W	5	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	0
2026-04-29	@	PIT	W	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
2026-04-28	@	PIT	W	5	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-04-27	@	PIT	W	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
2026-04-26	vs	SEA	L	4	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
2026-04-25	vs	SEA	L	4	2	2	0	0	2	4	0	0	0
2026-04-24	vs	SEA	L	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-04-22	@	MIA	L	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0
2026-04-21	@	MIA	W	4	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	1
2026-04-19	@	HOU	W	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0
2026-04-18	@	HOU	W	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
2026-04-17	@	HOU	W	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1
2026-04-15	vs	CLE	W	4	2	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	1
2026-04-14	vs	CLE	W	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
2026-04-13	vs	CLE	L	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-04-11	vs	BOS	L	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-04-10	vs	BOS	W	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-04-08	@	WSH	W	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
2026-04-07	@	WSH	W	2	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0
2026-04-06	@	WSH	L	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-04-05	@	DET	W	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2026-04-04	@	DET	L	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
2026-04-03	@	DET	L	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2026-04-01	vs	NYM	W	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-03-31	vs	NYM	W	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0
2026-03-30	vs	NYM	L	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
2026-03-28	vs	TB	W	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2026-03-26	vs	TB	W	4	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0

2026 · vs 318

xwOBA

.27813

AVG

.22929

SLG

.36931

Barrel%

7.8%52

Hard%

31.8%16

86.09

BB%

4.9%10

21.1%56

Speed

28.583

PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league

Career Highs

Stat	Best	Year
HR	8	2026
RBI	29	2026
Runs	30	2026
Hits	57	2026
SB	5	2026
AVG	.229	2026
OBP	.271	2026
OPS	.640	2026

Comparable Players

2026 · stat-profile similarity

Edmundo SosaPHI30y
.224 AVG · 5 HR · .630 OPS
92%
vs
Dylan CrewsWSH24y
.206 AVG · 7 HR · .628 OPS
90%
vs
Marcus SemienNYM35y
.207 AVG · 9 HR · .595 OPS
88%
vs
Colt KeithDET24y
.256 AVG · 8 HR · .702 OPS
88%
vs
Jo AdellLAA27y
.239 AVG · 14 HR · .676 OPS
87%
vs

Career Arc

OPS by season

Year over Year

batting trajectory

Yr	Tm	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OPS
25	STL	1	8	1	.179	.504
26	STL	8▲	29▲	5▲	.229▲	.640▲

Career Milestones

chase to the next mark

433 to 500

HR9

91 to 100

RBI37

463 to 500

Runs39

461 to 500

SB6

94 to 100

Per game	5.2
Ceiling (90th)	15.0
Floor (10th)	0.0
Std dev	6.8
Boom rate	26%
Bust rate	48%
Profile	Volatile