MLB Terminal — projections, standings & analytics

Cincinnati Reds

NL Central · 2023

82-80.50610.0 GB

2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021

Division

NL Central

Team	W-L	GB	RF	RA	DIFF
MIL	92-70	—	728	647	+81
CHC	83-79	9.0	819	723	+96
CIN	82-80	10.0	783	821	-38
PIT	76-86	16.0	692	790	-98
STL	71-91	21.0	719	829	-110

2023 Outlook

Final record

82-80.506 · 162 games

Pythagorean review

Pythag win%	.478
Deserved record	77-85
Luck (W vs Pythag)	+5
MLB Pythag rank	18th of 30

Schedule

Full schedule →

Date	Opp	Res	Score
9/26	@CLE	W	11-7
9/27	@CLE	L	3-4
9/29	@STL	W	19-2
9/30	@STL	L	6-15
10/1	@STL	L	3-4

Leaders

Stat	Player	Value
HR	Spencer Steer	23
RBI	Spencer Steer	86
SB	Elly De La Cruz	35
AVG	Matt McLain	.290
OPS	Matt McLain	.864

2023 · by PA

Player	Pos	G	PA	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	OPS
Spencer Steer	LF	156	665	23	86	15	.271	.356	.820
TJ Friedl	CF	138	556	18	66	27	.279	.352	.819
Hunter Renfroe	RF	140	548	20	60	0	.233	.297	.713
Jonathan India	2B	119	529	17	61	14	.244	.338	.745
Tyler Stephenson	C	142	517	13	56	0	.243	.317	.695
Elly De La Cruz	SS	98	427	13	44	35	.235	.300	.710
Matt McLain	2B	89	403	16	50	14	.290	.357	.864
Jake Fraley	RF	111	380	15	65	21	.256	.339	.782
Harrison Bader	CF	98	344	7	40	20	.232	.274	.622
Nick Senzel	3B	104	330	13	42	6	.236	.297	.696
Will Benson	RF	108	329	11	31	19	.275	.365	.863
Stuart Fairchild	RF	97	255	5	28	10	.228	.321	.709
Kevin Newman	3B	74	253	3	28	8	.253	.311	.675
Joey Votto	1B	65	242	14	38	0	.202	.314	.747
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	1B	63	241	13	37	2	.270	.328	.805

Leaders

Stat	Player	Value
W	Alexis Díaz	9
SV	Alexis Díaz	37
SO	Hunter Greene	152
IP	Graham Ashcraft	145.2
ERA	Sam Moll	3.03
WHIP	Buck Farmer	1.16

2023 · by IP

Player	W	L	ERA	WHIP	GS	SV	IP	SO
Graham Ashcraft	7	9	4.76	1.37	26	0	145.2	111
Brandon Williamson	5	5	4.46	1.28	23	0	117.0	98
Hunter Greene	4	7	4.82	1.42	22	0	112.0	152
Andrew Abbott	8	6	3.87	1.32	21	0	109.1	120
Ben Lively	4	7	5.38	1.36	12	0	88.2	79
Ian Gibaut	8	4	3.33	1.28	0	3	75.2	69
Buck Farmer	4	5	4.20	1.16	0	3	75.0	70
Alexis Díaz	9	6	3.07	1.19	0	37	67.1	86
Fernando Cruz	1	2	4.91	1.21	2	0	66.0	98
Sam Moll	2	3	3.03	1.24	1	1	62.1	68
Lucas Sims	7	3	3.10	1.18	0	3	61.0	72
Derek Law	4	6	3.60	1.38	3	2	55.0	45

Leaders

Stat	Player	Value
OAA	Harrison Bader	+7
FLD%	Will Benson	1.000
RF/9	Luke Maile	10.11
DP	Jonathan India	62

2023 · by Inn · OAA 2016+

Player	Pos	G	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	FLD%	RF/9	OAA
Hunter Renfroe	RF	128	1053.0	227	8	5	3	.979	2.01	-4
TJ Friedl	CF	126	962.1	274	6	1	1	.996	2.62	+6
Jonathan India	2B	104	893.1	162	219	9	62	.977	3.84	-6
Harrison Bader	CF	95	752.1	233	3	6	0	.975	2.82	+7
Tyler Stephenson	C	92	703.0	648	18	4	3	.994	8.53	—
Elly De La Cruz	SS	69	591.0	110	154	13	30	.953	4.02	+4
Spencer Steer	1B	73	501.0	388	40	5	39	.988	7.69	-16
Luke Maile	C	71	500.1	535	27	5	0	.991	10.11	—
Matt McLain	SS	53	465.0	55	121	1	25	.994	3.41	+2
Will Benson	RF	54	406.0	121	4	0	1	1.000	2.77	-3
Jake Fraley	RF	55	392.0	104	2	1	0	.991	2.43	—
Joey Votto	1B	47	374.0	296	18	1	34	.997	7.56	—
Nick Senzel	3B	57	366.0	18	79	5	7	.951	2.39	-8
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	1B	35	270.0	205	18	2	24	.991	7.43	—
Stuart Fairchild	LF	45	251.0	60	1	0	0	1.000	2.19	+3

2023 · vs league

xwOBA

.31020

AVG

.24853

SLG

.41860

Barrel%

7.0%17

Hard%

36.9%17

88.213

BB%

8.7%50

23.8%33

Speed

27.797

PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league

Scoring Trend

rolling 12-game R/G

4.83

R/G

5.07

RA/G

-0.23

Diff

Runs scoredRuns allowed162 games

Run Profile

Pythagorean

Runs / G	4.83
Runs allowed / G	5.07
Run diff / G	-0.23
Expected record	77-85
Expected win %	.478
Actual vs Pythag	+5

Situational Splits

record · run diff

Split	W-L	RF	RA	DIFF
Home	38-43	374	426	-52
Away	44-37	409	395	+14
vs Division	21-31	247	268	-21
1-run games	34-29	282	277	+5
Last 10	3-7	66	66	0

Roster Profile

62 players · 26 pos / 36 P

Average age31.0

Age distribution

U25 225-29 2430-33 1634+ 20

Bats

Left 16Right 42Switch 4

Throws

Left 11Right 51

Recent Form

last 12 · 4-8

WinLossStreak L1

Recent results

last 12

Date		Opp	Result	Score
2023-10-01	@	STL	L	3–4
2023-09-30	@	STL	L	6–15
2023-09-29	@	STL	W	19–2
2023-09-27	@	CLE	L	3–4
2023-09-26	@	CLE	W	11–7
2023-09-24	vs	PIT	W	4–2
2023-09-23	vs	PIT	L	12–13
2023-09-22	vs	PIT	L	5–7
2023-09-20	vs	MIN	L	3–5
2023-09-19	vs	MIN	L	0–7
2023-09-18	vs	MIN	W	7–3
2023-09-17	@	NYM	L	4–8

Injured List

6 on IL

Player	Pos	Status	Detail
Blake Dunn	RF	10-Day IL· elbow	Dunn (elbow) has shown improvement and hit off a tee July 11, MLB.com reports.
Matt McLain	2B	10-Day IL· calf	McLain (calf) rejoined the Reds after spending the All-Star break at the team's training complex in Arizona, MLB.com reports.
Nick Lodolo	P	15-Day IL	Lodolo had his blister drained and began throwing with a Plyo ball, MLB.com reports.
Tony Santillan	P	15-Day IL· oblique	Santillan (oblique) received a PRP injection July 9 and is undergoing further treatment, MLB.com reports.
Brandon Williamson	P	60-Day IL· shoulder	Williamson (shoulder) injured his finger while working out, and his rehab program has been pushed back by about 10 days as a result, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.
Graham Ashcraft	P	60-Day IL· elbow	Ashcraft (elbow) is on a throwing program, which will have him throw from 105 feet beginning July 20 at the Reds' training facility in Arizona, MLB.com reports.

CIN News

20 items

Fantasy baseball lineup advice for Tuesday: Castillo in position to rebound against the Reds
Everything you need to know to set your fantasy baseball lineups for Tuesday's MLB action.
CIN7h
Sal Stewart: Reaches 20-homer mark
Stewart went 1-for-5 with a three-run home run in Sunday's 9-6 win over the Rockies. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
CIN Sal Stewart22h
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies: Game Highlights
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies: Game Highlights
CIN1d
Tyler Stephenson: Powers Reds with two homers
Stephenson went 3-for-4 with two home runs, a double and three RBI in Sunday's 9-6 win over the Rockies. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
CIN Tyler Stephenson1d
Reds To Pursue Trading Players On Expiring Contracts
The Reds are looking to move their rental pieces, reports C. Trent Rosecrans and Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic. Cincinnati fell to 44-53 with a blowout loss to the Rockies this afternoon. The club is seven games out of the final NL Wild Card spot. The report notes the Reds are intent on trading players […]
CIN2d
Colorado snaps losing streak with win over Cincinnati
Colorado snaps losing streak with win over Cincinnati
CIN2d
Cincinnati Reds announce new deal for All-Star Chase Burns
Before Saturday's loss to the Colorado Rockies, the Cincinnati Reds announced they had signed starter Chase Burns to a $105 million, seven-year contract, securing a long-term future for the 23-year-old right-hander fresh off his first All-Star selection.
CIN Chase Burns2d
Reds, Chase Burns Agree To Seven-Year Extension
TODAY: The Reds officially announced Burns’ extension. Charlie Goldsmith was the first reporter to pass on the salary breakdown of Burns’ deal, which begins with a $2MM signing bonus. The right-hander then gets $2.5MM in 2027, $8MM in 2028, $12.5MM in 2029, $15MM in 2030, $17MM in 2031, $23MM in 2032, and $25MM in 2033. […]
CIN Chase Burns2d
Elly De La Cruz: Four hits, homers Friday
De La Cruz went 4-for-5 with a home run and an additional run scored in Friday's win over the Rockies. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
CIN Elly De La Cruz2d
Spencer Steer’s inside-the-park homer sparks Reds’ 7-2 win over Rockies
— Spencer Steer hit two home runs, including an inside-the-park homer, Brady Singer gave up four hits in seven strong innings, and the Cincinnati Reds beat the Colorado Rockies 7-2 on Friday night.
CIN Spencer Steer2d
Jose Trevino: Hits two homers in Saturday's loss
Trevino went 3-for-4 with two solo home runs during the Reds' 10-3 loss to the Rockies on Saturday. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
CIN Jose Trevino3d
Chase Burns extension: Reds lock up standout pitcher on seven-year, $105 million deal, per reports
Burns, 23, is one of the game's hardest throwers and recently earned his first All-Star selection
CIN Chase Burns4d
Reliving some of Chase Burns' best strikeouts this season
Reliving some of Chase Burns' best strikeouts this season
CIN Chase Burns4d
Sources: Chase Burns, Reds reach 7-year, $105M extension
All-Star right-hander Chase Burns, who is 11-1 with a 2.54 ERA this season, has agreed to a seven-year, $105 million extension with the Reds, sources told ESPN.
CIN Chase Burns4d
Chase Burns: Inks seven-year contract extension
The Reds have agreed to terms with Burns on a seven-year, $105 million contract extension, Jon Morosi of MLB Network reports. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
CIN Chase Burns4d
Chase Burns: Making next start Tuesday
Burns (groin) will start Tuesday's game against the Mariners at T-Mobile Park. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
CIN Chase Burns4d
Reds Reportedly Receiving Trade Interest In Spencer Steer
The Reds have gotten trade calls on utilityman Spencer Steer, reports Bob Nightengale of USA Today. Cincinnati has fallen nine games under .500 after a strong start and are eight games back in the Wild Card picture. That doesn’t necessarily mean Steer will be on the move. He’s under arbitration control for two seasons beyond this […]
CIN Spencer Steer7d
2026 MLB Draft: No. 1 pick Roch Cholowsky sets record with $10.35 million signing bonus
The UCLA shortstop bests the previous record, held by Chase Burns and Charlie Condon
CIN Chase Burns7d
Chase Burns: Will miss All-Star Game
Burns will not play in Tuesday's All-Star Game due to a right groin injury he suffered during his last start Wednesday, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
CIN Chase Burns7d
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: Game Highlights
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: Game Highlights
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