MLB Terminal — projections, standings & analytics

Elvis Alvarado

P · ATH

27 yrs

Pitcher

Description

Position: P
Team: ATH
Type: Pitcher
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
Born: 1999-02-23
Age: 27
Country: Dominican Republic
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 253 lb
Last active: 2026

Career Résumé

2 seasons

Seasons	2 2025–2026
Games	63
W-L	4-4
ERA	4.22
WHIP	1.28
IP	70
SO	85
SV	2

Pitching Projections

2026 · per ~700 BF

Stat	Proj	Range (p10–p90)	vs LY
ERA	4.04	3.09–5.56	−0.15
WHIP	1.35	1.09–1.66	+0.01
SO	175	139–220	+1
BB	74	55–94	+3
HR	22	11–32	−0
Hits	143	119–168	−2
ER	72	55–99	−3

Regular season

Season	Tm	W	L	ERA	WHIP	G	GS	SV	IP	SO	BB	HR	ER	xERA	Brl%
2026	ATH	3	3	5.79	1.21	26	0	2	28.0	35	11	7	18	5.34	20.6%
2025	ATH	1	1	3.19	1.32	37	0	0	42.1	50	22	6	15	3.82	8.3%

Season	Pos	G	GS	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	FLD%	RF/9	OAA
2026	P	26	0	28.0	2	1	0	0	1.000	0.96	—
2025	P	37	0	42.1	0	2	1	0	.667	0.43	—

Date		Opp	Res
2026-07-19	vs	WSH	L
2026-07-10	@	CWS	L
2026-07-07	@	DET	L
2026-07-05	vs	MIA	L
2026-06-30	vs	LAD	L
2026-06-28	@	LAA	L
2026-06-26	@	LAA	W
2026-06-24	@	SF	L
2026-06-21	vs	LAA	L
2026-06-19	vs	LAA	W

Date		Opp	Res	Dec	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	Pit
2026-07-19	vs	WSH	L	ND	0.2	2	3	3	2	1	0	21
2026-07-10	@	CWS	L	ND	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	20
2026-07-07	@	DET	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	3	23
2026-07-05	vs	MIA	L	ND	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	1	28
2026-07-04	vs	MIA	L	ND	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	1	17
2026-06-30	vs	LAD	L	ND	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	10
2026-06-28	@	LAA	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	10
2026-06-26	@	LAA	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	15
2026-06-24	@	SF	L	L	0.2	2	2	2	2	0	0	12
2026-06-21	vs	LAA	L	L	1.2	2	2	2	1	0	3	21
2026-06-19	vs	LAA	W	W	2.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	21
2026-06-16	vs	PIT	L	L	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	0	16
2026-06-13	vs	COL	W	S	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	2	19
2026-06-10	vs	MIL	W	S	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	2	14
2026-06-09	vs	MIL	W	H	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	20
2026-06-06	@	HOU	L	ND	2.0	1	0	0	0	0	3	44
2026-04-17	vs	CWS	L	ND	2.0	3	4	4	1	3	3	45
2026-04-14	vs	TEX	W	H	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
2026-04-12	@	NYM	W	H	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
2026-04-10	@	NYM	W	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	20
2026-04-08	@	NYY	W	W	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	1	11
2026-04-05	vs	HOU	W	W	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	1	8
2026-04-04	vs	HOU	L	ND	2.0	3	2	2	0	2	0	29
2026-04-01	@	ATL	L	ND	0.2	2	1	1	0	0	0	20
2026-03-30	@	ATL	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	16
2026-03-28	@	TOR	L	H	1.0	1	2	2	0	2	2	26

Pitching Profile2026 · vs 260

K/9

11.395

BB/9

3.533

HR/9

2.32

ERA

5.7910

WHIP

1.2160

xERA

5.3411

Brl%A

20.6%0

PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league

Career Highs

Stat	Best	Year
Wins	3	2026
SO	50	2025
SV	2	2026
ERA	3.19	2025
WHIP	1.21	2026

Comparable Players

2025 · stat-profile similarity

Taylor RogersCHC35y
3.38 ERA · 53 K · 1.38 WHIP
87%
vs
Orion KerkeringPHI25y
3.30 ERA · 65 K · 1.37 WHIP
85%
vs
Reed GarrettNYM33y
3.90 ERA · 64 K · 1.32 WHIP
84%
vs
Ian HamiltonNYY31y
4.28 ERA · 42 K · 1.25 WHIP
84%
vs
Jordan LeasureCWS27y
3.92 ERA · 81 K · 1.23 WHIP
83%
vs

Career Arc

ERA by season · taller = better

Year over Year

pitching trajectory

Yr	Tm	W	ERA	WHIP	SO	IP
25	ATH	1	3.19	1.32	50	42
26	ATH	3▲	5.79▲	1.21▼	35▼	28▼

Career Milestones

chase to the next mark

Wins4

46 to 50

Strikeouts85

915 to 1,000

Saves2

98 to 100

Season

Pitch Arsenal

2025 · Statcast

Pitch	Use	Velo	Spin
4-Seam	49%	98.7	2450
Slider	32%	88.9	2216
Sinker	15%	98.3	2488
Changeup	4%	89.5	1917

Plate Discipline

2025 · induced

26.7%

Chase

lg 28.5%

71.1%

Z-Swing

lg 67%

31.2%

Whiff

lg 24.5%

68.8%

Contact

lg 76%

45.5%

Zone

lg 48.5%

28.4%

CSW

lg 28%

767 pitches · green/red vs league avg

Statcast Trend

xERA by season · taller = better

Barrel% Against by season · taller = better

Per game	3.4
Ceiling (90th)	10.2
Floor (10th)	-2.1
Std dev	4.7
Boom rate	35%
Bust rate	42%
Profile	Volatile