NBA Projections · Turnovers
2025-26 (model vs actual) · per-game
69% of these 100 landed inside their p10–p90 band · a season projection is a full-health baseline over the top projected players, so a big miss is often missed games, not the model
Projected leaders · Top 100
2025-26 · actual vs p50
| # | Player | Pos | Tm | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | TOV ↓ | FG% | FT% | Range | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trae Young | G | WAS | 24.6 | 3.0 | 10.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 4.0 | .423 | .873 | 3.2–4.6 | 2.6 | −1.4 |
| 2 | Cade Cunningham | G | DET | 24.9 | 5.4 | 8.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 3.8 | .466 | .848 | 3.1–4.1 | 3.7 | −0.1 |
| 3 | Victor Wembanyama | F | SAS | 24.6 | 10.1 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 3.6 | .477 | .806 | 2.7–3.6 | 2.4 | −1.1 |
| 4 | Luka Doncic | G | LAL | 29.3 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | .474 | .783 | 2.8–4.2 | 4.0 | +0.5 |
| 5 | LeBron James | F | PHI | 23.2 | 7.1 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 3.4 | .511 | .766 | 2.6–3.7 | 3.0 | −0.5 |
| 6 | Ja Morant | G | POR | 24.5 | 5.0 | 6.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 3.3 | .468 | .802 | 2.4–3.9 | 3.5 | +0.2 |
| 7 | James Harden | G | CLE | 19.5 | 5.3 | 8.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 3.3 | .419 | .867 | 2.2–4.1 | 3.5 | +0.3 |
| 8 | LaMelo Ball | G | MIN | 26.4 | 5.3 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 3.4 | 3.2 | .419 | .852 | 2.6–3.8 | 2.8 | −0.4 |
| 9 | Nikola Jokic | C | DEN | 27.3 | 12.0 | 9.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3.2 | .586 | .817 | 2.8–3.7 | 3.7 | +0.5 |
| 10 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | F | MIA | 29.3 | 11.5 | 6.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 3.2 | .591 | .632 | 2.8–3.8 | 3.2 | +0.0 |
| 11 | Anthony Edwards | G | MIN | 27.9 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 3.1 | .457 | .834 | 2.8–3.6 | 2.9 | −0.2 |
| 12 | Joel Embiid | C | PHI | 26.2 | 8.3 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3.0 | .498 | .861 | 2.3–3.4 | 2.9 | −0.2 |
| 13 | Brandon Ingram | F | TOR | 21.5 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 3.0 | .484 | .829 | 2.1–3.8 | 2.4 | −0.6 |
| 14 | Paolo Banchero | F | ORL | 25.1 | 7.4 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 3.0 | .459 | .740 | 2.5–3.5 | 3.1 | +0.1 |
| 15 | Kevin Durant | F | HOU | 25.8 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 3.0 | .518 | .862 | 2.5–3.3 | 3.2 | +0.2 |
| 16 | Zion Williamson | F | NOP | 24.2 | 7.3 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.9 | .563 | .695 | 2.1–3.3 | 2.0 | −0.8 |
| 17 | Domantas Sabonis | F | SAC | 18.2 | 13.1 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.8 | .588 | .738 | 2.4–3.4 | 2.7 | −0.2 |
| 18 | Jordan Poole | G | NOP | 19.9 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 2.8 | .426 | .875 | 2.1–3.3 | 1.8 | −1.1 |
| 19 | Jaden Ivey | G | TOT | 17.3 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 2.8 | .444 | .757 | 1.9–3.5 | 1.1 | −1.7 |
| 20 | Jayson Tatum | F | BOS | 27.3 | 8.4 | 5.7 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 2.8 | .463 | .842 | 2.3–3.1 | 2.4 | −0.4 |
| 21 | Stephen Curry | G | GSW | 24.3 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 4.5 | 2.8 | .434 | .914 | 2.2–3.2 | 2.8 | +0.0 |
| 22 | Josh Giddey | G | CHI | 15.5 | 7.7 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2.8 | .473 | .783 | 1.8–3.3 | 3.6 | +0.9 |
| 23 | Devin Booker | G | PHX | 25.6 | 4.2 | 6.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 2.7 | .470 | .878 | 2.3–3.3 | 3.1 | +0.4 |
| 24 | Scoot Henderson | G | POR | 14.5 | 3.3 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 2.7 | .423 | .798 | 1.8–3.2 | 2.4 | −0.3 |
| 25 | Karl-Anthony Towns | C | NYK | 22.5 | 10.8 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 2.7 | .508 | .855 | 2.2–3.1 | 2.5 | −0.2 |
| 26 | Darius Garland | G | LAC | 21.0 | 3.0 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 2.7 | .462 | .858 | 2.1–3.1 | 2.9 | +0.2 |
| 27 | Alperen Sengun | C | HOU | 20.0 | 9.9 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.7 | .509 | .705 | 1.9–3.2 | 3.2 | +0.5 |
| 28 | Scottie Barnes | F | TOR | 18.7 | 7.4 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.6 | .455 | .776 | 2.0–3.2 | 2.6 | −0.0 |
| 29 | Keyonte George | G | UTA | 16.2 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 2.6 | .406 | .838 | 1.8–3.2 | 3.1 | +0.4 |
| 30 | Julius Randle | F | BKN | 18.8 | 7.3 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 2.6 | .475 | .779 | 2.2–3.1 | 2.7 | +0.1 |
| 31 | Russell Westbrook | G | SAC | 11.7 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.6 | .434 | .688 | 1.6–3.4 | 3.3 | +0.7 |
| 32 | Jalen Green | G | PHX | 22.7 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 2.6 | .431 | .811 | 1.9–3.2 | 2.3 | −0.3 |
| 33 | De'Aaron Fox | G | SAS | 23.6 | 4.7 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 2.6 | .469 | .796 | 2.1–3.2 | 2.3 | −0.3 |
| 34 | Isaiah Collier | G | UTA | 9.8 | 3.6 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.6 | .432 | .722 | 1.8–3.4 | 2.5 | −0.1 |
| 35 | RJ Barrett | F | TOR | 21.0 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 2.6 | .467 | .706 | 1.9–3.1 | 1.7 | −0.8 |
| 36 | Tyler Herro | G | MIL | 23.0 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 2.5 | .452 | .880 | 2.0–2.9 | 1.9 | −0.6 |
| 37 | Jaylen Brown | G | PHI | 21.8 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 2.5 | .476 | .753 | 1.9–3.3 | 3.6 | +1.1 |
| 38 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | OKC | 29.0 | 5.3 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.5 | .523 | .880 | 2.0–2.9 | 2.2 | −0.3 |
| 39 | Zach LaVine | G | SAC | 21.6 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 2.5 | .489 | .844 | 1.9–3.1 | 1.9 | −0.6 |
| 40 | Dejounte Murray | G | NOP | 18.4 | 5.8 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2.5 | .442 | .808 | 1.8–3.3 | 3.4 | +0.9 |
| 41 | Deni Avdija | F | POR | 16.3 | 7.2 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2.4 | .470 | .766 | 1.6–3.1 | 3.8 | +1.4 |
| 42 | Desmond Bane | G | ORL | 20.1 | 5.4 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 2.4 | .473 | .878 | 1.7–2.7 | 2.0 | −0.4 |
| 43 | Austin Reaves | G | LAL | 18.8 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 2.3 | .471 | .869 | 1.7–2.7 | 3.0 | +0.7 |
| 44 | Draymond Green | F | GSW | 7.6 | 5.8 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.3 | .455 | .717 | 1.3–2.8 | 2.7 | +0.4 |
| 45 | Collin Sexton | G | LAL | 18.1 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 2.3 | .476 | .853 | 1.5–2.9 | 2.1 | −0.2 |
| 46 | Jalen Brunson | G | NYK | 26.1 | 3.4 | 6.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 2.3 | .476 | .834 | 1.8–2.7 | 2.4 | +0.1 |
| 47 | Stephon Castle | G | SAS | 16.3 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 2.3 | .435 | .748 | 1.3–2.8 | 3.2 | +0.9 |
| 48 | Franz Wagner | F | ORL | 22.9 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 2.3 | .472 | .858 | 1.7–2.8 | 1.7 | −0.6 |
| 49 | Brandon Miller | F | CHA | 21.0 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 2.2 | .424 | .852 | 1.8–3.0 | 2.5 | +0.3 |
| 50 | Coby White | G | CHA | 19.1 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 2.2 | .445 | .874 | 1.6–2.8 | 2.6 | +0.3 |
| 51 | Donovan Mitchell | G | CLE | 25.1 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 2.2 | .455 | .845 | 1.7–2.7 | 2.8 | +0.6 |
| 52 | Jordan Clarkson | G | NYK | 15.2 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 2.2 | .413 | .819 | 1.3–2.9 | 0.9 | −1.3 |
| 53 | Paul George | F | BOS | 16.8 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | .450 | .854 | 1.6–2.8 | 1.7 | −0.4 |
| 54 | Malik Monk | G | SAC | 16.3 | 3.4 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 2.2 | .438 | .862 | 1.5–2.7 | 1.5 | −0.7 |
| 55 | Jalen Suggs | G | ORL | 14.9 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 2.2 | .435 | .811 | 1.4–3.0 | 2.7 | +0.5 |
| 56 | Kyle Kuzma | F | MIL | 15.6 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2.1 | .452 | .719 | 1.5–2.9 | 1.7 | −0.4 |
| 57 | Tyrese Maxey | G | PHI | 25.0 | 3.4 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 2.1 | .453 | .875 | 1.7–2.7 | 2.4 | +0.3 |
| 58 | Jalen Williams | G | OKC | 21.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | .487 | .806 | 1.5–2.7 | 1.9 | −0.2 |
| 59 | Jamal Murray | G | DEN | 20.9 | 3.9 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 2.1 | .465 | .857 | 1.6–2.4 | 2.3 | +0.2 |
| 60 | Bam Adebayo | C | MIA | 18.6 | 9.4 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.1 | .499 | .769 | 1.5–2.8 | 1.6 | −0.5 |
| 61 | Anfernee Simons | G | PHI | 19.2 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 2.1 | .431 | .889 | 1.6–2.6 | 1.2 | −0.9 |
| 62 | Shaedon Sharpe | G | POR | 18.6 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 | .449 | .804 | 1.3–2.7 | 2.9 | +0.8 |
| 63 | Jaren Jackson Jr. | F | UTA | 21.3 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.1 | .473 | .798 | 1.5–2.6 | 2.2 | +0.1 |
| 64 | Cam Thomas | G | TOT | 21.9 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 2.1 | .441 | .872 | 1.5–2.8 | 1.8 | −0.3 |
| 65 | Bilal Coulibaly | G | WAS | 13.1 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.0 | .437 | .734 | 1.2–2.5 | 1.4 | −0.6 |
| 66 | Miles Bridges | F | PHX | 20.7 | 7.2 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 2.0 | .446 | .846 | 1.5–2.5 | 1.4 | −0.6 |
| 67 | Jalen Johnson | F | ATL | 17.0 | 8.3 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 2.0 | .505 | .730 | 1.4–2.9 | 3.4 | +1.4 |
| 68 | Evan Mobley | C | CLE | 18.0 | 9.2 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.0 | .552 | .711 | 1.4–2.8 | 1.9 | −0.1 |
| 69 | Anthony Davis | F | WAS | 24.4 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 2.0 | .529 | .789 | 1.5–2.5 | 2.0 | +0.0 |
| 70 | Amen Thompson | G | HOU | 14.6 | 7.9 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | .553 | .690 | 1.3–2.4 | 2.4 | +0.4 |
| 71 | Kevin Porter Jr. | G | MIL | 11.4 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.9 | .444 | .777 | 1.1–2.9 | 2.9 | +0.9 |
| 72 | Bennedict Mathurin | G | LAC | 17.2 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | .450 | .829 | 1.2–2.7 | 2.2 | +0.2 |
| 73 | Bradley Beal | G | TOT | 16.6 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 | .500 | .819 | 1.4–2.5 | 1.5 | −0.4 |
| 74 | Jalen Duren | C | DET | 12.1 | 10.4 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | .645 | .694 | 1.2–2.4 | 1.9 | −0.0 |
| 75 | Josh Hart | G | NYK | 11.9 | 8.7 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | .492 | .765 | 1.3–2.3 | 1.9 | +0.1 |
| 76 | Dyson Daniels | G | ATL | 13.4 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | .486 | .637 | 1.2–2.5 | 1.8 | −0.0 |
| 77 | D'Angelo Russell | G | MEM | 14.4 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 | .424 | .831 | 1.1–2.5 | 1.9 | +0.1 |
| 78 | Bub Carrington | G | WAS | 11.0 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.8 | .422 | .828 | 1.1–2.5 | 2.3 | +0.5 |
| 79 | John Collins | F | DET | 16.6 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.8 | .509 | .811 | 1.2–2.7 | 1.4 | −0.4 |
| 80 | P.J. Washington | F | DAL | 14.2 | 6.9 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.7 | .445 | .712 | 1.1–2.5 | 1.7 | −0.1 |
| 81 | Jusuf Nurkic | C | UTA | 8.9 | 7.8 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.7 | .493 | .670 | 1.1–2.5 | 2.5 | +0.7 |
| 82 | CJ McCollum | G | ATL | 19.5 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 1.7 | .445 | .779 | 1.3–2.2 | 1.8 | +0.1 |
| 83 | Scotty Pippen Jr. | G | MEM | 10.3 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | .474 | .737 | 0.9–2.7 | 2.7 | +1.0 |
| 84 | Chet Holmgren | C | OKC | 15.6 | 7.7 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | .504 | .784 | 0.9–2.5 | 1.6 | −0.2 |
| 85 | Jeremy Sochan | F | NYK | 12.4 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.7 | .479 | .736 | 0.9–2.3 | 0.5 | −1.2 |
| 86 | Alex Sarr | C | WAS | 13.9 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.7 | .409 | .728 | 1.1–2.5 | 1.7 | +0.0 |
| 87 | Dennis Schroder | G | CLE | 12.6 | 2.8 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 1.7 | .415 | .842 | 1.1–2.3 | 1.8 | +0.1 |
| 88 | Kawhi Leonard | F | LAC | 21.5 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.7 | .508 | .850 | 1.3–2.0 | 2.0 | +0.4 |
| 89 | Mikal Bridges | G | NYK | 17.4 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 1.6 | .469 | .844 | 1.1–2.4 | 1.0 | −0.6 |
| 90 | Jared McCain | G | OKC | 15.5 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | .446 | .846 | 0.9–2.3 | 0.8 | −0.8 |
| 91 | Trey Murphy III | F | NOP | 19.0 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 1.6 | .448 | .875 | 0.8–2.3 | 1.8 | +0.2 |
| 92 | Andrew Nembhard | G | IND | 10.3 | 3.1 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | .460 | .805 | 1.0–2.4 | 2.4 | +0.8 |
| 93 | Deandre Ayton | C | WAS | 14.5 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.6 | .562 | .739 | 1.2–2.2 | 1.2 | −0.5 |
| 94 | Pascal Siakam | F | IND | 19.7 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | .508 | .754 | 1.1–2.1 | 2.2 | +0.6 |
| 95 | Kelly Olynyk | F | SAS | 8.3 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | .507 | .820 | 1.0–2.1 | 0.6 | −1.0 |
| 96 | Marcus Smart | G | HOU | 9.9 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 | .407 | .771 | 1.0–2.5 | 1.5 | −0.1 |
| 97 | Anthony Black | G | ORL | 9.1 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | .443 | .737 | 0.8–2.5 | 2.1 | +0.5 |
| 98 | Jakob Poeltl | C | TOR | 12.0 | 8.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | .624 | .611 | 1.2–2.2 | 1.2 | −0.3 |
| 99 | Brice Sensabaugh | F | UTA | 11.5 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1.6 | .439 | .869 | 0.7–2.4 | 1.7 | +0.1 |
| 100 | Quentin Grimes | G | LAL | 13.6 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | .443 | .776 | 0.8–2.2 | 1.8 | +0.2 |