MLB Terminal — projections, standings & analytics

Tampa Bay Rays

AL East · 2025

77-85.47517.0 GB

2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021

Division

AL East

Team	W-L	GB	RF	RA	DIFF
NYY	94-68	—	849	685	+164
TOR	94-68	—	798	721	+77
BOS	89-73	5.0	786	676	+110
TB	77-85	17.0	714	683	+31
BAL	75-87	19.0	677	788	-111

2025 Outlook

Final record

77-85.475 · 162 games

Pythagorean review

Pythag win%	.520
Deserved record	84-78
Luck (W vs Pythag)	-7
MLB Pythag rank	14th of 30

Schedule

Full schedule →

Date	Opp	Res	Score
9/24	@BAL	W	6-2
9/25	@BAL	L	5-6
9/26	@TOR	L	2-4
9/27	@TOR	L	1-5
9/28	@TOR	L	4-13

Leaders

Stat	Player	Value
HR	Junior Caminero	45
RBI	Junior Caminero	110
SB	Chandler Simpson	44
AVG	Jonathan Aranda	.316
OPS	Jonathan Aranda	.882

2025 · by PA

Player	Pos	G	PA	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	OPS
Junior Caminero	3B	154	653	45	110	7	.264	.311	.846
Yandy Díaz	DH	150	651	25	83	3	.300	.366	.848
Brandon Lowe	2B	134	553	31	83	3	.256	.307	.784
Chandler Simpson	LF	109	441	0	26	44	.295	.326	.671
Josh Lowe	LF	108	435	11	40	18	.220	.283	.649
Jake Mangum	LF	118	428	3	40	27	.296	.330	.698
Jonathan Aranda	1B	106	422	14	59	0	.316	.393	.882
Taylor Walls	SS	101	317	4	38	14	.220	.280	.599
Christopher Morel	1B	105	305	11	33	7	.219	.289	.685
Nick Fortes	C	97	242	5	21	1	.229	.296	.645
Kameron Misner	CF	71	217	5	22	8	.213	.273	.618
Matt Thaiss	C	60	190	1	16	1	.218	.349	.637
Carson Williams	SS	32	106	5	12	2	.172	.219	.573
Hunter Feduccia	C	38	105	0	8	1	.148	.267	.472
Tristan Gray	3B	30	86	3	9	0	.231	.282	.692

Leaders

Stat	Player	Value
W	Ryan Pepiot	11
SV	Pete Fairbanks	27
SO	Shane Baz	176
IP	Ryan Pepiot	167.2
ERA	Garrett Cleavinger	2.35
WHIP	Garrett Cleavinger	0.95

2025 · by IP

Player	W	L	ERA	WHIP	GS	SV	IP	SO
Ryan Pepiot	11	12	3.86	1.16	31	0	167.2	167
Shane Baz	10	12	4.87	1.33	31	0	166.1	176
Drew Rasmussen	10	5	2.76	1.02	31	0	150.0	127
Adrian Houser	8	5	3.31	1.28	21	0	125.0	92
Edwin Uceta	10	3	3.79	1.17	0	1	76.0	103
Bryan Baker	4	4	4.06	1.11	0	3	68.2	83
Griffin Jax	1	7	4.23	1.29	2	0	66.0	99
Garrett Cleavinger	2	6	2.35	0.95	0	2	61.1	82
Pete Fairbanks	4	5	2.83	1.04	0	27	60.1	59
Ian Seymour	4	3	3.63	1.18	5	0	57.0	64
Joe Boyle	1	4	4.67	1.37	9	0	52.0	58
Mason Montgomery	1	3	5.67	1.65	0	1	46.0	63

Leaders

Stat	Player	Value
OAA	Jake Mangum	+6
FLD%	Chandler Simpson	1.000
RF/9	Hunter Feduccia	10.14
DP	Brandon Lowe	86

2025 · by Inn · OAA 2016+

Player	Pos	G	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	FLD%	RF/9	OAA
Junior Caminero	3B	148	1257.1	82	225	18	27	.945	2.20	-3
Brandon Lowe	2B	121	1015.1	183	302	8	86	.984	4.30	-14
Josh Lowe	RF	103	854.1	186	3	1	2	.995	1.99	-4
Jonathan Aranda	1B	93	765.2	677	52	5	80	.993	8.57	+1
Taylor Walls	SS	94	720.2	125	234	5	56	.986	4.48	+1
Nick Fortes	C	91	585.2	576	27	7	3	.989	9.27	—
Christopher Morel	LF	68	468.2	99	2	3	0	.971	1.94	—
Chandler Simpson	CF	59	457.1	121	2	0	0	1.000	2.42	-5
Jake Mangum	LF	63	433.0	91	2	0	0	1.000	1.93	+6
Matt Thaiss	C	53	411.2	371	16	5	1	.987	8.46	—
Kameron Misner	CF	51	364.2	108	0	3	0	.973	2.67	—
Yandy Díaz	1B	37	308.2	248	13	0	24	1.000	7.61	—
Carson Williams	SS	32	255.2	30	76	5	13	.955	3.73	—
Hunter Feduccia	C	34	233.1	258	5	0	0	1.000	10.14	—
Bob Seymour	1B	25	191.0	156	16	1	19	.994	8.10	—

2025 · vs league

xwOBA

.31133

AVG

.25793

SLG

.40963

Barrel%

8.0%27

Hard%

41.6%70

89.773

BB%

7.4%10

22.3%53

Speed

27.360

PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league

Scoring Trend

rolling 12-game R/G

4.41

R/G

4.22

RA/G

+0.19

Diff

Runs scoredRuns allowed162 games

Run Profile

Pythagorean

Runs / G	4.41
Runs allowed / G	4.22
Run diff / G	+0.19
Expected record	84-78
Expected win %	.520
Actual vs Pythag	-7

Situational Splits

record · run diff

Split	W-L	RF	RA	DIFF
Home	41-40	372	338	+34
Away	36-45	342	345	-3
vs Division	20-32	234	246	-12
1-run games	22-29	175	182	-7
Last 10	3-7	39	56	-17

Roster Profile

48 players · 22 pos / 26 P

Average age28.6

Age distribution

U25 225-29 3130-33 1334+ 2

Bats

Left 15Right 30Switch 3

Throws

Left 6Right 42

Recent Form

last 12 · 4-8

WinLossStreak L1

Recent results

last 12

Date		Opp	Result	Score
2025-09-28	@	TOR	L	4–13
2025-09-27	@	TOR	L	1–5
2025-09-26	@	TOR	L	2–4
2025-09-25	@	BAL	L	5–6
2025-09-24	@	BAL	W	6–2
2025-09-23	@	BAL	L	0–6
2025-09-21	vs	BOS	W	7–3
2025-09-20	vs	BOS	L	3–6
2025-09-19	vs	BOS	L	7–11
2025-09-18	vs	TOR	W	4–0
2025-09-17	vs	TOR	W	2–1
2025-09-16	vs	TOR	L	5–6

Injured List

9 on IL

Player	Pos	Status	Detail
Jake Fraley	RF	10-Day IL· groin	Fraley (groin) was pulled off his rehab assignment Sunday at Triple-A Durham after feeling something in the area of his hernia surgery, Ryan Bass of Rays.tv reports.
Jesse Scholtens	P	15-Day IL· wrist	Scholtens (wrist) is scheduled to pitch three innings in a rehab appearance Tuesday in the rookie-level Florida Complex League, MLB.com reports.
Steven Matz	P	15-Day IL· ankle	Matz (ankle) will embark on a rehab assignment Thursday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Edwin Uceta	P	60-Day IL	Rays manager Kevin Cash said Monday that Uceta has yet to resume throwing and will meet with a doctor to have his nagging right shoulder injury examined, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Gavin Lux	LF	60-Day IL· shoulder	Lux (shoulder) was pulled off his rehab assignment earlier this week, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Jonathan Heasley	P	60-Day IL	Heasley was returned to the major-league roster and placed on the 15-day injured list Tuesday with a right elbow stress reaction.
Manuel Rodríguez	P	60-Day IL· elbow	Manager Kevin Cash said Friday that Rodriguez (elbow) will begin throwing live batting practice June 30, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Ryan Pepiot	P	60-Day IL	Pepiot will undergo surgery on his right hip May 13 and miss the rest of the 2026 season, Ryan Bass of Rays.tv reports.
Steven Wilson	P	60-Day IL· back	Wilson (back) has been sent to the rookie-level Florida Complex League to begin a rehab assignment.

TB News

20 items

Victor Mesa: Homers in third-straight game
Mesa went 1-for-4 with a solo home run during the Rays' 7-1 win over the Blue Jays on Monday. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
TB Victor Mesa19h
Junior Caminero: Collects three hits vs. Toronto
Caminero went 3-for-4 with two doubles, two RBI and a walk during Monday's 7-1 win over the Blue Jays. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
TB Junior Caminero19h
Jonathan Aranda: Riding pine Saturday
Aranda is out of the lineup for Saturday's matchup against the Red Sox, Ryan Bass of Rays.tv reports. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
TB Jonathan Aranda2d
Rays Trade Trey Pooser To Cardinals
The Cardinals announced they’ve acquired minor league reliever Trey Pooser from the Rays. He’s the player to be named later from last month’s deal that sent middle reliever Chris Roycroft to Tampa Bay. Pooser, a 6’4″ right-hander, was the Rays’ 10th-round pick in 2024. The University of Kentucky product was a senior sign who landed a $72K […]
TB Chris Roycroft3d
Junior Caminero: Included in lineup for first game
Caminero (hand) will start at third base and bat third in the first game of Friday's doubleheader against the Red Sox. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
TB Junior Caminero3d
Junior Caminero: Homers in second game of twinbill
Caminero went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and an additional run scored during the Rays' 5-3 loss to the Red Sox in the second game of Friday's doubleheader. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
TB Junior Caminero3d
Tyler Glasnow: Resumes mound work
Glasnow (back) threw a bullpen session this past weekend, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
TB Tyler Glasnow4d
Junior Caminero: Expects to play Friday
Camerino (hand) said he plans to be in the lineup for both games of Friday's doubleheader against the Red Sox, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
TB Junior Caminero5d
X-rays negative after AL 3B Junior Caminero hit by pitch
In the third inning of Tuesday's All-Star Game, Cardinals reliever Riley O'Brien hit Rays third baseman Junior Caminero on the left hand with a 97.6 mph sinker. Though the 23-year-old star went right into the AL clubhouse, X-rays came back negative.
TB Junior Caminero6d
Junior Caminero: Exits All-Star Game after HBP
Caminero was removed from the All-Star Game on Tuesday after getting hit on the hand by a pitch in the third inning, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
TB Junior Caminero6d
Betting the 2026 Home Run Derby: Odds, analysis and predictions
Will Junior Caminero take home the trophy or will someone else steal the show? Here are the odds and a breakdown of the field.
TB Junior Caminero7d
MLB betting tips for Sunday: Back Cedric Mullins at home?
All of the odds, recommended prop bets and trends in baseball for Sunday, July 12.
TB Cedric Mullins8d
Jonathan Aranda: Belts 14th homer in loss
Aranda went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run and was hit by a pitch in Sunday's 8-2 loss to the Mariners. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
TB Jonathan Aranda8d
Grady Emerson: No. 2 overall pick
The Rays selected Emerson with the second overall pick in the 2026 First-Year Player Draft. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
TB9d
Jonathan Aranda: Smacks two doubles Saturday
Aranda went 3-for-4 with two doubles, an RBI and a run scored during the Rays' 6-1 win over the Mariners on Saturday. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
TB Jonathan Aranda9d
Ben Williamson: Career-high four hits Saturday
Williamson went 4-for-4 with an RBI double, one steal and one run scored during the Rays' 6-1 win over the Mariners on Saturday. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
TB Ben Williamson9d
Junior Caminero hits his 28th homer and Rays go deep 4 times in 7-2 win over Mariners
— Junior Caminero hit his 28th homer, one of four longballs for Tampa Bay, and All-Star Nick Martinez pitched effectively into the sixth inning as the Rays beat the Seattle Mariners 7-2 on...
TB Junior Caminero10d
2026 MLB Home Run Derby tracker: Munetaka Murakami, Kyle Schwarber round out field in Philadelphia
Murakami is fresh off the injured list but slugged 20 homers before hurting his hamstring
TB Junior Caminero10d
Junior Caminero: Continues torrid stretch
Caminero went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run, a double, a walk and an additional run scored in Friday's 7-2 win over the Mariners. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
TB Junior Caminero10d
Julio Rodriguez: Not expected to play this weekend
Rodriguez (concussion) is not expected to be activated from the 7-day injured list for this weekend's series against the Rays, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
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