MLB Terminal — projections, standings & analytics

José Alvarado

P · PHI

31 yrs

Pitcher

Description

Position: P
Team: PHI
Type: Pitcher
Bats: Left
Throws: Left
Born: 1995-05-21
Age: 31
Country: Venezuela
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 245 lb
Last active: 2026

Career Résumé

10 seasons

Seasons	10 2017–2026
Games	449
W-L	22-30
ERA	3.73
WHIP	1.35
IP	403
SO	518
SV	53

Pitching Projections

2026 · per ~700 BF

Stat	Proj	Range (p10–p90)	vs LY
ERA	4.03	2.78–4.57	+0.04
WHIP	1.27	1.03–1.55	+0.01
SO	172	159–207	−12
BB	66	45–90	+2
HR	20	10–30	−0
Hits	143	122–160	−1
ER	73	51–83	+1

Regular season

Season	Tm	W	L	ERA	WHIP	G	GS	SV	IP	SO	BB	HR	ER	xERA	Brl%
2026	PHI	3	3	6.43	1.66	41	0	1	35.0	49	14	3	25	3.64	4.1%
2025	PHI	4	2	3.81	1.31	28	0	7	26.0	32	7	4	11	3.64	12.2%
2024	PHI	2	5	4.09	1.25	66	0	13	61.2	63	28	6	28	3.94	6.6%
2023	PHI	0	2	1.74	1.16	42	0	10	41.1	64	18	3	8	2.77	4.4%
2022	PHI	4	2	3.18	1.22	59	0	2	51.0	81	24	2	18	2.50	6.5%
2021	PHI	7	1	4.20	1.60	64	0	5	55.2	68	47	5	26	4.15	3.9%
2020	TB	0	0	6.00	1.67	9	0	0	9.0	13	6	2	6	6.82	16.7%
2019	TB	1	6	4.80	1.87	35	1	7	30.0	39	27	2	16	4.69	5.0%
2018	TB	1	6	2.39	1.11	70	0	8	64.0	80	29	1	17	2.79	4.6%
2017	TB	0	3	3.64	1.11	35	0	0	29.2	29	9	1	12	2.72	3.5%

Regular season · OAA 2016+

Season	Pos	G	GS	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	FLD%	RF/9	OAA
2026	P	40	0	34.0	1	2	2	0	.600	0.79	—
2025	P	28	0	26.0	2	1	0	0	1.000	1.04	—
2024	P	66	0	61.2	2	2	0	0	1.000	0.58	—
2023	P	42	0	41.1	0	0	0	0	—	0.00	—
2022	P	59	0	51.0	3	6	0	1	1.000	1.59	—
2021	P	64	0	55.2	3	5	1	1	.889	1.29	—
2020	P	9	0	9.0	0	1	0	0	1.000	1.00	—
2019	P	35	1	30.0	1	4	1	0	.833	1.50	—
2018	P	70	0	64.0	1	5	0	1	1.000	0.84	—
2018	1B	1	0	0.1	0	0	0	0	—	0.00	—
2017	P	35	0	29.2	2	3	0	0	1.000	1.52	—

Date		Opp	Res
2026-07-20	vs	LAD	W
2026-07-18	vs	NYM	W
2026-07-12	@	DET	W
2026-07-08	@	CIN	L
2026-06-28	@	NYM	W
2026-06-25	@	WSH	W
2026-06-24	@	WSH	W
2026-06-21	vs	NYM	W
2026-06-18	vs	NYM	L

Date		Opp	Res	Dec	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	Pit
2026-07-20	vs	LAD	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	11
2026-07-18	vs	NYM	W	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	16
2026-07-12	@	DET	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	2	13
2026-07-08	@	CIN	L	ND	1.0	2	4	4	0	3	2	35
2026-07-02	vs	PIT	L	L	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	2	27
2026-06-28	@	NYM	W	H	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	24
2026-06-25	@	WSH	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	2	12
2026-06-24	@	WSH	W	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	1	26
2026-06-21	vs	NYM	W	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	21
2026-06-18	vs	NYM	L	L	1.0	3	3	3	0	1	1	30
2026-06-13	@	MIL	W	ND	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	1	15
2026-06-10	@	TOR	W	H	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	19
2026-06-09	@	TOR	L	ND	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	1	12
2026-06-07	vs	CWS	W	W	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	28
2026-06-04	vs	SD	W	ND	1.0	1	2	2	1	1	1	25
2026-06-02	vs	SD	W	W	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11
2026-05-30	@	LAD	W	ND	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	13
2026-05-27	@	SD	W	S	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	20
2026-05-20	vs	CIN	L	ND	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	1	17
2026-05-18	vs	CIN	W	ND	0.2	2	1	1	0	1	0	20
2026-05-15	@	PIT	W	W	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	3	22
2026-05-14	@	BOS	W	H	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	1	21
2026-05-12	@	BOS	W	H	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	1	6
2026-05-08	vs	COL	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	2	20
2026-05-06	vs	ATH	W	ND	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	2	16
2026-05-04	@	MIA	W	H	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	8
2026-05-01	@	MIA	W	H	0.1	2	0	0	0	0	1	10
2026-04-30	vs	SF	W	ND	0.2	2	0	0	0	1	1	17
2026-04-25	@	ATL	W	ND	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	17
2026-04-23	@	CHC	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	1	10
2026-04-21	@	CHC	L	ND	0.1	2	1	1	0	1	1	23
2026-04-18	vs	ATL	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	14
2026-04-15	vs	CHC	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	11
2026-04-12	vs	AZ	L	L	0.1	2	2	2	0	0	0	13
2026-04-11	vs	AZ	W	H	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
2026-04-08	@	SF	L	ND	0.2	2	2	1	0	0	2	17
2026-04-06	@	SF	W	H	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	22
2026-04-04	@	COL	W	H	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	1	12
2026-04-01	vs	WSH	W	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	8
2026-03-30	vs	WSH	L	ND	0.1	3	4	4	0	2	1	29
2026-03-28	vs	TEX	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	18

Pitching Profile2026 · vs 260

K/9

12.698

BB/9

3.630

HR/9

0.877

ERA

6.433

WHIP

1.662

xERA

3.6468

Brl%A

4.1%91

PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league

Career Highs

Stat	Best	Year
Wins	7	2021
SO	81	2022
SV	13	2024
ERA	1.74	2023
WHIP	1.11	2018

Comparable Players

2026 · stat-profile similarity

Devin WilliamsNYM31y
4.68 ERA · 45 K · 1.65 WHIP
71%
vs
Jeff HoffmanTOR33y
4.46 ERA · 66 K · 1.39 WHIP
69%
vs
Jack PerkinsATH26y
6.87 ERA · 72 K · 1.44 WHIP
69%
vs
Caleb KilianSF29y
4.81 ERA · 48 K · 1.40 WHIP
69%
vs
Jake BirdNYY30y
5.93 ERA · 31 K · 1.55 WHIP
69%
vs

Career Arc

ERA by season · taller = better

Year over Year

pitching trajectory

Yr	Tm	W	ERA	WHIP	SO	IP
21	PHI	7	4.20	1.60	68	56
22	PHI	4▼	3.18▼	1.22▼	81▲	51▼
23	PHI	0▼	1.74▼	1.16▼	64▼	41▼
24	PHI	2▲	4.09▲	1.25▲	63▼	62▲
25	PHI	4▲	3.81▼	1.31▲	32▼	26▼
26	PHI	3▼	6.43▲	1.66▲	49▲	35▲

Career Milestones

chase to the next mark

Wins22

28 to 50

Strikeouts518

482 to 1,000

Saves53

47 to 100

Season

Pitch Arsenal

2025 · Statcast

Pitch	Use	Velo	Spin
Sinker	63%	99.2	2084
Cutter	29%	93.2	2137
Curve	5%	85.0	2446
4-Seam	2%	99.6	2045

Plate Discipline

2025 · induced

27.9%

Chase

lg 28.5%

66.9%

Z-Swing

lg 67%

23.7%

Whiff

lg 24.5%

76.3%

Contact

lg 76%

49.7%

Zone

lg 48.5%

27.9%

CSW

lg 28%

499 pitches · green/red vs league avg

Statcast Trend

xERA by season · taller = better

Barrel% Against by season · taller = better

Per game	2.5
Ceiling (90th)	6.3
Floor (10th)	-2.3
Std dev	3.8
Boom rate	39%
Bust rate	29%
Profile	Volatile