MLB Terminal — projections, standings & analytics

Bryan Abreu

P · HOU

29 yrs

Pitcher

Description

Position: P
Team: HOU
Type: Pitcher
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
Born: 1997-04-22
Age: 29
Country: Dominican Republic
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 230 lb
Last active: 2026

Career Résumé

8 seasons

Seasons	8 2019–2026
Games	353
W-L	18-15
ERA	2.90
WHIP	1.22
IP	363
SO	490
SV	21

Pitching Projections

2026 · per ~700 BF

Stat	Proj	Range (p10–p90)	vs LY
ERA	3.52	2.50–4.13	0.00
WHIP	1.18	0.96–1.49	0.00
SO	222	194–245	+4
BB	70	49–95	+1
HR	18	11–28	−1
Hits	129	108–152	+0
ER	65	46–77	−0

Regular season

Season	Tm	W	L	ERA	WHIP	G	SV	IP	SO	BB	HR	ER	xERA	Brl%
2026	HOU	2	3	5.45	1.64	36	5	33.0	42	27	7	20	5.10	7.9%
2025	HOU	3	4	2.28	1.15	70	7	71.0	105	31	4	18	3.41	8.3%
2024	HOU	3	3	3.10	1.16	78	1	78.1	103	32	9	27	3.25	8.7%
2023	HOU	3	2	1.75	1.04	72	5	72.0	100	31	6	14	3.25	9.8%
2022WS Champ	HOU	4	0	1.94	1.18	55	2	60.1	88	26	2	13	2.92	3.8%
2021	HOU	3	3	5.75	1.47	31	1	36.0	36	18	4	23	4.73	6.7%
2020	HOU	0	0	2.70	2.40	4	0	3.1	3	7	0	1	7.97	0.0%
2019	HOU	0	0	1.04	0.81	7	0	8.2	13	3	0	1	2.45	0.0%

Regular season · OAA 2016+

Season	Pos	G	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	FLD%	RF/9	OAA
2026	P	35	32.0	0	1	1	0	.500	0.28	—
2025	P	70	71.0	3	6	1	0	.900	1.14	—
2024	P	78	78.1	5	3	0	0	1.000	0.92	—
2023	P	72	72.0	5	6	0	0	1.000	1.38	—
2022WS Champ	P	55	60.1	2	6	0	0	1.000	1.19	—
2021	P	31	36.0	7	3	0	1	1.000	2.50	—
2020	P	4	3.1	2	0	0	0	1.000	5.40	—
2019	P	7	8.2	2	2	0	0	1.000	4.15	—

Date		Opp	Res
2026-07-18	vs	BAL	L
2026-07-12	@	TEX	L
2026-07-07	@	WSH	W
2026-07-01	vs	MIN	L
2026-06-28	@	DET	W
2026-06-26	@	DET	L

Date		Opp	Res	Dec	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	Pit
2026-07-20	vs	MIA	W	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	2	28
2026-07-18	vs	BAL	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15
2026-07-12	@	TEX	L	ND	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	2	21
2026-07-07	@	WSH	W	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	9
2026-07-01	vs	MIN	L	ND	2.0	1	1	1	1	0	3	34
2026-06-28	@	DET	W	ND	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	0	15
2026-06-26	@	DET	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	10
2026-06-20	vs	CLE	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11
2026-06-15	vs	DET	L	ND	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	2	21
2026-06-13	@	KC	W	S	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	8
2026-06-10	@	LAA	L	L	0.0	2	1	0	0	0	0	7
2026-06-08	@	LAA	W	S	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	8
2026-06-07	vs	ATH	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	2	9
2026-06-04	vs	PIT	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	18
2026-06-02	vs	PIT	L	ND	1.0	2	3	3	1	1	2	32
2026-05-29	vs	MIL	L	H	0.1	0	1	1	0	2	0	12
2026-05-28	@	TEX	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	2	12
2026-05-24	@	CHC	W	H	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	15
2026-05-22	@	CHC	W	H	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	14
2026-05-19	@	MIN	W	S	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	9
2026-05-16	vs	TEX	W	S	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	0	24
2026-05-13	vs	SEA	W	W	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	1	17
2026-05-09	@	CIN	L	ND	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
2026-05-04	vs	LAD	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	3	18
2026-05-03	@	BOS	W	W	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	1	22
2026-04-30	@	BAL	W	ND	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	3	27
2026-04-24	vs	NYY	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	14
2026-04-17	vs	STL	L	ND	1.0	2	3	3	1	1	0	16
2026-04-15	vs	COL	W	H	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	2	23
2026-04-12	@	SEA	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	1	27
2026-04-11	@	SEA	L	L	0.1	1	1	1	0	3	1	23
2026-04-08	@	COL	L	ND	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	2	22
2026-04-05	@	ATH	L	L	0.1	2	3	2	1	1	0	16
2026-04-01	vs	BOS	W	S	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	3	16
2026-03-29	vs	LAA	W	H	0.1	0	1	1	0	2	0	14
2026-03-28	vs	LAA	W	ND	1.0	1	3	3	1	2	3	26

Pitching Profile2026 · vs 260

K/9

11.596

BB/9

7.40

HR/9

1.98

ERA

5.4512

WHIP

1.642

xERA

5.1016

Brl%A

7.9%43

PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league

Career Highs

Stat	Best	Year
Wins	4	2022
SO	105	2025
SV	7	2025
ERA	1.04	2019
WHIP	0.81	2019

Comparable Players

2026 · stat-profile similarity

Justin LawrenceWSH31y
7.34 ERA · 43 K · 1.95 WHIP
73%
vs
Ryne StanekSTL34y
4.82 ERA · 40 K · 1.53 WHIP
71%
vs
Seranthony DomínguezCWS31y
4.50 ERA · 42 K · 1.32 WHIP
69%
vs
Hogan HarrisATH29y
3.38 ERA · 57 K · 1.52 WHIP
66%
vs
Tatsuya ImaiHOU28y
6.06 ERA · 63 K · 1.50 WHIP
65%
vs

Accolades

World Series Champion

2022

Career Arc

ERA by season · taller = better

Year over Year

pitching trajectory

Yr	Tm	W	ERA	WHIP	SO	IP
21	HOU	3	5.75	1.47	36	36
22	HOU	4▲	1.94▼	1.18▼	88▲	60▲
23	HOU	3▼	1.75▼	1.04▼	100▲	72▲
24	HOU	3	3.10▲	1.16▲	103▲	78▲
25	HOU	3	2.28▼	1.15▼	105▲	71▼
26	HOU	2▼	5.45▲	1.64▲	42▼	33▼

Career Milestones

chase to the next mark

Wins18

32 to 50

Strikeouts490

510 to 1,000

Saves21

79 to 100

Season

Pitch Arsenal

2025 · Statcast

Pitch	Use	Velo	Spin
4-Seam	50%	97.3	2313
Slider	48%	86.5	2922
Sinker	1%	96.0	2171
Changeup	0%	91.2	1729

Plate Discipline

2025 · induced

30.1%

Chase

lg 28.5%

65.5%

Z-Swing

lg 67%

39.5%

Whiff

lg 24.5%

60.5%

Contact

lg 76%

45.6%

Zone

lg 48.5%

34.1%

CSW

lg 28%

1,207 pitches · green/red vs league avg

Statcast Trend

xERA by season · taller = better

Barrel% Against by season · taller = better

Per game	2.6
Ceiling (90th)	7.7
Floor (10th)	-2.0
Std dev	3.6
Boom rate	33%
Bust rate	36%
Profile	Volatile