NBA Projections · FG%

2025-26 (model vs actual) · per-game

78% of these 100 landed inside their p10–p90 band · a season projection is a full-health baseline over the top projected players, so a big miss is often missed games, not the model

StatPoints Rebounds Assists Steals Blocks 3PM Turnovers FG%FT%

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Projected leaders · Top 100

2025-26 · actual vs p50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG% ↓	FT%	Range	Actual	Δ
1	Dereck Lively II	C	DAL	8.9	8.0	2.1	0.6	1.5	0.0	1.1	.698	.593	.570–.767	.611	−.087
2	Daniel Gafford	F	DAL	11.1	7.1	1.3	0.5	1.5	0.0	1.1	.694	.679	.576–.751	.655	−.039
3	Dwight Powell	F	DAL	3.1	2.9	0.9	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.5	.678	.625	.486–.758	.644	−.034
4	Jericho Sims	C	MIL	2.7	4.5	0.6	0.2	0.4	0.0	0.6	.677	.660	.495–.807	.784	+.107
5	Ariel Hukporti	C	PHI	3.8	4.1	0.6	0.3	0.7	0.0	0.9	.676	.621	.394–.699	.562	−.114
6	Adem Bona	C	PHI	7.1	4.7	0.7	0.5	1.2	0.0	1.1	.671	.689	.512–.748	.595	−.076
7	Luke Kornet	C	SAS	5.3	4.8	1.2	0.4	0.8	0.0	0.4	.671	.766	.532–.724	.643	−.028
8	Jaxson Hayes	C	UTA	6.1	4.7	0.9	0.5	0.7	0.0	0.7	.669	.643	.556–.712	.756	+.087
9	Rudy Gobert	C	MIN	11.0	10.9	1.4	0.7	1.3	0.0	1.3	.658	.643	.586–.694	.682	+.024
10	DeAndre Jordan	C	NOP	3.8	4.7	0.8	0.3	0.4	0.0	0.7	.651	.472	.530–.850	.656	+.005
11	Jarrett Allen	C	CLE	13.2	9.8	2.0	0.8	0.9	0.0	1.4	.648	.732	.605–.678	.638	−.010
12	Robert Williams III	C	POR	6.8	6.4	1.1	0.7	1.3	0.1	0.8	.645	.730	.521–.745	.708	+.063
13	Jalen Duren	C	DET	12.1	10.4	2.6	0.7	1.0	0.0	1.9	.645	.694	.603–.700	.650	+.005
14	Neemias Queta	C	BOS	5.5	4.3	0.8	0.3	0.7	0.0	0.7	.643	.743	.547–.742	.653	+.010
15	Walker Kessler	C	LAL	10.2	10.7	1.4	0.6	2.2	0.1	1.3	.641	.576	.621–.708	.703	+.062
16	Jakob Poeltl	C	TOR	12.0	8.9	2.4	0.9	1.1	0.0	1.6	.624	.611	.555–.680	.700	+.076
17	Isaac Jones	C	DET	4.9	3.5	0.7	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.6	.621	.693	.485–.662	.429	−.192
18	Ivica Zubac	C	IND	14.5	11.4	2.2	0.6	1.1	0.0	1.5	.620	.690	.572–.670	.598	−.022
19	Mitchell Robinson	C	BOS	5.6	6.8	0.8	0.8	1.3	0.0	0.7	.619	.581	.550–.728	.723	+.104
20	Charles Bassey	C	GSW	5.5	5.0	0.7	0.4	0.9	0.0	0.7	.612	.632	.521–.732	.660	+.048
21	Mason Plumlee	C	SAS	5.0	5.6	1.7	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.8	.611	.636	.477–.742	.786	+.175
22	Trayce Jackson-Davis	F	TOR	7.1	5.3	1.6	0.4	0.7	0.0	0.8	.610	.604	.521–.714	.573	−.037
23	Nick Richards	C	CHI	8.8	7.3	0.8	0.3	0.9	0.0	1.2	.608	.743	.547–.709	.512	−.096
24	Brandon Clarke	F	TOT	8.2	5.1	1.1	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.7	.603	.695	.540–.702	.333	−.270
25	Mark Williams	C	PHX	14.1	9.4	2.0	0.7	1.1	0.0	1.4	.603	.760	.573–.675	.644	+.041
26	Nic Claxton	C	CHI	10.5	8.3	2.1	0.8	1.7	0.0	1.2	.602	.557	.553–.678	.571	−.031
27	Giannis Antetokounmpo	F	MIA	29.3	11.5	6.0	0.9	1.0	0.4	3.2	.591	.632	.538–.626	.624	+.033
28	Clint Capela	C	HOU	8.7	8.7	1.0	0.5	0.9	0.0	0.8	.591	.606	.499–.652	.520	−.071
29	Drew Eubanks	F	SAC	5.7	4.4	1.0	0.4	0.7	0.1	0.7	.590	.700	.477–.684	.596	+.006
30	Domantas Sabonis	F	SAC	18.2	13.1	6.6	0.7	0.4	0.8	2.8	.588	.738	.534–.623	.543	−.045
31	Tony Bradley	C	ATL	5.5	3.9	0.6	0.3	0.7	0.2	0.5	.588	.674	.473–.742	.547	−.041
32	Nikola Jokic	C	DEN	27.3	12.0	9.3	1.5	0.7	1.7	3.2	.586	.817	.524–.607	.569	−.017
33	Moussa Diabate	F	CHA	6.7	6.5	0.9	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.9	.584	.616	.504–.664	.631	+.047
34	Bismack Biyombo	C	SAS	4.2	5.2	0.9	0.4	0.8	0.0	0.8	.577	.476	.515–.676	.600	+.023
35	Isaiah Hartenstein	C	OKC	8.8	9.1	3.0	0.8	0.9	0.0	1.4	.576	.687	.546–.655	.622	+.046
36	Trey Jemison III	F	NYK	4.7	4.2	0.6	0.4	0.7	0.0	0.8	.576	.655	.432–.648	.600	+.024
37	Keshad Johnson	F	MIA	5.2	3.8	0.8	0.5	0.4	0.5	0.5	.573	.690	.446–.820	.490	−.083
38	Goga Bitadze	C	ORL	7.2	6.9	1.7	0.7	1.1	0.1	0.9	.573	.652	.536–.676	.676	+.103
39	Steven Adams	C	HOU	4.8	6.5	1.3	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.9	.570	.468	.421–.694	.504	−.066
40	Onyeka Okongwu	F	ATL	12.8	8.6	1.9	0.7	0.9	0.7	1.2	.569	.773	.530–.644	.480	−.089
41	Oscar Tshiebwe	C	UTA	7.3	7.9	0.6	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.6	.569	.733	.474–.665	.634	+.065
42	Oso Ighodaro	F	PHX	5.4	4.0	1.3	0.6	0.5	0.0	0.7	.565	.614	.488–.656	.653	+.088
43	Zion Williamson	F	NOP	24.2	7.3	5.2	1.0	0.7	0.2	2.9	.563	.695	.532–.637	.600	+.037
44	Deandre Ayton	C	WAS	14.5	10.0	1.5	0.7	0.8	0.1	1.6	.562	.739	.533–.618	.671	+.109
45	Yves Missi	C	NOP	10.2	8.8	1.5	0.5	1.4	0.0	1.3	.560	.646	.467–.586	.544	−.016
46	Jalen Slawson	F	IND	4.9	3.1	0.9	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.6	.555	.648	.385–.767	.442	−.113
47	Gary Payton II	G	GSW	5.5	2.8	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.5	0.6	.553	.702	.488–.660	.583	+.030
48	Amen Thompson	G	HOU	14.6	7.9	3.8	1.3	1.0	0.5	2.0	.553	.690	.497–.595	.534	−.019
49	Evan Mobley	C	CLE	18.0	9.2	3.4	0.9	1.4	1.0	2.0	.552	.711	.507–.603	.546	−.006
50	Zach Edey	C	MEM	10.0	8.6	1.2	0.6	1.2	0.4	1.4	.551	.717	.513–.635	.633	+.082
51	Moritz Wagner	F	BKN	10.9	4.5	1.2	0.6	0.3	0.9	1.2	.550	.789	.490–.634	.426	−.124
52	Jonas Valanciunas	C	DEN	10.0	7.4	1.9	0.4	0.5	0.2	1.3	.550	.815	.497–.600	.582	+.032
53	Kevon Looney	F	LAL	5.1	6.0	1.6	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.5	.547	.634	.487–.641	.417	−.130
54	Andre Drummond	C	NYK	6.8	7.3	0.6	0.7	0.4	0.1	1.0	.546	.623	.483–.585	.472	−.074
55	Thomas Bryant	C	CLE	6.9	4.3	0.8	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.6	.538	.814	.470–.647	.506	−.032
56	Christian Koloko	C	ATL	4.0	3.8	0.6	0.3	0.7	0.0	0.5	.537	.668	.414–.609	.419	−.118
57	Larry Nance Jr.	F	IND	7.0	4.5	1.4	0.8	0.4	0.9	0.6	.537	.736	.484–.626	.419	−.118
58	Olivier Sarr	F	CLE	4.5	3.9	0.6	0.3	0.6	0.5	0.6	.535	.749	.390–.679	.714	+.179
59	Marvin Bagley III	F	DEN	7.7	4.4	0.8	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.7	.535	.739	.478–.646	.618	+.083
60	Karlo Matkovic	F	NOP	7.8	4.8	1.1	0.5	0.8	0.6	1.0	.533	.753	.461–.623	.604	+.071
61	Kel'el Ware	C	MIL	10.4	7.9	1.2	0.6	1.0	0.6	1.1	.533	.705	.462–.606	.530	−.003
62	Day'Ron Sharpe	C	BKN	7.5	6.1	1.6	0.6	0.7	0.2	1.1	.529	.697	.480–.607	.601	+.072
63	Anthony Davis	F	WAS	24.4	10.5	3.3	1.1	1.9	0.6	2.0	.529	.789	.499–.565	.506	−.023
64	Christian Braun	G	DEN	14.3	4.8	2.4	0.9	0.4	1.2	1.0	.529	.789	.474–.583	.519	−.010
65	Aaron Gordon	F	DEN	14.0	5.3	3.2	0.6	0.4	1.2	1.3	.527	.707	.500–.564	.497	−.030
66	Omer Yurtseven	C	GSW	5.9	4.8	0.7	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.8	.527	.694	.460–.600	.423	−.104
67	Paul Reed	F	DET	6.2	3.9	1.1	0.7	0.7	0.3	0.8	.525	.737	.442–.596	.617	+.092
68	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	G	OKC	29.0	5.3	6.2	1.7	1.0	1.8	2.5	.523	.880	.473–.537	.553	+.030
69	T.J. McConnell	G	IND	8.4	2.4	4.1	0.9	0.2	0.2	1.3	.522	.783	.490–.588	.538	+.016
70	Donovan Clingan	C	POR	8.1	8.2	1.4	0.6	1.5	0.3	1.2	.521	.645	.436–.611	.520	−.001
71	Thanasis Antetokounmpo	F	MIL	2.4	1.9	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.5	.520	.575	.358–.646	.469	−.051
72	Kevin Durant	F	HOU	25.8	6.0	4.2	0.8	1.1	2.3	3.0	.518	.862	.491–.555	.520	+.002
73	Jock Landale	C	ATL	5.1	3.5	0.9	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.5	.518	.748	.400–.609	.515	−.003
74	Dominick Barlow	F	PHI	5.7	3.4	0.9	0.4	0.6	0.2	0.4	.514	.689	.422–.614	.539	+.025
75	Jarred Vanderbilt	F	LAL	6.2	5.5	1.4	1.0	0.3	0.4	0.9	.513	.687	.432–.589	.471	−.042
76	LeBron James	F	PHI	23.2	7.1	7.5	1.0	0.5	2.1	3.4	.511	.766	.474–.542	.515	+.004
77	Ausar Thompson	G	DET	10.4	5.6	2.3	1.4	0.7	0.3	1.4	.511	.636	.433–.596	.525	+.014
78	Alperen Sengun	C	HOU	20.0	9.9	5.0	1.2	0.8	0.5	2.7	.509	.705	.484–.545	.519	+.010
79	John Collins	F	DET	16.6	7.4	1.6	0.7	0.9	1.4	1.8	.509	.811	.477–.554	.552	+.043
80	Pascal Siakam	F	IND	19.7	6.7	3.8	0.8	0.4	1.5	1.6	.508	.754	.472–.543	.484	−.024
81	Karl-Anthony Towns	C	NYK	22.5	10.8	3.3	0.8	0.6	2.2	2.7	.508	.855	.482–.545	.501	−.007
82	Kawhi Leonard	F	LAC	21.5	5.8	3.2	1.4	0.6	2.0	1.7	.508	.850	.470–.536	.505	−.003
83	Obi Toppin	F	IND	10.1	3.9	1.7	0.5	0.4	1.4	0.9	.507	.792	.457–.583	.503	−.004
84	Isaiah Stewart	F	MEM	7.8	6.1	1.7	0.4	1.1	0.6	1.0	.507	.761	.416–.611	.550	+.043
85	Kelly Olynyk	F	SAS	8.3	4.6	3.1	0.7	0.4	0.8	1.6	.507	.820	.438–.557	.490	−.017
86	Luka Garza	C	BOS	4.7	2.3	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.5	0.5	.506	.750	.417–.560	.577	+.071
87	Jalen Johnson	F	ATL	17.0	8.3	4.1	1.2	0.7	1.1	2.0	.505	.730	.462–.541	.489	−.016
88	Jay Huff	C	IND	7.5	2.4	0.7	0.3	0.7	1.3	0.5	.505	.801	.437–.609	.476	−.029
89	Chet Holmgren	C	OKC	15.6	7.7	2.2	0.7	2.1	1.4	1.7	.504	.784	.444–.549	.557	+.053
90	Rui Hachimura	F	LAC	13.0	4.7	1.3	0.7	0.4	1.6	0.9	.503	.755	.457–.545	.514	+.011
91	Nikola Vucevic	C	ORL	16.8	9.4	3.3	0.7	0.7	1.6	1.5	.502	.817	.469–.540	.493	−.009
92	Jimmy Butler III	F	GSW	17.2	4.9	4.8	1.3	0.3	0.6	1.3	.502	.844	.469–.546	.519	+.017
93	Precious Achiuwa	PF	SAC	7.3	6.1	1.1	0.7	0.7	0.3	0.9	.500	.668	.411–.578	.528	+.028
94	Bradley Beal	G	TOT	16.6	3.5	3.6	1.0	0.5	1.8	1.9	.500	.819	.462–.536	.375	−.125
95	Ty Jerome	G	MEM	12.2	2.2	3.7	0.8	0.1	1.6	1.2	.499	.856	.453–.572	.474	−.025
96	Bam Adebayo	C	MIA	18.6	9.4	4.1	1.1	0.7	0.9	2.1	.499	.769	.465–.538	.442	−.057
97	Craig Porter Jr.	G	CLE	4.9	2.3	1.8	0.4	0.3	0.5	0.8	.499	.746	.406–.617	.450	−.049
98	Terance Mann	G	BKN	7.9	3.2	1.7	0.6	0.2	0.9	0.7	.498	.783	.430–.561	.457	−.041
99	Myles Turner	C	MIL	15.4	6.5	1.5	0.7	1.7	1.9	1.6	.498	.777	.449–.528	.440	−.058
100	Zeke Nnaji	F	DEN	5.0	2.4	0.7	0.5	0.6	0.4	0.5	.498	.666	.403–.605	.470	−.028