MLB Terminal — projections, standings & analytics

Kevin Kelly

P · TB

28 yrs

Pitcher

Description

Position: P
Team: TB
Type: Pitcher
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
Born: 1997-11-28
Age: 28
Country: USA
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 195 lb
Last active: 2026

Career Résumé

4 seasons

Seasons	4 2023–2026
Games	208
W-L	17-12
ERA	3.30
WHIP	1.04
IP	224
SO	188
SV	6

Pitching Projections

2026 · per ~700 BF

Stat	Proj	Range (p10–p90)	vs LY
ERA	3.85	2.85–5.76	−0.15
WHIP	1.16	0.93–1.41	0.00
SO	156	123–200	+5
BB	41	27–58	+1
HR	23	12–34	+1
Hits	154	127–177	−1
ER	72	53–108	−3

Regular season

Season	Tm	W	L	ERA	WHIP	G	SV	IP	SO	BB	HR	ER	xERA	Brl%
2026	TB	5	3	2.33	0.91	42	4	46.1	34	8	4	12	4.25	6.9%
2025	TB	2	5	5.90	1.36	41	0	39.2	35	9	11	26	6.39	15.7%
2024	TB	5	2	2.67	0.96	68	1	70.2	63	9	7	21	3.34	5.0%
2023	TB	5	2	3.09	1.01	57	1	67.0	56	15	2	23	3.35	3.6%

Season	Pos	G	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	FLD%	RF/9	OAA
2026	P	42	46.1	2	6	0	2	1.000	1.55	—
2025	P	41	39.2	1	4	0	1	1.000	1.13	—
2024	P	68	70.2	4	11	0	0	1.000	1.91	—
2023	P	57	67.0	7	6	1	0	.929	1.75	—

Date		Opp	Res
2026-07-18	@	BOS	L
2026-07-12	vs	SEA	L
2026-07-10	vs	SEA	W
2026-07-07	vs	NYY	W
2026-07-03	@	HOU	W
2026-07-01	@	KC	W
2026-06-27	vs	AZ	W
2026-06-26	vs	AZ	W
2026-06-24	vs	KC	W
2026-06-21	vs	WSH	W
2026-06-19	vs	WSH	W

Date		Opp	Res	Dec	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	Pit
2026-07-18	@	BOS	L	ND	2.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	29
2026-07-12	vs	SEA	L	ND	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	9
2026-07-10	vs	SEA	W	ND	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	14
2026-07-07	vs	NYY	W	H	1.0	4	1	1	0	0	1	14
2026-07-03	@	HOU	W	W	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
2026-07-01	@	KC	W	S	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	7
2026-06-27	vs	AZ	W	H	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	2	20
2026-06-26	vs	AZ	W	H	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	13
2026-06-24	vs	KC	W	H	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15
2026-06-21	vs	WSH	W	S	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	14
2026-06-19	vs	WSH	W	H	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	0	10
2026-06-17	@	LAD	L	L	1.2	3	2	2	1	1	1	33
2026-06-14	@	LAA	W	W	2.0	1	0	0	0	0	3	22
2026-06-09	vs	BOS	W	H	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
2026-06-08	vs	BOS	W	H	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	1	16
2026-06-06	@	MIA	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	2	21
2026-05-31	vs	LAA	W	H	1.1	2	0	0	0	0	1	23
2026-05-29	vs	LAA	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	11
2026-05-24	@	NYY	L	L	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	0	14
2026-05-22	@	NYY	W	H	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
2026-05-19	vs	BAL	W	W	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	10
2026-05-17	vs	MIA	W	H	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	1	21
2026-05-16	vs	MIA	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	12
2026-05-13	@	TOR	L	H	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
2026-05-12	@	TOR	W	BS	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	18
2026-05-10	@	BOS	W	H	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	1	20
2026-05-07	@	BOS	W	H	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	12
2026-05-06	vs	TOR	W	H	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	0	14
2026-05-04	vs	TOR	W	ND	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	1	7
2026-05-02	vs	SF	W	H	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	1	15
2026-04-28	@	CLE	W	H	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
2026-04-25	vs	MIN	W	H	2.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	32
2026-04-22	vs	CIN	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	13
2026-04-18	@	PIT	W	ND	1.2	0	1	0	0	1	2	20
2026-04-16	@	CWS	W	W	2.0	1	1	1	1	1	2	26
2026-04-12	vs	NYY	W	H	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	0	18
2026-04-11	vs	NYY	W	ND	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1	4
2026-04-06	vs	CHC	W	W	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	14
2026-04-05	@	MIN	W	S	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	19
2026-04-03	@	MIN	L	L	0.1	2	6	5	0	2	1	33
2026-03-30	@	MIL	W	S	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
2026-03-29	@	STL	W	H	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	10

Pitching Profile2026 · vs 260

K/9

6.614

BB/9

1.698

HR/9

0.876

ERA

2.3390

WHIP

0.9194

xERA

4.2542

Brl%A

6.9%59

PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league

Career Highs

Stat	Best	Year
Wins	5	2026
SO	63	2024
SV	4	2026
ERA	2.33	2026
WHIP	0.91	2026

Comparable Players

2026 · stat-profile similarity

Jakob JunisTEX33y
2.75 ERA · 28 K · 1.03 WHIP
91%
vs
Taylor ClarkeAZ33y
2.45 ERA · 24 K · 0.89 WHIP
90%
vs
John KingMIA31y
2.48 ERA · 30 K · 0.75 WHIP
89%
vs
Daniel LynchKC29y
2.18 ERA · 34 K · 0.94 WHIP
86%
vs
Jonathan LoáisigaAZ31y
2.13 ERA · 27 K · 1.03 WHIP
86%
vs

Career Arc

ERA by season · taller = better

Year over Year

pitching trajectory

Yr	Tm	W	ERA	WHIP	SO	IP
23	TB	5	3.09	1.01	56	67
24	TB	5	2.67▼	0.96▼	63▲	71▲
25	TB	2▼	5.90▲	1.36▲	35▼	40▼
26	TB	5▲	2.33▼	0.91▼	34▼	46▲

Career Milestones

chase to the next mark

Wins17

33 to 50

Strikeouts188

812 to 1,000

Saves6

94 to 100

Season

Pitch Arsenal

2025 · Statcast

Pitch	Use	Velo	Spin
Sinker	59%	91.0	2164
Sweeper	20%	78.6	2663
Cutter	13%	89.4	2323
4-Seam	9%	92.2	2162

Plate Discipline

2025 · induced

26.8%

Chase

lg 28.5%

62.0%

Z-Swing

lg 67%

20.7%

Whiff

lg 24.5%

79.3%

Contact

lg 76%

51.8%

Zone

lg 48.5%

28.3%

CSW

lg 28%

629 pitches · green/red vs league avg

Statcast Trend

xERA by season · taller = better

Barrel% Against by season · taller = better

Per game	3.4
Ceiling (90th)	7.7
Floor (10th)	0.2
Std dev	3.7
Boom rate	26%
Bust rate	31%
Profile	Volatile