NBA Projections · FT%

2024-25 (model vs actual) · per-game

83% of these 100 landed inside their p10–p90 band · a season projection is a full-health baseline over the top projected players, so a big miss is often missed games, not the model

StatPoints Rebounds Assists Steals Blocks 3PM Turnovers FG%FT%

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Projected leaders · Top 100

2024-25 · actual vs p50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG%	FT% ↓	Range	Actual	Δ
1	Kyrie Irving	G	DAL	26.3	4.7	5.1	1.1	0.5	3.1	1.9	.492	.909	.880–.921	.916	+.007
2	Stephen Curry	G	GSW	26.3	4.6	5.4	0.8	0.4	4.5	2.8	.457	.905	.888–.938	.933	+.028
3	Klay Thompson	G	DAL	17.2	3.1	2.1	0.6	0.4	3.9	1.4	.423	.891	.839–.914	.905	+.014
4	Anfernee Simons	G	PHI	21.2	3.3	5.1	0.6	0.2	3.4	2.4	.438	.887	.879–.911	.902	+.015
5	Damian Lillard	G	POR	25.2	4.6	6.8	0.8	0.3	3.3	2.7	.436	.886	.886–.922	.921	+.035
6	Trae Young	G	WAS	26.9	3.0	9.7	1.1	0.1	3.0	4.1	.439	.885	.853–.896	.875	−.010
7	Jordan Poole	G	NOP	18.2	3.2	4.4	0.9	0.3	2.7	2.6	.428	.885	.828–.900	.883	−.002
8	Luke Kennard	G	PHX	9.7	3.1	2.7	0.5	0.1	2.2	1.1	.450	.884	.822–.931	.895	+.011
9	Lauri Markkanen	F	UTA	21.5	7.4	2.0	0.8	0.5	3.0	1.4	.467	.883	.850–.903	.876	−.007
10	Josh Richardson	SG	TOT	8.3	2.6	2.1	0.7	0.3	1.5	0.9	.424	.882	.800–.915	1.000	+.118
11	Desmond Bane	G	ORL	22.4	4.7	4.9	1.0	0.4	3.0	2.3	.475	.882	.861–.898	.894	+.012
12	Kawhi Leonard	F	LAC	23.7	6.0	3.6	1.4	0.6	2.1	1.7	.518	.882	.852–.902	.810	−.072
13	Paul George	F	BOS	22.4	5.4	3.8	1.5	0.4	3.2	2.3	.451	.881	.849–.897	.814	−.067
14	Kevin Durant	F	HOU	26.7	6.2	5.0	0.8	1.2	2.0	3.1	.526	.881	.879–.934	.839	−.042
15	Derrick White	G	BOS	13.5	4.2	4.8	0.8	0.9	2.3	1.5	.450	.878	.813–.915	.839	−.039
16	Donovan Mitchell	G	CLE	26.8	4.6	5.7	1.5	0.4	3.2	2.7	.476	.877	.834–.897	.823	−.054
17	Tyler Herro	G	MIL	21.4	5.3	4.7	0.7	0.2	3.0	2.4	.438	.873	.865–.904	.878	+.005
18	Seth Curry	G	GSW	6.9	1.8	1.4	0.5	0.1	1.1	0.7	.447	.870	.725–1.017	.846	−.024
19	Bogdan Bogdanovic	G	HOU	14.9	3.2	2.8	1.0	0.3	2.9	1.2	.426	.867	.819–.923	.879	+.012
20	Grayson Allen	G	CHA	12.3	3.8	2.7	0.9	0.4	2.2	1.2	.464	.866	.833–.919	.816	−.050
21	James Harden	G	CLE	15.8	5.3	8.3	1.0	0.6	2.4	2.7	.426	.866	.838–.906	.874	+.008
22	Damion Lee	SG	TOT	7.3	2.8	1.2	0.4	0.1	1.2	0.8	.435	.866	.769–.954	.952	+.086
23	Devin Booker	G	PHX	26.7	4.6	6.2	0.9	0.4	2.1	2.5	.486	.866	.849–.895	.894	+.028
24	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	G	OKC	28.7	5.4	6.1	1.6	0.9	1.4	2.5	.510	.865	.843–.905	.898	+.033
25	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	G	MEM	10.5	2.8	2.2	1.2	0.4	1.8	1.1	.451	.864	.723–.903	.863	−.001
26	Darius Garland	G	LAC	20.1	3.0	6.7	1.2	0.1	2.4	3.1	.454	.864	.805–.898	.878	+.014
27	Trey Murphy III	F	NOP	14.6	4.2	1.8	0.9	0.4	2.6	0.8	.446	.863	.785–.897	.887	+.024
28	Cade Cunningham	G	DET	23.2	5.0	6.5	1.0	0.5	2.1	3.3	.443	.863	.826–.898	.846	−.017
29	Aaron Holiday	G	HOU	7.0	1.8	1.9	0.6	0.1	1.1	0.7	.431	.862	.758–.948	.829	−.033
30	Tyrese Maxey	G	PHI	24.3	3.5	5.6	0.9	0.4	2.9	1.6	.476	.862	.842–.894	.879	+.017
31	Karl-Anthony Towns	C	NYK	21.6	8.0	3.4	0.7	0.7	2.2	2.8	.508	.862	.824–.895	.829	−.033
32	Fred VanVleet	G	HOU	16.7	3.9	7.5	1.4	0.6	2.9	1.8	.415	.862	.857–.899	.810	−.052
33	Khris Middleton	F	WAS	14.9	4.4	4.7	0.8	0.2	1.7	2.1	.458	.861	.771–.900	.857	−.004
34	Tobias Harris	F	SAS	16.6	6.2	2.9	0.9	0.5	1.4	1.3	.481	.861	.828–.906	.861	+.000
35	Cam Thomas	G	TOT	18.9	2.9	2.7	0.6	0.2	1.8	1.7	.445	.858	.817–.912	.881	+.023
36	DeMar DeRozan	G	SAC	24.3	4.4	5.0	1.0	0.4	0.9	1.8	.475	.858	.828–.895	.857	−.001
37	Jimmy Butler III	F	GSW	20.1	5.1	4.8	1.3	0.3	0.8	1.6	.500	.858	.831–.879	.842	−.016
38	Sam Merrill	G	CLE	7.9	2.0	1.6	0.4	0.1	2.1	0.4	.393	.858	.729–.946	.966	+.108
39	Zach LaVine	G	SAC	21.1	4.6	4.0	0.8	0.3	2.5	2.2	.473	.857	.817–.877	.825	−.032
40	LaMelo Ball	G	MIN	23.8	6.0	7.7	1.4	0.3	3.3	3.4	.433	.857	.840–.913	.843	−.014
41	Kristaps Porzingis	C	GSW	19.9	7.2	2.1	0.7	1.6	2.0	1.7	.493	.857	.810–.878	.809	−.048
42	Matt Ryan	F	TOT	4.9	1.5	0.6	0.3	0.1	1.2	0.5	.398	.856	.556–.987	1.000	+.144
43	Terry Rozier	G	TOT	18.0	3.9	5.3	1.0	0.3	2.5	1.7	.434	.856	.811–.892	.852	−.004
44	Georges Niang	F	TOT	8.2	3.0	1.2	0.4	0.2	1.8	0.9	.438	.855	.748–.908	.793	−.062
45	Jayson Tatum	F	BOS	27.7	8.0	5.1	1.0	0.6	3.1	2.7	.467	.854	.805–.882	.814	−.040
46	Tyrese Haliburton	G	IND	20.3	3.9	10.1	1.3	0.6	2.7	2.5	.473	.854	.835–.889	.851	−.003
47	Buddy Hield	G	ATL	12.6	3.7	2.8	0.8	0.4	2.7	1.2	.428	.853	.756–.908	.828	−.025
48	Dennis Schroder	G	CLE	13.0	3.1	5.3	0.7	0.2	1.6	1.8	.429	.853	.782–.885	.838	−.015
49	Jamal Murray	G	DEN	20.7	4.1	6.0	1.0	0.5	2.4	2.1	.470	.852	.795–.892	.886	+.034
50	Duncan Robinson	F	DET	11.7	2.4	2.4	0.6	0.2	2.4	1.1	.424	.852	.827–.929	.887	+.035
51	Immanuel Quickley	G	TOR	15.8	3.9	4.6	0.8	0.1	2.3	1.4	.435	.851	.793–.884	.867	+.016
52	Mikal Bridges	G	NYK	18.6	4.4	3.5	0.9	0.5	2.6	1.7	.449	.851	.793–.879	.814	−.037
53	Jordan Clarkson	G	NYK	15.9	3.4	4.0	0.6	0.2	2.1	2.3	.430	.849	.805–.893	.797	−.052
54	Coby White	G	CHA	18.6	4.1	4.7	0.7	0.2	2.5	1.9	.442	.849	.818–.881	.902	+.053
55	Austin Reaves	G	LAL	15.4	4.0	4.8	0.8	0.3	1.9	1.9	.477	.849	.810–.891	.877	+.028
56	Franz Wagner	F	ORL	20.0	5.2	4.0	1.0	0.4	1.5	2.0	.480	.849	.805–.896	.871	+.022
57	Cole Anthony	G	TOT	11.9	4.0	3.6	0.7	0.4	1.4	1.7	.437	.848	.770–.890	.823	−.025
58	Ben Sheppard	G	IND	6.3	2.0	1.2	0.6	0.1	1.1	0.5	.412	.847	.580–1.019	.889	+.042
59	Dario Saric	F	TOT	6.8	3.7	1.9	0.4	0.1	1.0	1.0	.455	.847	.707–.893	.700	−.147
60	Malcolm Brogdon	G	TOT	14.1	3.6	4.6	0.7	0.2	1.8	1.4	.456	.847	.778–.898	.880	+.033
61	Joel Embiid	C	PHI	30.0	10.7	5.0	1.1	1.5	1.2	3.5	.531	.846	.807–.890	.882	+.036
62	Malik Monk	G	SAC	15.3	3.2	4.6	0.7	0.4	2.3	1.9	.449	.846	.769–.891	.865	+.019
63	Keyonte George	G	UTA	14.0	3.3	4.4	0.6	0.1	2.1	2.3	.404	.842	.794–.898	.818	−.024
64	Malaki Branham	G	TOT	9.4	2.2	2.3	0.5	0.1	1.2	1.3	.438	.842	.764–.899	.818	−.024
65	Reggie Jackson	PG	TOT	8.7	1.8	3.3	0.5	0.1	1.2	1.3	.414	.842	.749–.891	.778	−.064
66	Marcus Sasser	G	DAL	8.9	2.1	3.3	0.6	0.2	1.4	1.2	.432	.842	.790–.936	.843	+.001
67	Tre Jones	G	CHI	11.0	3.6	5.7	1.0	0.1	0.9	1.4	.481	.841	.767–.893	.821	−.020
68	Alec Burks	SG	TOT	8.7	2.5	1.5	0.5	0.2	1.5	0.8	.406	.840	.742–.919	.776	−.064
69	Kyle Lowry	G	PHI	8.0	3.1	4.2	0.9	0.3	1.5	1.4	.422	.840	.721–.901	.818	−.022
70	Isaiah Joe	G	DET	8.6	2.4	1.4	0.6	0.2	1.8	0.7	.437	.840	.746–.925	.821	−.019
71	AJ Green	G	MIL	6.3	1.8	0.7	0.3	0.1	1.4	0.4	.430	.839	.720–1.012	.815	−.024
72	Mike Conley	G	BOS	10.8	2.8	5.1	1.1	0.2	2.0	1.3	.427	.837	.772–.919	.900	+.063
73	Jordan Hawkins	G	NOP	8.7	2.6	1.3	0.4	0.1	1.7	0.7	.393	.836	.695–.912	.816	−.020
74	Harrison Barnes	F	SAS	12.4	3.7	1.5	0.6	0.1	1.8	0.9	.466	.836	.736–.878	.809	−.027
75	De'Andre Hunter	F	SAC	15.3	4.0	1.5	0.7	0.3	1.9	1.4	.454	.835	.740–.869	.846	+.011
76	Amir Coffey	G	PHX	7.0	2.3	1.3	0.5	0.2	1.1	0.6	.438	.834	.713–.900	.891	+.057
77	Collin Sexton	G	LAL	18.4	2.9	4.5	0.7	0.2	1.6	2.1	.478	.834	.805–.890	.865	+.031
78	Gradey Dick	G	TOR	9.8	2.5	1.3	0.6	0.1	1.5	1.0	.426	.833	.735–.909	.858	+.025
79	Cameron Johnson	F	DEN	13.0	4.3	1.9	0.8	0.3	2.3	0.9	.449	.833	.728–.886	.893	+.060
80	Bones Hyland	G	MIN	8.1	2.3	2.5	0.6	0.2	1.3	1.1	.409	.833	.565–.968	.885	+.052
81	Brandon Ingram	F	TOR	22.0	5.2	5.6	0.7	0.5	1.3	2.6	.481	.831	.765–.877	.855	+.024
82	Bennedict Mathurin	G	LAC	16.9	4.1	2.1	0.7	0.2	1.5	1.8	.442	.831	.754–.887	.831	+.000
83	Brandon Miller	F	CHA	19.4	4.3	2.6	0.9	0.6	2.6	2.0	.442	.829	.790–.863	.861	+.032
84	Brice Sensabaugh	F	UTA	7.3	3.5	1.8	0.5	0.2	1.1	1.2	.409	.829	.710–.950	.890	+.061
85	Patty Mills	PG	TOT	4.7	1.0	1.2	0.4	0.1	1.0	0.5	.393	.829	.478–1.137	.929	+.100
86	Cameron Payne	PG	TOT	7.3	1.7	3.0	0.6	0.2	1.2	1.0	.423	.828	.712–.897	.907	+.079
87	D'Angelo Russell	G	MEM	17.9	3.3	6.3	1.0	0.4	2.8	2.2	.448	.828	.747–.891	.834	+.006
88	Jerami Grant	F	MEM	19.8	3.9	2.6	0.8	0.7	2.1	1.9	.455	.828	.757–.882	.849	+.021
89	Landry Shamet	G	NYK	7.7	1.7	1.5	0.5	0.2	1.4	0.7	.410	.828	.715–.910	.667	−.161
90	Jalen Brunson	G	NYK	24.4	3.8	6.4	0.9	0.2	2.2	2.2	.487	.828	.771–.897	.821	−.007
91	Gary Trent Jr.	G	MIL	15.0	2.8	1.8	1.2	0.2	2.6	0.8	.428	.827	.734–.900	.848	+.021
92	Garrison Mathews	G	TOT	5.9	1.8	0.7	0.5	0.2	1.2	0.5	.412	.824	.676–.895	.821	−.003
93	Scoot Henderson	G	POR	15.0	3.5	5.5	0.8	0.2	1.6	3.0	.399	.824	.727–.881	.767	−.057
94	Stanley Umude	G	TOT	5.7	2.0	0.9	0.6	0.3	1.2	0.7	.427	.824	.610–1.049	.500	−.324
95	Max Strus	G	CLE	11.4	4.1	3.2	0.7	0.3	2.4	1.2	.420	.823	.732–.882	.824	+.001
96	Dillon Brooks	F	PHX	13.6	3.3	1.9	0.9	0.2	1.9	1.2	.426	.823	.739–.891	.818	−.005
97	Moritz Wagner	F	BKN	10.3	4.4	1.4	0.5	0.3	0.6	1.1	.545	.823	.685–.901	.718	−.105
98	Caleb Houstan	G	ATL	6.5	2.2	0.7	0.4	0.1	1.3	0.4	.403	.822	.435–1.007	.882	+.060
99	Miles Bridges	F	PHX	20.9	7.1	3.6	0.9	0.6	2.2	2.0	.472	.822	.776–.871	.870	+.048
100	Nikola Jokic	C	DEN	26.6	12.5	8.8	1.3	0.7	1.1	3.2	.575	.822	.740–.855	.800	−.022