NFL Projections · Receptions

Receiving · 2025 (model vs actual) · full season (17 games) · ST Model

Passing Rushing Receiving Defense Kicking

Season2026 2025 2024

Projected leaders · Top 100

2025 P50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	Rec ↓	Yds	TD	Tgt	Rush
1	Ja'Marr Chase	WR	CIN	123	1,599	10.9	179	—
2	Justin Jefferson	WR	MIN	112	1,601	9.6	168	—
3	Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR	DET	105	1,451	7.7	136	—
4	Puka Nacua	WR	LAR	104	1,232	4.5	147	—
5	Travis Kelce	TE	KC	103	937	5.9	145	—
6	Malik Nabers	WR	NYG	101	1,285	5.6	168	—
7	Brian Thomas Jr.	WR	JAX	97	1,393	7.2	146	—
8	CeeDee Lamb	WR	DAL	97	1,394	8.8	160	—
9	Garrett Wilson	WR	NYJ	96	1,133	6.9	143	—
10	Trey McBride	TE	ARI	94	1,055	5.7	143	—
11	Ladd McConkey	WR	LAC	94	1,231	6.3	131	—
12	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	SEA	92	1,042	5.3	123	—
13	Drake London	WR	ATL	92	1,213	7.1	155	—
14	D.J. Moore	WR	BUF	91	1,015	5.8	125	—
15	Chris Godwin	WR	TB	89	910	5.2	129	—
16	Michael Pittman	WR	PIT	88	904	4.5	138	—
17	A.J. Brown	WR	NE	88	1,269	7.0	128	—
18	Terry McLaurin	WR	WAS	86	1,103	8.9	130	—
19	Xavier Worthy	WR	KC	85	832	5.9	129	—
20	Nico Collins	WR	HOU	85	1,227	7.4	115	—
21	Wan'Dale Robinson	WR	TEN	85	629	3.2	111	—
22	Cooper Kupp	WR	SEA	84	874	4.8	117	—
23	George Kittle	TE	SF	84	1,141	6.6	100	—
24	DeVonta Smith	WR	PHI	83	991	8.8	123	—
25	Tee Higgins	WR	CIN	82	1,085	7.4	143	—
26	Zay Flowers	WR	BAL	82	1,059	5.3	125	—
27	Marvin Harrison Jr.	WR	ARI	81	1,069	6.3	138	—
28	Mike Evans	WR	SF	80	1,141	9.3	129	—
29	Davante Adams	WR	LAR	80	1,041	8.1	142	—
30	Chris Olave	WR	NO	79	816	3.7	91	—
31	Brock Bowers	TE	LV	78	952	5.6	103	—
32	Courtland Sutton	WR	DEN	78	918	7.6	126	—
33	Josh Downs	WR	IND	78	893	4.9	114	—
34	Jakobi Meyers	WR	JAX	77	875	5.0	105	—
35	Jerry Jeudy	WR	CLE	75	995	5.0	115	—
36	Rashee Rice	WR	KC	75	855	4.6	103	—
37	Khalil Shakir	WR	BUF	74	759	4.5	103	—
38	Sam LaPorta	TE	DET	73	900	5.3	106	—
39	Jordan Addison	WR	MIN	71	1,046	7.6	112	—
40	Jake Ferguson	TE	DAL	70	629	2.9	103	—
41	David Njoku	TE	LAC	69	657	4.1	100	—
42	Jaylen Waddle	WR	DEN	69	958	4.0	88	—
43	Dalton Kincaid	TE	BUF	69	571	3.2	114	—
44	T.J. Hockenson	TE	MIN	69	765	4.2	94	—
45	Jauan Jennings	WR	MIN	69	818	5.0	111	—
46	Bijan Robinson	RB	ATL	68	464	1.6	80	1,403
47	De'Von Achane	RB	MIA	65	490	4.5	84	874
48	Demario Douglas	WR	NE	65	621	2.4	81	—
49	DK Metcalf	WR	PIT	65	1,044	5.5	114	—
50	Mike Gesicki	TE	CIN	64	586	3.5	79	—
51	Evan Engram	TE	DEN	64	644	2.2	95	—
52	Breece Hall	RB	NYJ	63	529	2.1	76	932
53	George Pickens	WR	DAL	63	1,010	4.5	115	—
54	Tez Johnson	WR	TB	63	742	2.8	92	—
55	Cade Otton	TE	TB	63	607	5.4	93	—
56	Quentin Johnston	WR	LAC	62	753	5.7	99	—
57	Alvin Kamara	RB	NO	62	508	1.9	79	937
58	Xavier Legette	WR	CAR	62	584	3.7	96	—
59	Darnell Mooney	WR	NYG	61	808	5.6	103	—
60	Marquise Brown	WR	PHI	61	635	3.9	129	—
61	Jameson Williams	WR	DET	61	898	5.3	99	—
62	Calvin Ridley	WR	TEN	61	896	5.7	106	—
63	Chigoziem Okonkwo	TE	WAS	60	568	2.3	74	—
64	Christian McCaffrey	RB	SF	60	456	2.3	70	908
65	Rome Odunze	WR	CHI	60	846	3.6	111	—
66	Dallas Goedert	TE	PHI	60	614	3.1	70	—
67	Mark Andrews	TE	BAL	59	659	4.7	75	—
68	Tetairoa McMillan	WR	CAR	58	784	5.7	106	—
69	LaJohntay Wester	WR	BAL	57	698	1.8	90	—
70	Hunter Henry	TE	NE	56	563	3.3	83	—
71	Jayden Reed	WR	GB	56	941	5.6	82	—
72	Cole Kmet	TE	CHI	56	564	4.2	56	—
73	Elijah Moore	WR	PHI	55	532	4.0	86	—
74	Jahmyr Gibbs	RB	DET	55	509	2.5	72	1,263
75	Jayden Higgins	WR	HOU	55	625	4.4	93	—
76	Pat Freiermuth	TE	PIT	54	490	4.5	65	—
77	Tank Dell	WR	HOU	54	846	3.5	91	—
78	Romeo Doubs	WR	NE	53	659	4.1	89	—
79	Chase Brown	RB	CIN	53	331	1.9	63	915
80	Tyler Conklin	TE	DET	52	511	2.6	76	—
81	Tucker Kraft	TE	GB	51	712	4.6	69	—
82	Joshua Palmer	WR	BUF	50	682	3.3	79	—
83	Michael Wilson	WR	ARI	50	617	4.2	79	—
84	Dalton Schultz	TE	HOU	50	487	2.2	83	—
85	Rachaad White	RB	WAS	50	359	2.9	57	826
86	Bucky Irving	RB	TB	49	381	1.9	54	986
87	Dominic Lovett	WR	DET	49	616	5.2	84	—
88	AJ Barner	TE	SEA	49	353	4.2	51	—
89	Aaron Jones	RB	MIN	49	353	2.3	61	897
90	Keon Coleman	WR	BUF	48	694	4.8	92	—
91	Kayshon Boutte	WR	NE	48	572	3.0	81	—
92	Marvin Mims	WR	DEN	48	582	3.7	58	—
93	Christian Kirk	WR	SF	47	625	2.7	89	—
94	Kyle Pitts	TE	ATL	47	557	3.7	72	—
95	Jalen McMillan	WR	TB	47	579	4.2	82	—
96	Cam Skattebo	RB	NYG	47	383	1.5	68	935
97	Ja'Tavion Sanders	TE	CAR	47	486	4.1	65	—
98	Troy Franklin	WR	DEN	47	424	2.9	69	—
99	Tyler Higbee	TE	LAR	47	438	3.1	63	—
100	Dontayvion Wicks	WR	PHI	46	516	3.8	76	—