Pro Baseball Terminal — MLB projections, standings & analytics

Zebby Matthews

P · MIN

26 yrs

Pitcher

Description

Position: P
Team: MIN
Type: Pitcher
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
Born: 2000-05-22
Age: 26
Country: USA
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 225 lb
Last active: 2026

Career Résumé

3 seasons

Seasons	3 2024–2026
Games	32
W-L	9-14
ERA	5.61
WHIP	1.44
IP	160
SO	165
SV	0

Pitching Projections

2026 · per ~700 BF

Stat	Proj	Range (p10–p90)	vs LY
SO	162	135–207	-8
BB	50	40–66	-2
HR	24	15–34	-4
Hits	164	145–186	-17
ER	85	67–102	-10

Pitching

Regular season

Season	Tm	W	L	ERA	WHIP	G	GS	IP	SO	BB	HR	ER	xERA	Brl%
2026	MIN	3	4	4.78	1.18	7	7	43.1	34	9	8	23	4.08	11.2%
2025	MIN	5	6	5.56	1.49	16	16	79.1	88	24	12	49	4.67	9.9%
2024	MIN	1	4	6.69	1.65	9	9	37.2	43	11	11	28	5.88	14.0%

Season	Pos	G	GS	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	FLD%	RF/9	OAA
2026	P	7	7	42.1	2	4	0	1	1.000	1.28	—
2025	P	16	16	79.1	7	8	1	0	.938	1.70	—
2024	P	9	9	37.2	4	5	1	0	.900	2.15	—

Batting game log

2026 · last 1

Date		Opp	Res	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB
2026-06-22	vs	LAD	L	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Pitching game log

2026 · last 8

Date		Opp	Res	Dec	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	Pit
2026-06-22	vs	LAD	L	L	6.0	6	2	2	2	2	5	108
2026-06-16	@	TEX	W	W	7.0	8	2	2	0	0	4	93
2026-06-11	@	DET	L	L	6.0	9	7	7	3	1	4	81
2026-06-05	vs	KC	W	W	7.0	5	2	2	0	4	2	100
2026-05-31	@	PIT	L	L	4.1	6	7	7	2	2	7	100
2026-05-25	@	CWS	L	L	6.0	5	3	3	2	1	6	88
2026-05-19	vs	HOU	L	L	6.0	5	2	2	1	0	6	100
2026-05-14	vs	MIA	W	W	7.0	4	0	0	0	1	5	83

Pitching Profile2026 · vs 168

K/9

7.124

BB/9

1.992

HR/9

1.716

ERA

4.7830

WHIP

1.1867

xERA

4.0854

Brl%A

11.2%10

PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league

Career Highs

Stat	Best	Year
Wins	5	2025
SO	88	2025
SV	0	2026
ERA	4.78	2026
WHIP	1.18	2026

Comparable Players

2026 · stat-profile similarity

Bailey OberMIN30y
4.59 ERA · 46 K · 1.22 WHIP
91%
vs
Ryne NelsonAZ28y
4.97 ERA · 62 K · 1.24 WHIP
90%
vs
Stephen KolekKC29y
4.15 ERA · 34 K · 1.19 WHIP
88%
vs
Nathan EovaldiTEX36y
4.24 ERA · 92 K · 1.18 WHIP
86%
vs
Janson JunkMIA30y
4.80 ERA · 43 K · 1.30 WHIP
86%
vs

Career Arc

ERA by season · taller = better

Year over Year

pitching trajectory

Yr	Tm	W	ERA	WHIP	SO	IP
24	MIN	1	6.69	1.65	43	38
25	MIN	5▲	5.56▼	1.49▼	88▲	79▲
26	MIN	3▼	4.78▼	1.18▼	34▼	43▼

Career Milestones

chase to the next mark

Wins9

41 to 50

Strikeouts165

835 to 1,000

Season

Pitch Arsenal

2025 · Statcast

Pitch	Use	Velo	Spin
4-Seam	41%	96.2	2331
Slider	25%	88.3	2420
Cutter	13%	91.7	2493
Changeup	11%	87.5	1499
Curve	6%	82.8	2435
Sinker	4%	95.8	2317

Plate Discipline

2025 · induced

30.2%

Chase

lg 28.5%

69.6%

Z-Swing

lg 67%

25.3%

Whiff

lg 24.5%

74.7%

Contact

lg 76%

53.2%

Zone

lg 48.5%

27.9%

CSW

lg 28%

1,353 pitches · green/red vs league avg

Statcast Trend

xERA by season · taller = better

Barrel% Against by season · taller = better

Per game	14.5
Ceiling (90th)	21.3
Floor (10th)	3.9
Std dev	7.5
Boom rate	13%
Bust rate	25%
Profile	Moderate