MLB Terminal — projections, standings & analytics

Justin Sterner

P · ATH

29 yrs

Pitcher

15-Day IL

Description

Position: P
Team: ATH
Type: Pitcher
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
Born: 1996-08-29
Age: 29
Country: USA
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 215 lb
Last active: 2026

Career Résumé

3 seasons

Seasons	3 2024–2026
Games	107
W-L	6-6
ERA	4.27
WHIP	1.19
IP	112
SO	114
SV	1

Pitching Projections

2026 · per ~700 BF

Stat	Proj	Range (p10–p90)	vs LY
ERA	3.97	2.50–4.76	+0.05
WHIP	1.22	0.98–1.52	+0.06
SO	166	138–210	−5
BB	58	39–83	+2
HR	21	12–28	−1
Hits	144	122–165	+5
ER	73	46–88	−0

Regular season

Season	Tm	W	L	ERA	WHIP	G	GS	SV	IP	SO	BB	HR	ER	xERA	Brl%
2026	ATH	2	3	6.12	1.38	46	0	1	42.2	40	13	11	29	3.53	9.2%
2025	ATH	4	3	3.18	1.05	59	1	0	65.0	70	21	10	23	3.33	9.6%
2024	TB	0	0	2.25	1.50	2	0	0	4.0	4	1	0	1	1.19	0.0%

Season	Pos	G	GS	Inn	PO	A	E	FLD%	RF/9	OAA
2026	P	46	0	42.2	1	5	1	.857	1.27	—
2025	P	59	1	65.0	2	7	0	1.000	1.25	—
2024	P	2	0	4.0	0	0	0	—	0.00	—

Date		Opp	Res
2026-07-17	vs	WSH	L
2026-07-10	@	CWS	L
2026-07-08	@	DET	L
2026-07-05	vs	MIA	L
2026-07-03	vs	MIA	L
2026-06-29	vs	LAD	L
2026-06-27	@	LAA	L
2026-06-25	@	SF	W
2026-06-24	@	SF	L
2026-06-19	vs	LAA	W

Date		Opp	Res	Dec	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	Pit
2026-07-17	vs	WSH	L	ND	0.1	4	6	6	1	2	0	30
2026-07-12	@	CWS	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	10
2026-07-10	@	CWS	L	ND	0.0	3	5	5	1	2	0	21
2026-07-08	@	DET	L	ND	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	12
2026-07-05	vs	MIA	L	ND	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	0	17
2026-07-03	vs	MIA	L	ND	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	0	8
2026-06-29	vs	LAD	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	15
2026-06-27	@	LAA	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	17
2026-06-25	@	SF	W	ND	0.1	1	1	1	1	0	1	7
2026-06-24	@	SF	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10
2026-06-19	vs	LAA	W	ND	1.1	4	4	4	2	1	1	26
2026-06-16	vs	PIT	L	H	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	2	23
2026-06-15	vs	PIT	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	2	21
2026-06-12	vs	COL	W	BS	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	1	15
2026-06-08	vs	MIL	L	H	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	1	7
2026-06-07	@	HOU	W	ND	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	1	16
2026-06-03	@	CHC	W	S	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	14
2026-06-02	@	CHC	W	H	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9
2026-05-30	vs	NYY	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16
2026-05-29	vs	NYY	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11
2026-05-26	vs	SEA	L	ND	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	1	7
2026-05-24	@	SD	W	H	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	1	19
2026-05-21	@	LAA	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	12
2026-05-19	@	LAA	W	W	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
2026-05-17	vs	SF	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	23
2026-05-14	vs	STL	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	11
2026-05-13	vs	STL	W	H	0.2	2	1	1	0	0	1	13
2026-05-10	@	BAL	L	ND	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	2	12
2026-05-08	@	BAL	W	H	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
2026-05-06	@	PHI	L	H	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
2026-05-03	vs	CLE	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	12
2026-05-01	vs	CLE	L	ND	1.0	1	2	2	1	1	1	21
2026-04-28	vs	KC	L	L	1.0	2	3	2	1	0	0	12
2026-04-26	@	TEX	W	W	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	13
2026-04-24	@	TEX	W	ND	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	9
2026-04-22	@	SEA	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	13
2026-04-17	vs	CWS	L	ND	2.1	1	0	0	0	0	4	46
2026-04-16	vs	TEX	L	L	1.0	4	4	3	0	1	1	20
2026-04-14	vs	TEX	W	H	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	1	12
2026-04-11	@	NYM	W	H	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	1	24
2026-04-09	@	NYY	W	H	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	1	21
2026-04-07	@	NYY	L	H	2.0	2	0	0	0	0	1	27
2026-04-05	vs	HOU	W	ND	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	1	22
2026-03-31	@	ATL	W	H	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	2	28
2026-03-30	@	ATL	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	2	11
2026-03-27	@	TOR	L	L	0.2	3	1	1	0	0	0	15

Pitching Profile2026 · vs 260

K/9

8.448

BB/9

2.766

HR/9

2.32

ERA

6.127

WHIP

1.3827

xERA

3.5369

Brl%A

9.2%27

PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league

Career Highs

Stat	Best	Year
Wins	4	2025
SO	70	2025
SV	1	2026
ERA	2.25	2024
WHIP	1.05	2025

Comparable Players

2026 · stat-profile similarity

Mitchell ParkerWSH26y
6.58 ERA · 34 K · 1.49 WHIP
88%
vs
Chase ShugartPHI29y
5.40 ERA · 37 K · 1.33 WHIP
82%
vs
Tanner GordonCOL28y
5.95 ERA · 49 K · 1.52 WHIP
82%
vs
Mason EnglertTB26y
4.54 ERA · 32 K · 1.43 WHIP
81%
vs
Tony SantillanCIN29y
5.23 ERA · 28 K · 1.39 WHIP
81%
vs

Career Arc

ERA by season · taller = better

Year over Year

pitching trajectory

Yr	Tm	W	ERA	WHIP	SO	IP
24	TB	0	2.25	1.50	4	4
25	ATH	4▲	3.18▲	1.05▼	70▲	65▲
26	ATH	2▼	6.12▲	1.38▲	40▼	43▼

Career Milestones

chase to the next mark

Wins6

44 to 50

Strikeouts114

886 to 1,000

Saves1

99 to 100

Season

Pitch Arsenal

2025 · Statcast

Pitch	Use	Velo	Spin
4-Seam	52%	93.5	2375
Cutter	32%	87.4	2700
Sweeper	16%	81.6	2738

Plate Discipline

2025 · induced

32.2%

Chase

lg 28.5%

70.8%

Z-Swing

lg 67%

28.1%

Whiff

lg 24.5%

71.9%

Contact

lg 76%

45.0%

Zone

lg 48.5%

27.3%

CSW

lg 28%

1,136 pitches · green/red vs league avg

Statcast Trend

xERA by season · taller = better

Barrel% Against by season · taller = better

Per game	2.0
Ceiling (90th)	5.7
Floor (10th)	-2.6
Std dev	4.7
Boom rate	41%
Bust rate	24%
Profile	Volatile