Pro Football Terminal — NFL projections, playoff odds & analytics

WAS

Washington Commanders

NFC East

0-0 · 2026

2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021

Division

NFC East

Team	2026 Rec	Win Div	Playoff
DAL	0-0	19%	25%
NYG	0-0	13%	18%
PHI	0-0	51%	58%
WAS	0-0	16%	22%

Preseason · odds = 2026 simulation

2026 Outlook

Projected wins

7.0p10 5.0 — p90 10.0

Round	Prob
Win division	16.4%
Make playoffs	22.5%
Divisional rd.	9.4%
Conf. champ.	3.2%
Super Bowl	1.1%
Win SB	0.3%

2026 Schedule

proj record 7.3–9.7

Schedule

6th

toughest of 32

Offenses faced

8th

toughest of 32

Defenses faced

16th

toughest of 32

Wk	Opp	Opp	Score	Proj	Win%
1	@PHI	+1.6	20–27	-6.7	31%
2	@DAL	-1.0	29–33	-3.6	39%
3	vsSEA	+6.9	19–26	-7.1	30%
4	vsIND	+3.4	24–29	-4.5	37%
5	vsNYG	-2.7	26–26	+0.4	51%
6	@SF	+3.7	26–33	-7.0	30%
8	vsPHI	+1.6	22–27	-4.9	36%
9	vsLAR	+7.0	22–30	-7.3	29%
10	@NYG	-2.7	26–27	-1.7	45%
11	vsCIN	+0.2	31–33	-2.3	43%
12	@ARI	-1.7	28–30	-2.1	44%
13	@TEN	-6.2	27–22	+4.5	63%
14	vsHOU	+4.2	20–26	-5.9	33%
15	vsATL	-2.0	24–26	-2.1	44%
16	@MIN	+1.2	20–26	-6.5	32%
17	@JAX	+3.7	21–29	-7.5	29%
18	vsDAL	-1.0	31–31	-0.1	50%

Quarterbacks · 4

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
QB	1st	Jayden Daniels	6'4"	210	25	LSU
QB	2nd	Marcus Mariota	6'4"	222	32	Oregon
QB	3rd	Athan Kaliakmanis	6'2"	216	22	Rutgers
QB	4th	Sam Hartman	6'5"	306	26	Florida

Running Backs · 6

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
RB	1st	Jacory Croskey-Merritt	5'11"	208	25	Arizona
RB	2nd	Rachaad White	6'0"	214	27	Arizona State
RB	3rd	Kaytron Allen	5'11"	217	23	Penn State
RB	4th	Jerome Ford	5'10"	210	26	Cincinnati
RB	5th	Jeremy McNichols	5'9"	205	30	Boise State
RB	6th	Robert Henry	5'9"	196	24	UTSA

Wide Receivers · 10

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
WR	1st	Terry McLaurin	6'0"	210	30	Ohio State
WR	2nd	Luke McCaffrey	6'2"	195	25	Rice
WR	3rd	Antonio Williams	5'11"	190	21	Clemson
WR	4th	Treylon Burks	6'2"	225	26	Arkansas
WR	5th	Dyami Brown	6'0"	195	26	North Carolina
WR	6th	Jaylin Lane	5'10"	196	24	Virginia Tech
WR	7th	Van Jefferson	6'1"	200	29	Florida
WR	8th	Jacoby Jones	6'3"	228	24	UCF
WR	9th	Nick Nash	6'3"	195	26	San Jose State
WR	—	Jaden Bradley	6'4"	195	23	UNLV; Charlotte; Pittsburgh

Tight Ends · 8

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
TE	1st	Chigoziem Okonkwo	6'3"	238	26	Maryland
TE	2nd	John Bates	6'6"	256	28	Boise State
TE	3rd	Ben Sinnott	6'4"	245	24	Kansas State
TE	4th	Colson Yankoff	6'4"	225	26	UCLA
TE	5th	Anthony Firkser	6'2"	241	31	Harvard
TE	6th	Lawrence Cager	6'5"	220	28	Georgia
TE	—	Fred Davis	6'4"	247	40	Southern Cal
TE	—	Quentin Moore	6'5"	260	—	Washington; Independence Comm. College

Offensive Line · 15

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
G	1st	Sam Cosmi	6'6"	309	27	Texas
OL	1st	Malaesala Aumavae-Laulu	6'5"	344	27	Oregon; Navarro
T	1st	Laremy Tunsil	6'5"	313	31	Mississippi
G	2nd	Nick Allegretti	6'4"	310	30	Illinois
OL	2nd	Matt Gulbin	6'4"	312	23	Michigan State; Wake Forest
T	2nd	Trent Scott	6'5"	320	32	Grambling State
G	3rd	Andrew Wylie	6'5"	304	31	Eastern Michigan
OL	3rd	Tanoa Togiai	6'6"	321	—	Utah
T	3rd	Foster Sarell	6'6"	322	27	Stanford
G	4th	Chris Paul	6'4"	324	27	Tulsa
OL	4th	Timothy McKay	6'4"	312	24	North Carolina
T	4th	Josh Conerly Jr.	6'4"	315	22	Oregon
G	5th	Brandon Coleman	6'6"	320	25	TCU; Trinity Valley CC
OL	5th	Tyler Cooper	6'5"	302	25	Minnesota
G	6th	Julian Good-Jones	6'5"	313	29	Iowa State

Interior D-Line · 8

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
LDE	1st	Tim Settle	6'3"	313	28	Virginia Tech
NT	1st	Da'Ron Payne	6'3"	320	29	Alabama
RDE	1st	Javon Kinlaw	6'5"	319	28	South Carolina
LDE	2nd	Jer'Zhan Newton	6'2"	295	23	Illinois
NT	2nd	Shy Tuttle	6'3"	300	30	Tennessee
RDE	2nd	Ricky Barber	6'3"	295	25	UCF; Western Kentucky
NT	3rd	D.J. Davidson	6'5"	320	26	Arizona State
DL	—	Jeffrey M'ba	6'6"	312	27	SMU; Purdue; Auburn; Independence Comm. College

Edge Rushers · 11

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
SLB	1st	K'Lavon Chaisson	6'3"	255	26	LSU
WLB	1st	Odafe Oweh	6'5"	265	27	Penn State
SLB	2nd	Joshua Josephs	6'3"	240	22	Tennessee
WLB	2nd	Dorance Armstrong	6'4"	255	29	Kansas
SLB	3rd	Charles Omenihu	6'5"	280	28	Texas
WLB	3rd	Javontae Jean-Baptiste	6'4"	260	26	Notre Dame
SLB	4th	Deatrich Wise	6'5"	280	31	Arkansas
WLB	4th	Drake Jackson	6'4"	273	25	USC
SLB	5th	Andre Carter	6'6"	257	26	Army
WLB	5th	DJ Johnson	6'4"	260	27	Oregon
SLB	6th	T.J. Maguranyanga	6'4"	222	23

Linebackers · 7

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
LILB	1st	Leo Chenal	6'3"	250	25	Wisconsin
RILB	1st	Sonny Styles	6'4"	235	21	Ohio State
LILB	2nd	Frankie Luvu	6'3"	235	29	Washington State
RILB	2nd	Nick Bellore	6'1"	250	37	Central Michigan
LILB	3rd	Jordan Magee	6'3"	225	25	Temple
LILB	4th	Kain Medrano	6'3"	230	25	UCLA
LILB	5th	Ale Kaho	6'2"	230	26	UCLA; Alabama

Defensive Backs · 17

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
FS	1st	Quan Martin	6'0"	195	26	Illinois
LCB	1st	Trey Amos	6'1"	190	24	Ole Miss
NB	1st	Amik Robertson	5'9"	183	27	Louisiana Tech
RCB	1st	Mike Sainristil	5'10"	182	25	Michigan
SS	1st	Nick Cross	6'0"	212	24	Maryland
FS	2nd	Jeremy Reaves	5'11"	200	29	South Alabama
LCB	2nd	Antonio Hamilton	6'0"	188	33	South Carolina State
NB	2nd	Darius Rush	6'2"	198	26	South Carolina
RCB	2nd	Ahkello Witherspoon	6'2"	195	31	Colorado
SS	2nd	Will Harris	6'1"	206	30	Boston College
FS	3rd	Percy Butler	6'0"	190	26	Louisiana-Lafayette
LCB	3rd	Tre Hawkins	6'3"	195	25	Old Dominion
SS	3rd	Tyler Owens	6'2"	213	25	Texas Tech
DB	—	Car'lin Vigers	6'2"	200	25	Louisiana-Monroe; Independence Comm. College
DB	—	Malik Spencer	6'1"	191	—	Michigan State
DB	—	Qwuantrezz Knight	6'0"	199	28	UCLA; Kent State; Maryland
DB	—	Robert McDaniel	6'2"	207	25	Jackson State University; Alcorn State

Special Teams · 10

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
H	1st	Tress Way	6'1"	220	36	Oklahoma
KR	1st	Luke McCaffrey	6'2"	195	25	Rice
P	1st	Tress Way	6'1"	220	36	Oklahoma
PK	1st	Jake Moody	6'1"	210	26	Michigan
PR	1st	Jaylin Lane	5'10"	196	24	Virginia Tech
KR	2nd	Jaylin Lane	5'10"	196	24	Virginia Tech
PK	2nd	Drew Stevens	6'1"	205	22	Iowa
PR	2nd	Antonio Williams	5'11"	190	21	Clemson
KR	3rd	Jeremy McNichols	5'9"	205	30	Boise State
LS	—	Tyler Ott	6'3"	253	34	Harvard

2025 · pct vs league

Pass EPA

-0.0148

Rush EPA

+0.0274

Scoring

35632

Overall EPA

+0.0252

Pass Pro

18.3%90

Run Block

2.5148

PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league

Advanced Profile

2025 · rank of 32

Pass Protection

Pressure % allowed18.3%4th

Sack % allowed7.3%18th

Pocket time2.36s23rd

Run Blocking

Yds before contact / rush2.5yd17th

Pass Rush

Pressures12625th

Sacks4213th

Coverage

Completion % allowed68.2%23rd

Passer rtg allowed10529th

Special Teams

FG %82.6%23rd

Punt net avg43.9yd5th

Identity

Avg depth of target8.5yd—

aggregated from roster PFR / special-teams stats · green = top of league

EPA Trend

EPA/play by season · adj

NetOffDefDef: lower = better

Performance · 2025

5-12 · -95 pt diff

Metric	Off	Def	Rk
EPA / play (adj)	+0.019	+0.107	27
EPA / play (raw)	+0.024	+0.108	16/30
Pass EPA	-0.008	+0.201	17/30
Rush EPA	+0.019	+0.073	9/28
Points	356	451	—

Lower def EPA = better. Ranks: 1 best, 32 worst.

Projected Leaders

2026 proj

Passing Yds	Daniels3,319·Mariota2,685·Driskel2,022
Rushing Yds	Daniels845·Croskey-Merritt750·White394
Receiving Yds	McLaurin993·Samuel620·Ertz589

Scoring Trend

2025 · pts/game

PPG For

20.9

22nd in NFL

PPG Against

26.5

27th in NFL

Differential

-5.6

27th in NFL

— Points for— Points against

dots: W / L

Season Results

5-12 · 7-10 ATS

WinLossCoveredmargin per game

Season History · last 10

2 playoffs · SB 0-0

Season	Regular	Playoffs	Super Bowl
2025	5-12	—	—
2024	12-5	2-1	—
2023	4-13	—	—
2022	8-8-1	—	—
2021	7-10	—	—
2020	7-9	0-1	—
2019	3-13	—	—
2018	7-9	—	—
2017	7-9	—	—
2016	8-7-1	—	—

Situational Splits

2025 · record · pts

Split	Record	PF	PA
Venue
Home	2-6	23.6	27.9
Away	3-6	18.6	25.3
Competition
One-score (≤8)	2-5	23.7	24.3
vs Winning teams	2-7	19.2	27.6
Environment
Indoors	1-3	19	29.8
Outdoors	4-9	21.5	25.5
Grass	3-9	20.9	25.9
Turf	2-3	21	28
Cold (<40°F)	2-0	26.5	19

Recent Form · last 5

2-3 SU · 3-2 ATS · O4/U1

Wk	Opp	Score	Mgn	Spread	Total
18	@PHI	W 24-17	+7	-3.0✓	38.5O
17	vsDAL	L 23-30	-7	-8.5✓	50.5O
16	vsPHI	L 18-29	-11	-7.0✗	43.5O
15	@NYG	W 29-21	+8	-2.5✓	46.5O
14	@MIN	L 0-31	-31	+1.5✗	43.5U

Betting Profile

2025

Straight up	5-12
ATS	7-1041%
Over / Under	10-7 O-U
— ATS splits —
As favorite	5-8
As underdog	2-2
Home	4-4
Away	3-6

vs closing line · splits show cover-no cover

Cap & Roster Construction

APY $256M· gtd $373M

OFF $83.6M (33%)DEF $168M (66%)ST $4.5M

Group	Players	APY	% Total
QB	3	$17.4M	7%
RB	4	$6.0M	2%
WR	8	$39.0M	15%
TE	6	$21.2M	8%
DL	7	$51.5M	20%
EDGE	10	$57.1M	22%
LB	6	$23.9M	9%
DB	13	$35.1M	14%
ST	2	$4.5M	2%

Top Contracts

Player	Yrs	Total	Gtd	APY	Cap%
Terry McLaurinWR	3	$87.0M	$44.6M	$29.0M	10.4%
Odafe OwehDE	4	$96.0M	$50.6M	$24.0M	8.0%
Da'Ron PayneDT	4	$90.0M	$46.0M	$22.5M	10.0%
Javon KinlawDT	3	$45.0M	$30.0M	$15.0M	5.4%
K'Lavon ChaissonDE	1	$11.0M	$10.3M	$11.0M	3.7%
Dorance ArmstrongDE	3	$33.0M	$16.1M	$11.0M	4.3%

Pending Free Agents

Player	Free	APY
Percy ButlerS	2026	$2.1M
Da'Ron PayneDT	2027	$22.5M
K'Lavon ChaissonDE	2027	$11.0M
Dorance ArmstrongDE	2027	$11.0M
Frankie LuvuLB	2027	$10.3M
Marcus MariotaQB	2027	$7.0M
Charles OmenihuDE	2027	$4.0M
Will HarrisS	2027	$4.0M

Roster Profile

avg age 26.6

R1 8Day2 20Day3 24UDFA 20

Homegrown 26 (36%)Acquired 46

Avg experience4.2 yrs

Rookies / Vets (8+ yr)8 / 15

Group	Players	Avg Age
QB	4	26.2
RB	6	25.8
WR	9	25.7
TE	6	27.2
DL	7	27
EDGE	11	26.4
LB	7	26.9
DB	13	27
ST	9	27.1

Injury Report · 1

last report week 0

Pos	Player	Status
CB	Trey Amos	Questionable

WAS News

20 items

2026 NFL rookie updates: Tracking all first-round draft picks
Ahead of training camp, our NFL Nation reporters weigh in on how the 2026 draft class has looked.
WAS10h
Zach Ertz "doing everything I can" to get back
Zach Ertz said in April that he does not want last season's torn ACL to be the final act of his NFL career and said he has "eyes wide open" to the need to show he's healthy in order to find a place to play in 2026.
WAS Zach Ertz3d
Ranking WR, TE, RB groups for 2026: Best and worst NFL teams
Which teams have the best skill position talent around their QB and offensive line? We stacked all 32 groups of pass catchers and ball carriers from worst to first.
WAS4d
TE Chig Okonkwo feels he "can finally just unleash" in Commanders offense
Tight end Chig Okonkwo signed with the Commanders after posting 162 catches for the Titans the last three seasons and he believes the move is going to be a fruitful one for him.
WAS5d
2026 NFL contract extension updates for all 32 teams
Our reporters have the latest buzz on 32 contract extension candidates -- one from every team -- and their potential new deals.
WAS5d
Commanders rookie Sonny Styles hopes to follow in footsteps of Washington legend Sean Taylor
Styles discussed Taylor and several other topics with CBS Sports
WAS Sonny Styles6d
George Kittle on another team acquiring Brandon Aiyuk: Have fun with all that comes with it
Wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk continued to push for the 49ers to part ways with him by posting a video to social media recently that shows him shouting "Go Commanders!"
WAS7d
2026 NFL offseason: Biggest surprise players on each team
From rookies to veterans, here are the players who have made an early impression on every NFL team ahead of training camp.
WAS7d
Top five takeaways from Commanders offseason practices
Washington had plenty of positives after spring practices, but big questions remain.
WAS Odafe Oweh8d
Jayden Daniels: Still learning new offense
Daniels said Wednesday that he still has a "long way to go" to master the schematic changes implemented by new offensive coordinator David Blough, ESPN's John Keim reports. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
WAS Jayden Daniels10d
Rachaad White: Named as offseason standout
Commanders coach Dan Quinn named White as one of the standout performers from OTAs and minicamp, but Quinn also cautioned that he expects multiple RBs to contribute and isn't sure if there will be a designated starter, Zach Selby of the Commanders' official site reports. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
WAS Rachaad White11d
Final NFL offseason moves for 32 teams: Trades, signings, more
The Chiefs sign Deebo Samuel? The Cardinals trade Josh Sweat? The Buccaneers extend Baker Mayfield? We have one more move for each team to make before the season.
WAS11d
Louis Riddick: I expect Jayden Daniels to light it up again this season
Louis Riddick: I expect Jayden Daniels to light it up again this season
WAS Jayden Daniels11d
Jayden Daniels: We've built offensive foundation, have a lot more to do
The Commanders hired David Blough as their offensive coordinator this offseason.
WAS Jayden Daniels11d
Daniels still has 'long way to go' to master Commanders' offense
Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels, trying to rebound from a tough injury-filled season, said he likes their new offense -- but a lot more work remains.
WAS Jayden Daniels11d
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Back at practice
Croskey-Merritt (undisclosed) participated in Tuesday's minicamp practice, John Keim of ESPN reports. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
WAS Jacory Croskey-Merritt12d
NFL players make World Cup predictions, weigh in on USMNT
We asked 29 NFL players to weigh in on who would win the Golden Boot and World Cup and also how the United States would fare.
WAS17d
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Dealing with soft-tissue injury
Croskey-Merritt has been absent from spring practices due to a soft-tissue injury, NFL reporter Ben Standig reports. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
WAS Jacory Croskey-Merritt18d
2026 NFL free agency: Ranking best players still available
Where could Joey Bosa and Deebo Samuel land? Let's stack the top free agents who are still available and looking for new contracts.
WAS20d
QB questions for all 32 NFL teams: Contracts, injuries, more
Are Baker Mayfield and Sam Darnold headed for big extensions? Can Bryce Young level up again? When will Fernando Mendoza start?
WAS20d