NBA Projections · Turnovers

2025-26 (model vs actual) · per-game
69% of these 100 landed inside their p10–p90 band · a season projection is a full-health baseline over the top projected players, so a big miss is often missed games, not the model
Projected leaders · Top 100
2025-26 · actual vs p50
#PlayerPosTmPTSREBASTSTLBLK3PMTOVFG%FT%RangeActualΔ
1Trae YoungGWAS24.63.010.21.10.22.94.0.423.873
3.24.6
2.6−1.4
2Cade CunninghamGDET24.95.48.61.00.62.03.8.466.848
3.14.1
3.7−0.1
3Victor WembanyamaFSAS24.610.14.31.22.82.83.6.477.806
2.73.6
2.4−1.1
4Luka DoncicGLAL29.38.18.11.50.53.43.5.474.783
2.84.2
4.0+0.5
5LeBron JamesFPHI23.27.17.51.00.52.13.4.511.766
2.63.7
3.0−0.5
6Ja MorantGPOR24.55.06.81.10.31.93.3.468.802
2.43.9
3.5+0.2
7James HardenGCLE19.55.38.61.20.62.83.3.419.867
2.24.1
3.5+0.3
8LaMelo BallGMIN26.45.37.11.30.23.43.2.419.852
2.63.8
2.8−0.4
9Nikola JokicCDEN27.312.09.31.50.71.73.2.586.817
2.83.7
3.7+0.5
10Giannis AntetokounmpoFMIA29.311.56.00.91.00.43.2.591.632
2.83.8
3.2+0.0
11Anthony EdwardsGMIN27.96.05.01.20.73.53.1.457.834
2.83.6
2.9−0.2
12Joel EmbiidCPHI26.28.34.20.91.31.33.0.498.861
2.33.4
2.9−0.2
13Brandon IngramFTOR21.55.15.40.80.51.93.0.484.829
2.13.8
2.4−0.6
14Paolo BancheroFORL25.17.45.20.90.61.83.0.459.740
2.53.5
3.1+0.1
15Kevin DurantFHOU25.86.04.20.81.12.33.0.518.862
2.53.3
3.2+0.2
16Zion WilliamsonFNOP24.27.35.21.00.70.22.9.563.695
2.13.3
2.0−0.8
17Domantas SabonisFSAC18.213.16.60.70.40.82.8.588.738
2.43.4
2.7−0.2
18Jordan PooleGNOP19.93.04.51.10.33.32.8.426.875
2.13.3
1.8−1.1
19Jaden IveyGTOT17.34.04.30.80.41.92.8.444.757
1.93.5
1.1−1.7
20Jayson TatumFBOS27.38.45.71.10.63.42.8.463.842
2.33.1
2.4−0.4
21Stephen CurryGGSW24.34.45.61.00.44.52.8.434.914
2.23.2
2.8+0.0
22Josh GiddeyGCHI15.57.76.61.00.61.52.8.473.783
1.83.3
3.6+0.9
23Devin BookerGPHX25.64.26.90.90.32.32.7.470.878
2.33.3
3.1+0.4
24Scoot HendersonGPOR14.53.35.11.00.21.72.7.423.798
1.83.2
2.4−0.3
25Karl-Anthony TownsCNYK22.510.83.30.80.62.22.7.508.855
2.23.1
2.5−0.2
26Darius GarlandGLAC21.03.06.91.20.12.82.7.462.858
2.13.1
2.9+0.2
27Alperen SengunCHOU20.09.95.01.20.80.52.7.509.705
1.93.2
3.2+0.5
28Scottie BarnesFTOR18.77.45.81.31.01.32.6.455.776
2.03.2
2.6−0.0
29Keyonte GeorgeGUTA16.23.75.30.70.12.52.6.406.838
1.83.2
3.1+0.4
30Julius RandleFBKN18.87.34.20.60.21.82.6.475.779
2.23.1
2.7+0.1
31Russell WestbrookGSAC11.74.85.21.10.41.02.6.434.688
1.63.4
3.3+0.7
32Jalen GreenGPHX22.74.83.80.90.33.02.6.431.811
1.93.2
2.3−0.3
33De'Aaron FoxGSAS23.64.76.01.40.42.12.6.469.796
2.13.2
2.3−0.3
34Isaiah CollierGUTA9.83.65.70.90.30.82.6.432.722
1.83.4
2.5−0.1
35RJ BarrettFTOR21.05.94.80.70.31.82.6.467.706
1.93.1
1.7−0.8
36Tyler HerroGMIL23.05.25.50.90.23.22.5.452.880
2.02.9
1.9−0.6
37Jaylen BrownGPHI21.85.84.21.10.41.92.5.476.753
1.93.3
3.6+1.1
38Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderGOKC29.05.36.21.71.01.82.5.523.880
2.02.9
2.2−0.3
39Zach LaVineGSAC21.64.64.10.80.22.82.5.489.844
1.93.1
1.9−0.6
40Dejounte MurrayGNOP18.45.86.11.40.32.02.5.442.808
1.83.3
3.4+0.9
41Deni AvdijaFPOR16.37.23.90.90.51.62.4.470.766
1.63.1
3.8+1.4
42Desmond BaneGORL20.15.45.11.10.42.62.4.473.878
1.72.7
2.0−0.4
43Austin ReavesGLAL18.84.35.50.90.32.52.3.471.869
1.72.7
3.0+0.7
44Draymond GreenFGSW7.65.84.91.10.80.92.3.455.717
1.32.8
2.7+0.4
45Collin SextonGLAL18.13.04.30.80.21.82.3.476.853
1.52.9
2.1−0.2
46Jalen BrunsonGNYK26.13.46.90.90.22.32.3.476.834
1.82.7
2.4+0.1
47Stephon CastleGSAS16.34.04.30.90.31.42.3.435.748
1.32.8
3.2+0.9
48Franz WagnerFORL22.95.54.81.10.31.82.3.472.858
1.72.8
1.7−0.6
49Brandon MillerFCHA21.04.63.21.00.63.22.2.424.852
1.83.0
2.5+0.3
50Coby WhiteGCHA19.13.84.50.80.22.82.2.445.874
1.62.8
2.6+0.3
51Donovan MitchellGCLE25.14.75.11.30.33.42.2.455.845
1.72.7
2.8+0.6
52Jordan ClarksonGNYK15.23.13.50.60.21.92.2.413.819
1.32.9
0.9−1.3
53Paul GeorgeFBOS16.85.13.51.30.42.42.2.450.854
1.62.8
1.7−0.4
54Malik MonkGSAC16.33.45.30.80.52.12.2.438.862
1.52.7
1.5−0.7
55Jalen SuggsGORL14.93.63.21.20.62.12.2.435.811
1.43.0
2.7+0.5
56Kyle KuzmaFMIL15.65.92.60.50.41.62.1.452.719
1.52.9
1.7−0.4
57Tyrese MaxeyGPHI25.03.45.91.30.43.12.1.453.875
1.72.7
2.4+0.3
58Jalen WilliamsGOKC21.05.05.01.40.61.72.1.487.806
1.52.7
1.9−0.2
59Jamal MurrayGDEN20.93.96.11.10.42.42.1.465.857
1.62.4
2.3+0.2
60Bam AdebayoCMIA18.69.44.11.10.70.92.1.499.769
1.52.8
1.6−0.5
61Anfernee SimonsGPHI19.22.94.80.70.13.12.1.431.889
1.62.6
1.2−0.9
62Shaedon SharpeGPOR18.64.62.80.80.32.02.1.449.804
1.32.7
2.9+0.8
63Jaren Jackson Jr.FUTA21.35.82.01.11.72.02.1.473.798
1.52.6
2.2+0.1
64Cam ThomasGTOT21.93.13.30.60.22.32.1.441.872
1.52.8
1.8−0.3
65Bilal CoulibalyGWAS13.14.73.01.20.71.22.0.437.734
1.22.5
1.4−0.6
66Miles BridgesFPHX20.77.24.00.80.62.32.0.446.846
1.52.5
1.4−0.6
67Jalen JohnsonFATL17.08.34.11.20.71.12.0.505.730
1.42.9
3.4+1.4
68Evan MobleyCCLE18.09.23.40.91.41.02.0.552.711
1.42.8
1.9−0.1
69Anthony DavisFWAS24.410.53.31.11.90.62.0.529.789
1.52.5
2.0+0.0
70Amen ThompsonGHOU14.67.93.81.31.00.52.0.553.690
1.32.4
2.4+0.4
71Kevin Porter Jr.GMIL11.44.03.81.10.21.11.9.444.777
1.12.9
2.9+0.9
72Bennedict MathurinGLAC17.25.12.00.70.31.51.9.450.829
1.22.7
2.2+0.2
73Bradley BealGTOT16.63.53.61.00.51.81.9.500.819
1.42.5
1.5−0.4
74Jalen DurenCDET12.110.42.60.71.00.01.9.645.694
1.22.4
1.9−0.0
75Josh HartGNYK11.98.75.01.20.31.21.8.492.765
1.32.3
1.9+0.1
76Dyson DanielsGATL13.45.03.91.80.51.01.8.486.637
1.22.5
1.8−0.0
77D'Angelo RussellGMEM14.43.15.00.90.42.31.8.424.831
1.12.5
1.9+0.1
78Bub CarringtonGWAS11.04.44.40.70.31.81.8.422.828
1.12.5
2.3+0.5
79John CollinsFDET16.67.41.60.70.91.41.8.509.811
1.22.7
1.4−0.4
80P.J. WashingtonFDAL14.26.92.21.00.91.71.7.445.712
1.12.5
1.7−0.1
81Jusuf NurkicCUTA8.97.82.40.80.70.61.7.493.670
1.12.5
2.5+0.7
82CJ McCollumGATL19.53.84.30.80.52.91.7.445.779
1.32.2
1.8+0.1
83Scotty Pippen Jr.GMEM10.33.53.91.20.41.21.7.474.737
0.92.7
2.7+1.0
84Chet HolmgrenCOKC15.67.72.20.72.11.41.7.504.784
0.92.5
1.6−0.2
85Jeremy SochanFNYK12.46.52.80.80.50.71.7.479.736
0.92.3
0.5−1.2
86Alex SarrCWAS13.96.92.60.71.41.61.7.409.728
1.12.5
1.7+0.0
87Dennis SchroderGCLE12.62.84.90.70.21.61.7.415.842
1.12.3
1.8+0.1
88Kawhi LeonardFLAC21.55.83.21.40.62.01.7.508.850
1.32.0
2.0+0.4
89Mikal BridgesGNYK17.43.63.60.90.52.41.6.469.844
1.12.4
1.0−0.6
90Jared McCainGOKC15.52.82.80.70.11.91.6.446.846
0.92.3
0.8−0.8
91Trey Murphy IIIFNOP19.04.83.21.00.63.01.6.448.875
0.82.3
1.8+0.2
92Andrew NembhardGIND10.33.14.61.00.10.91.6.460.805
1.02.4
2.4+0.8
93Deandre AytonCWAS14.510.01.50.70.80.11.6.562.739
1.22.2
1.2−0.5
94Pascal SiakamFIND19.76.73.80.80.41.51.6.508.754
1.12.1
2.2+0.6
95Kelly OlynykFSAS8.34.63.10.70.40.81.6.507.820
1.02.1
0.6−1.0
96Marcus SmartGHOU9.92.53.31.20.21.51.6.407.771
1.02.5
1.5−0.1
97Anthony BlackGORL9.13.32.90.90.50.91.6.443.737
0.82.5
2.1+0.5
98Jakob PoeltlCTOR12.08.92.40.91.10.01.6.624.611
1.22.2
1.2−0.3
99Brice SensabaughFUTA11.53.41.80.70.22.21.6.439.869
0.72.4
1.7+0.1
100Quentin GrimesGLAL13.64.02.80.80.32.11.6.443.776
0.82.2
1.8+0.2