MLB Terminal — projections, standings & analytics

Matt Festa

P · CLE

33 yrs

Pitcher

Description

Position: P
Team: CLE
Type: Pitcher
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
Born: 1993-03-11
Age: 33
Country: USA
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 195 lb
Last active: 2026

Career Résumé

7 seasons

Seasons	7 2018–2026
Games	213
W-L	15-9
ERA	4.44
WHIP	1.26
IP	213
SO	226
SV	3

Pitching Projections

2026 · per ~700 BF

Stat	Proj	Range (p10–p90)	vs LY
ERA	3.98	3.08–5.35	−0.17
WHIP	1.26	0.98–1.59	+0.07
SO	169	129–193	+3
BB	57	44–81	−2
HR	18	10–30	−2
Hits	150	118–175	+10
ER	73	56–98	−4

Regular season

Season	Tm	W	L	ERA	WHIP	G	GS	SV	IP	SO	BB	HR	ER	xERA	Brl%
2026	CLE	2	2	4.43	1.38	42	0	1	40.2	44	12	6	20	4.49	10.1%
2025	CLE	5	4	4.12	1.08	63	0	0	54.2	56	15	4	25	3.46	6.0%
2024	TEX	6	1	5.70	1.23	19	0	0	23.2	24	8	2	15	3.88	6.0%
2023	SEA	0	0	4.00	1.78	8	0	0	9.0	13	12	1	4	5.55	16.7%
2022	SEA	2	0	4.17	1.13	53	0	2	54.0	64	18	10	25	3.59	7.4%
2019	SEA	0	2	5.64	1.43	20	0	0	22.1	21	12	5	14	5.97	10.8%
2018	SEA	0	0	2.16	1.80	8	1	0	8.1	4	2	0	2	6.44	6.1%

Regular season · OAA 2016+

Season	Pos	G	GS	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	FLD%	RF/9	OAA
2026	P	41	0	39.2	8	1	2	0	.818	2.04	—
2025	P	63	0	54.2	3	8	0	0	1.000	1.81	—
2024	P	19	0	23.2	2	3	0	0	1.000	1.90	—
2023	P	8	0	9.0	1	0	0	0	1.000	1.00	—
2022	P	53	0	54.0	5	5	0	1	1.000	1.67	—
2019	P	20	0	22.1	1	3	0	0	1.000	1.61	—
2018	P	8	1	8.1	1	1	0	0	1.000	2.16	—

Date		Opp	Res
2026-07-18	vs	PIT	L
2026-07-08	@	MIN	L
2026-07-07	@	MIN	L
2026-07-01	vs	TEX	W
2026-06-29	vs	TEX	L
2026-06-28	vs	SEA	W
2026-06-19	@	HOU	L

Date		Opp	Res	Dec	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	Pit
2026-07-20	vs	MIN	W	ND	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	3	24
2026-07-18	vs	PIT	L	ND	1.1	2	2	2	0	0	3	28
2026-07-08	@	MIN	L	L	0.2	3	1	1	0	1	1	31
2026-07-07	@	MIN	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	17
2026-07-04	vs	CWS	L	ND	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	0	19
2026-07-01	vs	TEX	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10
2026-06-29	vs	TEX	L	ND	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5
2026-06-28	vs	SEA	W	W	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	0	20
2026-06-26	vs	SEA	L	ND	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	1	18
2026-06-20	@	HOU	W	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	15
2026-06-19	@	HOU	L	BS	0.2	3	1	1	1	0	0	7
2026-06-16	@	MIL	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	11
2026-06-10	vs	NYY	L	ND	0.1	2	1	1	0	1	0	15
2026-06-09	vs	NYY	L	ND	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	0	17
2026-06-05	@	TEX	L	ND	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	2	13
2026-06-04	@	NYY	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	2	15
2026-06-02	@	NYY	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	9
2026-05-30	vs	BOS	L	L	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	2	20
2026-05-25	vs	WSH	L	ND	2.0	2	1	1	1	0	1	25
2026-05-23	@	PHI	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	2	19
2026-05-21	@	DET	W	H	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	1	5
2026-05-18	@	DET	W	ND	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	1	6
2026-05-15	vs	CIN	L	ND	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
2026-05-13	vs	LAA	W	H	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
2026-05-11	vs	LAA	W	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	1	28
2026-05-08	vs	MIN	W	H	0.2	3	2	2	1	0	2	17
2026-05-06	@	KC	W	H	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	2	13
2026-05-04	@	KC	L	ND	1.2	1	1	1	1	1	1	28
2026-05-02	@	ATH	W	H	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	10
2026-05-01	@	ATH	W	H	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10
2026-04-27	vs	TB	L	H	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
2026-04-25	@	TOR	L	ND	1.0	1	1	0	0	0	3	17
2026-04-22	vs	HOU	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	2	18
2026-04-20	vs	HOU	L	ND	2.0	1	1	1	0	0	1	22
2026-04-19	vs	BAL	W	W	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	9
2026-04-15	@	STL	L	ND	2.1	3	1	1	0	0	3	36
2026-04-10	@	ATL	L	ND	0.2	3	2	2	1	0	0	17
2026-04-08	vs	KC	W	S	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	1	21
2026-04-05	vs	CHC	W	ND	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	1	13
2026-04-03	vs	CHC	W	ND	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
2026-03-31	@	LAD	L	ND	1.1	4	2	2	0	0	2	29
2026-03-28	@	SEA	W	ND	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	1	14

Pitching Profile2026 · vs 260

K/9

9.777

BB/9

2.770

HR/9

1.328

ERA

4.4332

WHIP

1.3827

xERA

4.4935

Brl%A

10.1%13

PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league

Career Highs

Stat	Best	Year
Wins	6	2024
SO	64	2022
SV	2	2022
ERA	2.16	2018
WHIP	1.08	2025

Comparable Players

2026 · stat-profile similarity

Cole SulserTB36y
5.31 ERA · 45 K · 1.42 WHIP
87%
vs
Sean ManaeaNYM34y
4.74 ERA · 81 K · 1.36 WHIP
86%
vs
Cole WinnTEX26y
5.77 ERA · 35 K · 1.34 WHIP
83%
vs
Brad KellerPHI30y
4.02 ERA · 32 K · 1.34 WHIP
81%
vs
Anthony NunezBAL25y
4.81 ERA · 41 K · 1.27 WHIP
81%
vs

Career Arc

ERA by season · taller = better

Year over Year

pitching trajectory

Yr	Tm	W	ERA	WHIP	SO	IP
19	SEA	0	5.64	1.43	21	22
22	SEA	2▲	4.17▼	1.13▼	64▲	54▲
23	SEA	0▼	4.00▼	1.78▲	13▼	9▼
24	TEX	6▲	5.70▲	1.23▼	24▲	24▲
25	CLE	5▼	4.12▼	1.08▼	56▲	55▲
26	CLE	2▼	4.43▲	1.38▲	44▼	41▼

Career Milestones

chase to the next mark

Wins15

35 to 50

Strikeouts226

774 to 1,000

Saves3

97 to 100

Season

Pitch Arsenal

2025 · Statcast

Pitch	Use	Velo	Spin
4-Seam	39%	92.1	2514
Sweeper	39%	83.1	2668
Cutter	14%	90.6	2488
Sinker	8%	93.2	2432

Plate Discipline

2025 · induced

29.0%

Chase

lg 28.5%

68.7%

Z-Swing

lg 67%

24.8%

Whiff

lg 24.5%

75.2%

Contact

lg 76%

56.1%

Zone

lg 48.5%

29.0%

CSW

lg 28%

838 pitches · green/red vs league avg

Statcast Trend

xERA by season · taller = better

Barrel% Against by season · taller = better

Per game	2.7
Ceiling (90th)	6.2
Floor (10th)	-0.9
Std dev	2.8
Boom rate	36%
Bust rate	31%
Profile	Volatile