NBA Projections · FG%

2024-25 (model vs actual) · per-game

88% of these 100 landed inside their p10–p90 band · a season projection is a full-health baseline over the top projected players, so a big miss is often missed games, not the model

StatPoints Rebounds Assists Steals Blocks 3PM Turnovers FG%FT%

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Projected leaders · Top 100

2024-25 · actual vs p50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG% ↓	FT%	Range	Actual	Δ
1	Jericho Sims	C	MIL	3.8	4.5	0.7	0.3	0.5	0.0	0.5	.717	.645	.431–.826	.634	−.083
2	Daniel Gafford	F	DAL	10.3	7.6	1.4	0.7	1.6	0.0	1.0	.716	.673	.563–.721	.702	−.014
3	Trayce Jackson-Davis	F	TOR	8.1	5.2	1.3	0.5	1.1	0.0	0.9	.682	.627	.511–.760	.576	−.106
4	Dereck Lively II	C	DAL	9.6	7.4	1.2	0.6	1.4	0.0	1.1	.676	.597	.541–.777	.702	+.026
5	Nick Richards	C	CHI	8.7	7.3	0.7	0.3	0.9	0.0	1.0	.670	.730	.581–.725	.591	−.079
6	DeAndre Jordan	C	NOP	3.9	4.3	0.6	0.2	0.5	0.0	0.6	.669	.498	.408–.810	.650	−.019
7	Dwight Powell	F	DAL	4.9	3.8	1.3	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.6	.665	.691	.444–.857	.689	+.024
8	Luke Kornet	C	SAS	5.4	4.0	1.0	0.3	0.7	0.1	0.4	.661	.799	.534–.709	.668	+.007
9	Walker Kessler	C	LAL	8.8	7.9	1.1	0.5	2.1	0.1	1.1	.658	.610	.565–.749	.663	+.005
10	Charles Bassey	C	GSW	5.3	4.9	1.3	0.5	0.9	0.1	0.8	.657	.662	.480–.717	.581	−.076
11	Rudy Gobert	C	MIN	12.9	12.2	1.3	0.6	1.8	0.0	1.5	.655	.642	.583–.718	.669	+.014
12	Mitchell Robinson	C	BOS	6.4	9.3	0.7	0.9	1.3	0.0	0.9	.646	.482	.523–.748	.661	+.015
13	Nic Claxton	C	CHI	11.6	9.9	1.8	0.7	1.8	0.0	1.3	.643	.573	.569–.700	.563	−.080
14	Jaxson Hayes	C	UTA	6.3	4.5	0.8	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.8	.642	.704	.461–.738	.722	+.080
15	Jarrett Allen	C	CLE	16.0	10.4	2.5	0.7	1.1	0.0	1.6	.635	.733	.570–.667	.706	+.071
16	Ivica Zubac	C	IND	10.8	9.3	1.3	0.4	1.2	0.0	1.3	.632	.711	.571–.664	.628	−.004
17	Neemias Queta	C	BOS	5.7	4.8	0.6	0.4	0.7	0.0	0.6	.630	.661	.418–.708	.650	+.020
18	Jakob Poeltl	C	TOR	10.5	8.6	2.3	0.7	1.3	0.0	1.5	.627	.573	.580–.679	.627	+.000
19	Mason Plumlee	C	SAS	6.3	5.6	1.7	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.9	.624	.619	.418–.706	.619	−.005
20	Mark Williams	C	PHX	11.6	8.9	0.8	0.7	1.0	0.0	0.9	.624	.695	.555–.683	.604	−.020
21	Jalen Duren	C	DET	15.0	11.2	2.4	0.6	0.8	0.0	2.1	.622	.733	.540–.674	.692	+.070
22	Isaiah Hartenstein	C	OKC	6.9	7.6	2.3	0.9	1.0	0.1	1.2	.611	.707	.541–.643	.581	−.030
23	Clint Capela	C	HOU	10.2	10.6	1.1	0.6	1.1	0.0	0.9	.603	.599	.526–.642	.559	−.044
24	Onyeka Okongwu	F	ATL	10.5	6.9	1.3	0.6	1.1	0.4	0.9	.597	.774	.564–.663	.567	−.030
25	Alex Len	C	TOT	2.9	3.1	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.0	0.6	.593	.633	.372–.677	.508	−.085
26	Isaiah Jackson	F	LAC	8.0	4.6	0.9	0.6	1.2	0.1	0.9	.593	.687	.516–.733	.609	+.016
27	Steven Adams	C	HOU	7.5	10.7	2.2	0.7	0.8	0.0	1.5	.587	.480	.498–.635	.545	−.042
28	Richaun Holmes	F	TOT	4.6	3.9	0.5	0.2	0.4	0.0	0.6	.586	.749	.461–.742	.647	+.061
29	Bruno Fernando	F	TOT	5.2	3.6	0.9	0.4	0.6	0.0	0.8	.585	.689	.496–.668	.531	−.054
30	Moses Brown	C	TOT	4.4	4.4	0.3	0.3	0.5	0.0	0.6	.584	.507	.442–.710	.694	+.110
31	James Wiseman	C	TOT	7.6	5.2	0.9	0.3	0.6	0.0	1.1	.583	.697	.502–.662	.500	−.083
32	Domantas Sabonis	F	SAC	19.3	12.5	7.4	0.8	0.5	0.5	3.1	.582	.727	.543–.620	.590	+.008
33	Day'Ron Sharpe	C	BKN	7.0	6.4	1.3	0.4	0.7	0.1	1.1	.581	.627	.484–.653	.520	−.061
34	Zion Williamson	F	NOP	24.4	6.3	4.9	1.1	0.6	0.2	2.8	.580	.720	.527–.653	.567	−.013
35	Kevon Looney	F	LAL	5.8	5.9	2.0	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.7	.579	.632	.530–.652	.514	−.065
36	Gary Payton II	G	GSW	5.0	2.9	1.0	0.9	0.3	0.5	0.5	.578	.682	.474–.659	.574	−.004
37	Drew Eubanks	F	SAC	6.5	4.8	1.1	0.4	0.7	0.1	0.9	.577	.739	.529–.672	.593	+.016
38	Deandre Ayton	C	WAS	16.5	10.6	1.7	0.8	0.7	0.1	1.8	.576	.777	.543–.635	.566	−.010
39	Ben Simmons	PG	TOT	6.0	6.4	4.9	0.9	0.5	0.1	1.8	.575	.507	.429–.656	.520	−.055
40	Nikola Jokic	C	DEN	26.6	12.5	8.8	1.3	0.7	1.1	3.2	.575	.822	.538–.642	.576	+.001
41	Giannis Antetokounmpo	F	MIA	29.1	11.4	5.7	1.0	1.0	0.6	3.3	.574	.669	.525–.629	.601	+.027
42	Andre Drummond	C	NYK	7.5	7.3	0.7	0.8	0.5	0.0	1.0	.574	.598	.481–.622	.500	−.074
43	Moussa Diabate	F	CHA	4.8	3.4	0.6	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.5	.571	.632	.252–.571	.596	+.025
44	Bismack Biyombo	C	SAS	4.2	4.7	0.9	0.3	0.8	0.0	0.8	.571	.485	.477–.683	.588	+.017
45	Thomas Bryant	C	CLE	7.4	4.7	0.7	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.6	.570	.772	.495–.719	.508	−.062
46	Tristan Thompson	C	TOT	3.7	4.4	0.9	0.3	0.4	0.0	0.7	.569	.482	.385–.678	.437	−.132
47	Jay Huff	C	IND	4.1	2.9	0.6	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.4	.564	.791	.431–.715	.515	−.049
48	Goga Bitadze	C	ORL	6.2	4.5	1.3	0.5	0.9	0.1	0.8	.561	.657	.500–.669	.611	+.050
49	Marvin Bagley III	F	DEN	11.7	6.3	1.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	1.0	.557	.748	.490–.620	.519	−.038
50	Kai Jones	PF	TOT	3.9	2.9	0.6	0.4	0.6	0.1	0.7	.557	.678	.444–.706	.798	+.241
51	Evan Mobley	C	CLE	16.1	9.2	3.2	0.9	1.4	0.4	1.9	.555	.695	.506–.603	.557	+.002
52	Anthony Davis	F	WAS	24.9	11.5	3.2	1.1	1.9	0.4	2.0	.552	.794	.493–.589	.516	−.036
53	Tony Bradley	C	ATL	4.5	3.2	0.5	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.5	.547	.708	.372–.780	.644	+.097
54	Jonas Valanciunas	C	DEN	12.3	8.6	1.9	0.4	0.6	0.5	1.5	.547	.802	.477–.589	.550	+.003
55	Aaron Gordon	F	DEN	13.6	6.1	3.0	0.7	0.6	0.6	1.4	.546	.663	.479–.598	.531	−.015
56	Leonard Miller	F	CHI	4.7	3.5	0.9	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.5	.546	.704	.388–.805	.400	−.146
57	T.J. McConnell	G	IND	8.9	2.8	5.0	0.9	0.1	0.3	1.4	.545	.822	.445–.602	.519	−.026
58	Moritz Wagner	F	BKN	10.3	4.4	1.4	0.5	0.3	0.6	1.1	.545	.823	.472–.623	.562	+.017
59	Paul Reed	F	DET	7.0	5.6	1.1	0.8	0.8	0.2	0.8	.542	.712	.497–.612	.507	−.035
60	Trey Jemison III	F	NYK	6.6	5.5	1.0	0.5	0.9	0.1	1.2	.541	.761	.439–.594	.554	+.013
61	Trendon Watford	F	PHI	7.8	3.9	1.8	0.5	0.3	0.5	1.1	.539	.765	.425–.639	.469	−.070
62	Nate Williams	G	GSW	5.3	2.7	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.3	0.5	.537	.646	.409–.699	.435	−.102
63	KJ Martin	F	TOT	6.5	3.4	1.2	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.8	.536	.663	.461–.677	.552	+.016
64	Colin Castleton	C	ORL	4.4	3.1	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.4	.534	.748	.343–.692	.469	−.065
65	Larry Nance Jr.	F	IND	5.8	4.7	1.7	0.9	0.3	0.3	0.8	.532	.743	.497–.679	.516	−.016
66	Bol Bol	C	TOT	6.1	4.1	0.7	0.3	0.7	0.5	0.8	.532	.759	.493–.718	.525	−.007
67	Orlando Robinson	C	TOT	3.9	3.0	1.2	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.7	.532	.767	.400–.585	.444	−.088
68	Joel Embiid	C	PHI	30.0	10.7	5.0	1.1	1.5	1.2	3.5	.531	.846	.487–.555	.444	−.087
69	Bam Adebayo	C	MIA	19.5	9.9	3.8	1.1	0.8	0.2	2.3	.528	.777	.494–.574	.485	−.043
70	Jarred Vanderbilt	F	LAL	6.8	6.0	1.6	1.1	0.3	0.3	1.0	.526	.689	.490–.621	.488	−.038
71	Kevin Durant	F	HOU	26.7	6.2	5.0	0.8	1.2	2.0	3.1	.526	.881	.487–.558	.527	+.001
72	Jalen Williams	G	OKC	18.5	4.2	4.6	1.2	0.6	1.4	1.8	.524	.822	.478–.565	.484	−.040
73	Dominick Barlow	F	PHI	6.1	4.2	1.3	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.6	.521	.726	.369–.613	.531	+.010
74	Alperen Sengun	C	HOU	19.6	8.8	4.9	1.1	0.8	0.5	2.6	.520	.715	.480–.573	.496	−.024
75	Kawhi Leonard	F	LAC	23.7	6.0	3.6	1.4	0.6	2.1	1.7	.518	.882	.482–.547	.498	−.020
76	Amen Thompson	G	HOU	10.1	6.9	2.9	1.1	0.6	0.3	1.5	.518	.704	.434–.598	.557	+.039
77	Skal Labissiere	C	TOT	5.3	3.8	1.1	0.3	0.6	0.2	0.8	.516	.748	.397–.613	.500	−.016
78	Jalen Smith	F	CHI	10.4	5.8	1.1	0.3	0.7	1.0	0.9	.515	.746	.449–.612	.466	−.049
79	Wendell Carter Jr.	C	ORL	11.9	7.4	2.0	0.6	0.5	1.1	1.3	.515	.721	.460–.578	.460	−.055
80	Jusuf Nurkic	C	UTA	10.6	10.0	3.2	0.9	0.8	0.4	2.1	.515	.674	.462–.572	.477	−.038
81	Jonathan Kuminga	F	ATL	16.7	4.5	2.1	0.7	0.5	0.9	1.6	.515	.711	.474–.567	.454	−.061
82	Aaron Wiggins	G	ATL	7.0	3.2	1.3	0.7	0.3	0.8	0.8	.514	.793	.421–.621	.488	−.026
83	Myles Turner	C	MIL	16.3	6.9	1.4	0.6	1.7	1.6	1.4	.513	.778	.472–.560	.481	−.032
84	Obi Toppin	F	IND	10.2	3.8	1.5	0.5	0.5	1.1	0.9	.512	.777	.451–.591	.529	+.017
85	Daniel Theis	C	TOT	6.1	3.7	1.0	0.3	0.7	0.5	0.7	.511	.691	.438–.601	.473	−.038
86	Chet Holmgren	C	OKC	17.9	8.2	2.8	0.7	2.1	1.7	1.7	.511	.804	.464–.568	.490	−.021
87	LeBron James	F	PHI	26.1	7.4	7.1	1.0	0.5	2.2	3.2	.510	.753	.470–.560	.513	+.003
88	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	G	OKC	28.7	5.4	6.1	1.6	0.9	1.4	2.5	.510	.865	.478–.564	.519	+.009
89	Jalen Johnson	F	ATL	14.9	7.2	2.8	0.9	0.6	1.1	1.6	.508	.704	.471–.549	.500	−.008
90	Karl-Anthony Towns	C	NYK	21.6	8.0	3.4	0.7	0.7	2.2	2.8	.508	.862	.478–.533	.526	+.018
91	Kelly Olynyk	F	SAS	9.0	5.2	3.7	0.8	0.4	0.9	1.7	.507	.817	.412–.595	.500	−.007
92	Craig Porter Jr.	G	CLE	6.8	3.0	2.3	0.5	0.3	0.4	0.9	.506	.743	.320–.620	.514	+.008
93	Jock Landale	C	ATL	6.0	3.6	1.2	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.6	.506	.765	.395–.653	.533	+.027
94	John Collins	F	DET	14.6	8.0	1.3	0.6	0.9	1.3	1.4	.505	.798	.462–.568	.527	+.022
95	Terance Mann	G	BKN	9.8	3.7	2.0	0.6	0.2	1.1	0.8	.503	.801	.444–.566	.496	−.007
96	Pascal Siakam	F	IND	21.6	7.2	4.7	0.9	0.4	1.1	1.9	.502	.749	.460–.541	.519	+.017
97	Draymond Green	F	GSW	7.8	6.7	5.5	0.9	0.7	0.7	2.3	.502	.706	.462–.556	.424	−.078
98	Rui Hachimura	F	LAC	13.2	4.4	1.2	0.6	0.4	1.3	0.8	.502	.739	.453–.569	.509	+.007
99	Ayo Dosunmu	G	MIN	12.6	3.3	3.3	0.9	0.4	1.4	1.4	.500	.786	.460–.553	.492	−.008
100	Jimmy Butler III	F	GSW	20.1	5.1	4.8	1.3	0.3	0.8	1.6	.500	.858	.483–.545	.504	+.004