NFL Projections · TD
Passing · 2024 (model vs actual) · full season (17 games) · ST Model
Projected leaders · Top 81
2024 P50
| # | Player | Pos | Tm | Yds | TD ↓ | INT | Cmp | Att | Rush |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 4,330 | 33.1 | 15.2 | 392 | 581 | 223 |
| 2 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 4,576 | 32.0 | 12.5 | 412 | 616 | 317 |
| 3 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 4,518 | 31.7 | 14.4 | 390 | 603 | 674 |
| 4 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 4,478 | 30.5 | 11.9 | 408 | 612 | 73 |
| 5 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 4,265 | 29.2 | 13.2 | 398 | 594 | 223 |
| 6 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 3,883 | 27.9 | 10.4 | 290 | 448 | 164 |
| 7 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | ATL | 4,375 | 27.5 | 14.2 | 363 | 564 | 114 |
| 8 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 4,258 | 27.5 | 11.3 | 393 | 586 | 57 |
| 9 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 3,475 | 27.2 | 11.0 | 332 | 514 | 73 |
| 10 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 4,309 | 26.6 | 13.0 | 388 | 578 | 39 |
| 11 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 4,400 | 26.5 | 11.3 | 406 | 608 | 259 |
| 12 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 4,409 | 25.3 | 12.5 | 357 | 559 | 208 |
| 13 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 4,197 | 24.9 | 12.9 | 381 | 544 | 268 |
| 14 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 3,589 | 24.9 | 12.3 | 327 | 530 | 224 |
| 15 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 3,741 | 23.4 | 11.1 | 336 | 545 | 686 |
| 16 | Joe Flacco | QB | CIN | 3,570 | 23.1 | 12.9 | 311 | 523 | 31 |
| 17 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 3,632 | 22.9 | 11.7 | 333 | 530 | 155 |
| 18 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 3,426 | 22.9 | 8.7 | 302 | 455 | 830 |
| 19 | Carson Wentz | QB | MIN | 3,071 | 22.5 | 12.2 | 303 | 452 | 268 |
| 20 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 3,452 | 21.8 | 11.2 | 355 | 530 | 449 |
| 21 | Sam Hartman | QB | WAS | 3,584 | 21.7 | 12.7 | 323 | 532 | 292 |
| 22 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 3,978 | 21.5 | 12.4 | 379 | 584 | 344 |
| 23 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 3,880 | 21.3 | 12.5 | 349 | 524 | 273 |
| 24 | Sam Howell | QB | DAL | 3,713 | 21.3 | 13.6 | 351 | 562 | 241 |
| 25 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 3,731 | 20.4 | 13.1 | 342 | 522 | 194 |
| 26 | Jake Browning | QB | TB | 3,489 | 20.1 | 13.5 | 308 | 470 | 183 |
| 27 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 3,038 | 19.2 | 11.9 | 281 | 438 | 228 |
| 28 | Mac Jones | QB | SF | 3,481 | 18.9 | 13.9 | 329 | 510 | 170 |
| 29 | Andy Dalton | QB | PHI | 3,021 | 18.1 | 11.1 | 286 | 422 | 112 |
| 30 | Will Levis | QB | TEN | 3,469 | 18.1 | 12.5 | 302 | 492 | 136 |
| 31 | Aidan O'Connell | QB | LV | 3,418 | 18.0 | 11.3 | 304 | 483 | 103 |
| 32 | Justin Fields | QB | KC | 2,875 | 17.4 | 12.1 | 264 | 423 | 880 |
| 33 | Gardner Minshew | QB | ARI | 3,312 | 17.4 | 10.8 | 286 | 481 | 129 |
| 34 | Anthony Richardson | QB | IND | 2,818 | 16.8 | 10.6 | 255 | 431 | 483 |
| 35 | Joe Milton | QB | DAL | 3,521 | 16.7 | 11.5 | 333 | 517 | 305 |
| 36 | Nick Mullens | QB | JAX | 3,017 | 16.4 | 13.8 | 251 | 402 | 112 |
| 37 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 3,087 | 16.4 | 10.3 | 313 | 506 | 244 |
| 38 | Tommy DeVito | QB | NE | 2,687 | 15.9 | 12.8 | 253 | 415 | 267 |
| 39 | Devin Leary | QB | BAL | 3,424 | 15.8 | 15.8 | 312 | 512 | 169 |
| 40 | Mason Rudolph | QB | PIT | 2,733 | 15.6 | 9.1 | 240 | 383 | 112 |
| 41 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 2,921 | 15.3 | 9.3 | 298 | 453 | 653 |
| 42 | Jarrett Stidham | QB | DEN | 3,082 | 15.2 | 10.0 | 271 | 428 | 133 |
| 43 | Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | 2,621 | 15.1 | 9.9 | 221 | 340 | 108 |
| 44 | Davis Mills | QB | HOU | 2,871 | 15.0 | 12.5 | 262 | 415 | 85 |
| 45 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 2,470 | 14.6 | 8.8 | 248 | 375 | 177 |
| 46 | Trevor Siemian | QB | ATL | 2,575 | 14.5 | 13.0 | 254 | 425 | 71 |
| 47 | Carter Bradley | QB | JAX | 2,588 | 14.0 | 6.8 | 215 | 348 | 63 |
| 48 | Kedon Slovis | QB | ARI | 2,883 | 13.9 | 15.9 | 237 | 451 | 366 |
| 49 | Tyson Bagent | QB | CHI | 3,126 | 13.9 | 14.7 | 307 | 471 | 246 |
| 50 | Jack Plummer | QB | CAR | 2,927 | 13.9 | 15.8 | 269 | 479 | 112 |
| 51 | Zach Wilson | QB | NO | 3,083 | 13.8 | 11.8 | 277 | 469 | 256 |
| 52 | Easton Stick | QB | IND | 3,360 | 13.8 | 11.9 | 314 | 501 | 277 |
| 53 | Austin Reed | QB | CHI | 2,694 | 13.4 | 10.4 | 254 | 464 | 109 |
| 54 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 3,526 | 13.3 | 10.1 | 344 | 548 | 310 |
| 55 | Teddy Bridgewater | QB | DET | 1,969 | 12.8 | 6.0 | 193 | 273 | 99 |
| 56 | Tyrod Taylor | QB | GB | 2,344 | 12.7 | 10.4 | 210 | 349 | 291 |
| 57 | Sean Clifford | QB | CIN | 2,037 | 12.6 | 9.1 | 176 | 280 | 136 |
| 58 | Josh Johnson | QB | CIN | 2,085 | 12.5 | 5.3 | 199 | 298 | 198 |
| 59 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 3,500 | 12.4 | 11.7 | 321 | 533 | 217 |
| 60 | Spencer Rattler | QB | NO | 2,735 | 12.2 | 11.0 | 257 | 480 | 108 |
| 61 | Marcus Mariota | QB | WAS | 1,983 | 12.2 | 7.9 | 186 | 315 | 348 |
| 62 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 3,320 | 12.1 | 17.0 | 306 | 534 | 285 |
| 63 | J.J. McCarthy | QB | MIN | 3,138 | 11.9 | 14.0 | 308 | 503 | 273 |
| 64 | Bailey Zappe | QB | NYJ | 2,482 | 11.9 | 11.7 | 239 | 367 | 156 |
| 65 | Jason Bean | QB | IND | 2,699 | 11.7 | 10.9 | 240 | 495 | 272 |
| 66 | Kenny Pickett | QB | CAR | 3,035 | 11.6 | 10.7 | 305 | 485 | 231 |
| 67 | Jordan Travis | QB | NYJ | 3,053 | 11.4 | 10.4 | 314 | 502 | 270 |
| 68 | Drew Lock | QB | SEA | 2,129 | 11.4 | 7.7 | 187 | 308 | 137 |
| 69 | Michael Pratt | QB | TB | 3,032 | 11.2 | 10.1 | 269 | 471 | 291 |
| 70 | Brandon Allen | QB | NYG | 1,704 | 11.1 | 8.3 | 166 | 269 | 89 |
| 71 | Mitchell Trubisky | QB | TEN | 2,102 | 11.1 | 9.4 | 217 | 342 | 165 |
| 72 | Tanner Mordecai | QB | SF | 2,122 | 10.6 | 5.7 | 208 | 334 | 202 |
| 73 | Sam Ehlinger | QB | DEN | 1,952 | 10.6 | 8.5 | 207 | 305 | 208 |
| 74 | Will Grier | QB | CAR | 2,851 | 10.6 | 12.8 | 252 | 482 | 228 |
| 75 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 2,085 | 10.5 | 5.3 | 166 | 272 | 142 |
| 76 | Case Keenum | QB | CHI | 2,228 | 10.3 | 12.3 | 224 | 363 | 38 |
| 77 | Tyler Huntley | QB | BAL | 1,692 | 10.1 | 10.0 | 192 | 272 | 272 |
| 78 | Trey Lance | QB | LAC | 1,976 | 10.1 | 6.2 | 180 | 301 | 378 |
| 79 | Kyle Allen | QB | BUF | 1,943 | 9.6 | 11.6 | 195 | 354 | 95 |
| 80 | Skylar Thompson | QB | BAL | 2,188 | 9.3 | 8.9 | 215 | 382 | 140 |
| 81 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 1,708 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 160 | 280 | 270 |