NBA Projections · FG%

2023-24 (model vs actual) · per-game

84% of these 100 landed inside their p10–p90 band · a season projection is a full-health baseline over the top projected players, so a big miss is often missed games, not the model

StatPoints Rebounds Assists Steals Blocks 3PM Turnovers FG%FT%

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Projected leaders · Top 100

2023-24 · actual vs p50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG% ↓	FT%	Range	Actual	Δ
1	Robert Williams III	C	POR	8.1	8.6	1.4	0.7	1.5	0.0	0.9	.712	.646	.576–.773	.654	−.058
2	Udoka Azubuike	C	TOT	4.2	4.1	0.4	0.3	0.6	0.0	0.7	.711	.595	.475–.836	.696	−.015
3	Daniel Gafford	F	DAL	9.7	6.3	1.1	0.5	1.3	0.0	1.1	.697	.669	.586–.753	.725	+.028
4	Jericho Sims	C	MIL	5.1	5.0	0.6	0.3	0.6	0.0	0.6	.696	.573	.557–.762	.691	−.005
5	Mitchell Robinson	C	BOS	7.8	9.7	0.8	0.8	1.7	0.0	0.8	.695	.524	.596–.763	.575	−.120
6	Nic Claxton	C	CHI	12.6	9.1	1.6	0.7	2.0	0.0	1.2	.686	.553	.600–.747	.629	−.057
7	DeAndre Jordan	C	NOP	4.4	5.1	0.7	0.2	0.6	0.0	0.9	.683	.547	.553–.842	.624	−.059
8	Walker Kessler	C	LAL	10.0	9.4	1.1	0.4	2.0	0.0	0.9	.676	.580	.527–.789	.654	−.022
9	Rudy Gobert	C	MIN	12.9	11.2	1.2	0.7	1.5	0.0	1.6	.675	.647	.576–.737	.661	−.014
10	Jarrett Allen	C	CLE	14.6	10.1	1.7	0.7	1.2	0.0	1.5	.653	.724	.576–.700	.634	−.019
11	Mason Plumlee	C	SAS	8.9	8.2	2.9	0.6	0.6	0.0	1.4	.651	.560	.574–.744	.569	−.082
12	Onyeka Okongwu	F	ATL	9.9	7.6	1.2	0.7	1.2	0.0	1.1	.650	.749	.550–.722	.611	−.039
13	Clint Capela	C	HOU	10.9	11.6	0.9	0.6	1.2	0.0	0.9	.638	.573	.562–.660	.571	−.067
14	Dwight Powell	F	DAL	6.8	4.5	1.0	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.8	.636	.733	.531–.779	.679	+.043
15	Jalen Duren	C	DET	10.3	9.4	1.3	0.6	0.9	0.0	1.5	.634	.638	.523–.724	.619	−.015
16	Jakob Poeltl	C	TOR	11.5	9.0	2.5	0.7	1.3	0.0	1.5	.633	.579	.541–.643	.656	+.023
17	Charles Bassey	C	GSW	6.4	5.5	1.2	0.5	0.9	0.1	0.9	.632	.676	.523–.700	.725	+.093
18	Richaun Holmes	F	TOT	6.7	4.0	0.8	0.2	0.7	0.1	0.7	.629	.760	.447–.729	.558	−.071
19	Damian Jones	C	TOT	4.5	3.6	0.8	0.3	0.6	0.3	0.7	.628	.726	.494–.801	.597	−.031
20	Nick Richards	C	CHI	7.1	5.9	0.6	0.2	0.8	0.0	0.8	.624	.735	.516–.679	.691	+.067
21	Moses Brown	C	TOT	5.4	5.0	0.2	0.3	0.7	0.0	0.7	.619	.590	.439–.638	.508	−.111
22	Ivica Zubac	C	IND	10.8	9.9	1.3	0.4	1.1	0.0	1.5	.618	.726	.571–.666	.649	+.031
23	Mark Williams	C	PHX	9.4	7.6	0.5	0.6	1.0	0.0	1.0	.617	.693	.494–.680	.649	+.032
24	Robin Lopez	C	TOT	4.6	2.4	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.0	0.8	.613	.660	.399–.735	.368	−.245
25	Bismack Biyombo	C	SAS	4.8	4.9	0.9	0.3	1.1	0.0	0.9	.605	.520	.409–.684	.565	−.040
26	Boban Marjanovic	C	TOT	3.6	2.6	0.4	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.6	.604	.718	.458–.705	.529	−.075
27	Brandon Clarke	F	TOT	8.9	5.3	1.3	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.8	.603	.701	.554–.667	.559	−.044
28	Deandre Ayton	C	WAS	17.7	10.4	1.7	0.6	0.8	0.2	1.7	.597	.760	.546–.682	.570	−.027
29	Kevon Looney	F	LAL	7.3	8.6	2.3	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.7	.596	.613	.531–.617	.597	+.001
30	Luke Kornet	C	SAS	5.0	3.4	0.9	0.2	0.7	0.2	0.5	.595	.749	.482–.665	.700	+.105
31	Zion Williamson	F	NOP	26.3	6.9	4.4	1.0	0.6	0.3	3.0	.589	.714	.535–.652	.570	−.019
32	Alex Len	C	TOT	4.0	3.1	0.7	0.2	0.7	0.1	0.6	.586	.638	.349–.703	.617	+.031
33	Paul Reed	F	DET	5.2	4.1	0.6	0.7	0.7	0.1	0.7	.584	.676	.450–.692	.540	−.044
34	Thomas Bryant	C	CLE	9.9	6.0	0.9	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.7	.583	.756	.517–.671	.577	−.006
35	Cody Zeller	C	TOT	5.5	4.4	0.9	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.8	.582	.733	.453–.678	.419	−.163
36	Nikola Jokic	C	DEN	24.9	12.0	8.9	1.2	0.7	1.0	3.4	.580	.828	.530–.649	.583	+.003
37	Ben Simmons	PG	TOT	7.8	5.9	5.5	1.2	0.5	0.0	2.2	.580	.566	.475–.631	.581	+.001
38	Drew Eubanks	F	SAC	7.3	5.6	1.4	0.5	1.0	0.1	1.0	.575	.722	.547–.674	.601	+.026
39	Xavier Tillman	F	CHA	7.2	4.8	1.4	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.8	.573	.626	.485–.643	.434	−.139
40	Isaiah Jackson	F	LAC	8.9	5.2	0.9	0.6	1.4	0.1	1.0	.573	.688	.483–.640	.665	+.092
41	JaVale McGee	C	TOT	5.2	3.7	0.5	0.2	0.7	0.0	1.0	.573	.661	.433–.765	.598	+.025
42	Domantas Sabonis	F	SAC	19.2	12.2	6.6	0.9	0.4	0.5	2.9	.572	.747	.519–.653	.594	+.022
43	Gary Payton II	G	GSW	5.5	3.2	1.1	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	.571	.681	.526–.681	.563	−.008
44	Andre Drummond	C	NYK	7.0	7.3	1.0	0.8	0.6	0.0	1.3	.570	.584	.410–.668	.556	−.014
45	Day'Ron Sharpe	C	BKN	6.9	5.3	0.9	0.4	0.7	0.2	1.0	.569	.632	.437–.649	.571	+.002
46	Jaxson Hayes	C	UTA	8.2	4.4	0.8	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.8	.568	.746	.473–.714	.720	+.152
47	Terry Taylor	F	TOT	5.3	3.2	0.8	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.6	.564	.699	.478–.699	.513	−.051
48	Jarred Vanderbilt	F	LAL	8.7	8.0	2.1	1.1	0.4	0.4	1.2	.560	.663	.499–.626	.518	−.042
49	Bruno Fernando	F	TOT	4.1	3.4	0.7	0.2	0.6	0.0	0.7	.554	.689	.418–.632	.583	+.029
50	Wenyen Gabriel	F	TOT	5.7	3.9	0.7	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.7	.550	.635	.477–.635	.364	−.186
51	Giannis Antetokounmpo	F	MIA	29.1	11.3	5.5	0.9	0.9	0.9	3.4	.548	.686	.495–.586	.611	+.063
52	KJ Martin	F	TOT	13.0	5.3	1.6	0.6	0.5	0.8	1.2	.546	.683	.487–.598	.536	−.010
53	James Wiseman	C	TOT	10.0	5.4	0.8	0.3	0.7	0.1	1.3	.545	.680	.479–.586	.613	+.068
54	Trendon Watford	F	PHI	8.5	4.2	2.2	0.6	0.3	0.5	1.1	.545	.745	.468–.622	.527	−.018
55	Jonas Valanciunas	C	DEN	14.7	10.0	1.8	0.3	0.6	0.5	1.9	.544	.815	.477–.588	.559	+.015
56	Larry Nance Jr.	F	IND	6.8	5.3	1.7	0.9	0.4	0.3	0.7	.544	.686	.485–.620	.573	+.029
57	Kevin Durant	F	HOU	27.7	6.6	5.3	0.7	1.2	2.1	3.2	.541	.899	.480–.581	.523	−.018
58	Taj Gibson	F	MEM	3.8	2.8	0.6	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.5	.541	.710	.375–.662	.405	−.136
59	Anthony Gill	F	WAS	3.8	2.3	0.6	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.3	.540	.735	.415–.617	.469	−.071
60	Tristan Thompson	C	TOT	6.0	5.1	0.8	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.8	.540	.570	.414–.619	.613	+.073
61	Bam Adebayo	C	MIA	20.5	9.2	3.6	1.1	0.8	0.2	2.5	.539	.789	.494–.602	.521	−.018
62	Anthony Davis	F	WAS	25.0	11.2	2.8	1.0	1.7	0.5	2.0	.538	.760	.482–.605	.556	+.018
63	Orlando Robinson	C	TOT	4.6	4.2	0.9	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.7	.536	.711	.354–.633	.500	−.036
64	Bol Bol	C	TOT	7.8	4.5	1.0	0.4	0.9	0.5	1.3	.533	.710	.469–.593	.616	+.083
65	Isaiah Hartenstein	C	OKC	6.8	6.8	1.5	0.7	0.8	0.2	0.9	.533	.691	.509–.651	.644	+.111
66	Zeke Nnaji	F	DEN	7.2	3.4	0.7	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.7	.531	.674	.404–.655	.463	−.068
67	Hamidou Diallo	G	TOT	9.0	3.9	1.2	0.9	0.3	0.2	1.2	.530	.650	.436–.626	.500	−.030
68	Thaddeus Young	F	TOT	5.3	3.3	1.8	0.9	0.2	0.2	0.9	.530	.611	.411–.645	.602	+.072
69	Evan Mobley	C	CLE	17.8	9.0	2.9	0.8	1.5	0.5	2.1	.527	.688	.481–.585	.579	+.052
70	Alperen Sengun	C	HOU	15.7	8.5	3.9	0.9	0.9	0.4	2.6	.526	.712	.447–.588	.537	+.011
71	T.J. McConnell	G	IND	8.4	3.1	4.9	1.0	0.2	0.4	1.6	.526	.792	.479–.595	.556	+.030
72	Moussa Diabate	F	CHA	4.9	3.4	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.6	.525	.680	.290–.620	.526	+.001
73	Aaron Gordon	F	DEN	15.4	6.1	2.8	0.7	0.6	1.0	1.5	.524	.674	.442–.600	.556	+.032
74	Dominick Barlow	F	PHI	6.3	4.4	1.0	0.5	0.7	0.1	0.7	.524	.715	.351–.621	.496	−.028
75	Javonte Green	G	DET	5.6	3.1	0.7	0.7	0.4	0.4	0.5	.523	.761	.473–.606	.600	+.077
76	Goga Bitadze	C	ORL	6.3	4.1	1.1	0.4	0.9	0.3	0.7	.522	.685	.341–.650	.603	+.081
77	Joel Embiid	C	PHI	29.4	10.6	4.1	1.0	1.4	1.1	3.3	.520	.844	.484–.574	.529	+.009
78	Chimezie Metu	PF	TOT	6.2	3.8	0.9	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.7	.518	.754	.383–.640	.504	−.014
79	Jontay Porter	C	TOT	4.7	3.5	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.7	.517	.663	.392–.710	.385	−.132
80	Kenrich Williams	G	OKC	8.1	4.8	1.8	0.8	0.2	0.9	0.7	.517	.562	.424–.591	.468	−.049
81	Myles Turner	C	MIL	16.3	7.2	1.3	0.6	2.2	1.4	1.5	.517	.782	.436–.590	.524	+.007
82	Wendell Carter Jr.	C	ORL	15.2	8.9	2.4	0.6	0.6	1.2	1.8	.514	.727	.452–.587	.525	+.011
83	Jonathan Kuminga	F	ATL	11.0	3.8	1.8	0.6	0.4	0.8	1.4	.513	.689	.434–.594	.529	+.016
84	Jusuf Nurkic	C	UTA	13.1	8.8	2.6	0.8	0.7	0.6	2.1	.513	.682	.455–.577	.510	−.003
85	Thanasis Antetokounmpo	F	MIL	3.3	2.4	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.5	.512	.634	.303–.794	.533	+.021
86	Marvin Bagley III	F	DEN	12.8	6.6	0.9	0.5	0.5	0.5	1.0	.511	.695	.444–.602	.586	+.075
87	Kawhi Leonard	F	LAC	24.0	6.5	4.0	1.3	0.5	2.0	1.7	.511	.885	.460–.562	.525	+.014
88	Draymond Green	F	GSW	7.4	6.8	6.6	1.0	0.7	0.5	2.5	.510	.714	.428–.582	.497	−.013
89	Karl-Anthony Towns	C	NYK	23.0	8.7	4.5	0.8	0.8	2.2	2.9	.510	.841	.465–.539	.504	−.006
90	Zach Collins	F	CHI	11.6	6.3	2.7	0.6	0.7	0.9	1.8	.510	.772	.438–.583	.484	−.026
91	Naz Reid	C	CHA	11.5	4.8	1.2	0.6	0.9	1.1	1.2	.509	.726	.425–.594	.477	−.032
92	Jalen Williams	G	OKC	15.7	4.7	3.5	1.2	0.5	1.1	1.6	.509	.812	.452–.583	.540	+.031
93	Jock Landale	C	ATL	7.2	4.1	1.0	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.9	.509	.774	.361–.653	.515	+.006
94	John Collins	F	DET	14.3	7.0	1.4	0.6	0.9	1.1	1.1	.509	.800	.455–.573	.532	+.023
95	Jaden Springer	G	TOT	4.9	2.1	1.0	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.5	.508	.717	.372–.661	.399	−.109
96	Jimmy Butler III	F	GSW	21.2	5.6	5.1	1.7	0.3	0.5	1.7	.506	.858	.466–.584	.499	−.007
97	Josh Green	G	MIN	8.2	2.9	1.5	0.7	0.1	1.0	1.0	.505	.708	.434–.589	.479	−.026
98	DeMar DeRozan	G	SAC	24.4	4.7	5.0	1.0	0.4	0.7	2.0	.505	.871	.467–.535	.480	−.025
99	LeBron James	F	PHI	26.4	8.0	6.5	0.9	0.6	2.3	3.1	.504	.746	.471–.546	.540	+.036
100	Josh Minott	F	BKN	5.5	3.4	0.8	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.5	.504	.785	.309–.604	.472	−.032