NFL Projections · TD
Passing · 2026 forecast · full season (17 games) · ST Model
Projected leaders · Top 100
2026 P50
| # | Player | Pos | Tm | Yds | TD ↓ | INT | Cmp | Att | Rush |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 3,960 | 33.2 | 12.4 | 397 | 576 | 107 |
| 2 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 4,143 | 30.5 | 9.9 | 370 | 579 | 18 |
| 3 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 4,417 | 30.5 | 10.3 | 380 | 560 | 56 |
| 4 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 3,838 | 30.2 | 10.8 | 354 | 529 | 360 |
| 5 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 3,612 | 30.2 | 7.8 | 293 | 458 | 709 |
| 6 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 4,198 | 29.0 | 13.1 | 379 | 575 | 183 |
| 7 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 4,004 | 28.6 | 13.8 | 341 | 506 | 287 |
| 8 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 3,774 | 27.3 | 10.6 | 331 | 513 | 236 |
| 9 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 3,836 | 26.9 | 12.2 | 344 | 533 | 435 |
| 10 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 4,133 | 26.5 | 12.8 | 386 | 597 | 290 |
| 11 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 3,959 | 26.3 | 11.4 | 380 | 590 | 444 |
| 12 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 3,967 | 26.1 | 10.7 | 347 | 497 | 491 |
| 13 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | ATL | 3,664 | 25.7 | 12.5 | 348 | 527 | 95 |
| 14 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 3,788 | 25.5 | 11.4 | 312 | 462 | 120 |
| 15 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 3,878 | 24.9 | 9.0 | 332 | 567 | 413 |
| 16 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 3,947 | 24.9 | 14.0 | 344 | 549 | 284 |
| 17 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 3,452 | 24.6 | 8.8 | 332 | 504 | 73 |
| 18 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 3,821 | 24.5 | 11.4 | 362 | 529 | 455 |
| 19 | Joe Flacco | QB | CIN | 3,371 | 23.4 | 14.9 | 334 | 564 | 36 |
| 20 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 3,403 | 22.8 | 8.6 | 308 | 471 | 546 |
| 21 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 3,660 | 21.9 | 10.6 | 320 | 485 | 242 |
| 22 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 3,352 | 21.1 | 11.3 | 304 | 515 | 192 |
| 23 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 3,682 | 21.0 | 14.1 | 347 | 517 | 191 |
| 24 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 2,795 | 21.0 | 10.2 | 306 | 483 | 297 |
| 25 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 3,210 | 20.6 | 10.0 | 301 | 470 | 681 |
| 26 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 3,401 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 322 | 467 | 22 |
| 27 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 3,608 | 19.9 | 12.5 | 338 | 491 | 296 |
| 28 | Jaxson Dart | QB | NYG | 2,981 | 19.6 | 9.1 | 271 | 441 | 736 |
| 29 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 3,224 | 19.3 | 9.9 | 348 | 493 | 512 |
| 30 | J.J. McCarthy | QB | MIN | 3,053 | 18.6 | 14.2 | 266 | 445 | 275 |
| 31 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 3,202 | 18.3 | 12.9 | 306 | 525 | 176 |
| 32 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 3,440 | 17.8 | 11.6 | 320 | 484 | 259 |
| 33 | Carson Wentz | QB | MIN | 3,023 | 17.5 | 13.9 | 276 | 431 | 322 |
| 34 | Sam Howell | QB | DAL | 3,075 | 17.1 | 14.6 | 303 | 466 | 329 |
| 35 | Will Levis | QB | TEN | 2,910 | 16.7 | 11.5 | 276 | 436 | 206 |
| 36 | Mac Jones | QB | SF | 2,850 | 16.7 | 10.4 | 300 | 436 | 127 |
| 37 | Marcus Mariota | QB | WAS | 2,618 | 16.7 | 11.4 | 223 | 377 | 379 |
| 38 | Quinn Ewers | QB | MIA | 2,788 | 16.1 | 14.4 | 269 | 421 | 198 |
| 39 | Tyrod Taylor | QB | GB | 2,294 | 16.1 | 10.6 | 208 | 346 | 295 |
| 40 | Jake Browning | QB | TB | 2,454 | 15.9 | 11.4 | 235 | 338 | 152 |
| 41 | Shedeur Sanders | QB | CLE | 3,024 | 15.7 | 15.2 | 268 | 457 | 277 |
| 42 | Adrian Martinez | QB | SF | 2,244 | 15.5 | 13.0 | 206 | 330 | 120 |
| 43 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 2,512 | 15.1 | 11.9 | 280 | 457 | 288 |
| 44 | Tanner McKee | QB | PHI | 1,993 | 15.0 | 9.2 | 188 | 318 | 101 |
| 45 | Justin Fields | QB | KC | 2,398 | 15.0 | 7.4 | 231 | 381 | 593 |
| 46 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 3,023 | 14.8 | 9.6 | 268 | 447 | 143 |
| 47 | Easton Stick | QB | IND | 3,186 | 14.5 | 9.3 | 302 | 490 | 307 |
| 48 | Spencer Rattler | QB | NO | 2,802 | 14.3 | 9.6 | 292 | 463 | 271 |
| 49 | Mason Rudolph | QB | PIT | 2,319 | 13.6 | 11.3 | 237 | 362 | 86 |
| 50 | Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | 2,576 | 13.6 | 12.3 | 217 | 345 | 59 |
| 51 | Case Keenum | QB | CHI | 2,459 | 13.2 | 11.4 | 233 | 365 | 37 |
| 52 | Joe Milton | QB | DAL | 2,144 | 13.2 | 9.2 | 205 | 308 | 234 |
| 53 | Dillon Gabriel | QB | CLE | 2,107 | 13.1 | 8.9 | 225 | 381 | 244 |
| 54 | Kedon Slovis | QB | ARI | 1,999 | 12.9 | 12.4 | 177 | 298 | 109 |
| 55 | Davis Mills | QB | HOU | 2,145 | 12.8 | 9.9 | 196 | 362 | 183 |
| 56 | Andy Dalton | QB | PHI | 2,083 | 12.6 | 10.5 | 223 | 336 | 50 |
| 57 | Aidan O'Connell | QB | LV | 2,483 | 12.4 | 6.5 | 255 | 379 | 70 |
| 58 | Sean Clifford | QB | CIN | 2,059 | 12.3 | 10.0 | 173 | 283 | 139 |
| 59 | Trevor Siemian | QB | ATL | 2,523 | 12.3 | 11.6 | 252 | 434 | 72 |
| 60 | Hendon Hooker | QB | TEN | 1,920 | 11.8 | 10.0 | 166 | 289 | 115 |
| 61 | Mitchell Trubisky | QB | TEN | 1,573 | 11.3 | 5.5 | 144 | 233 | 81 |
| 62 | Shane Buechele | QB | BUF | 2,389 | 11.3 | 13.2 | 232 | 396 | 133 |
| 63 | Jalen Milroe | QB | SEA | 1,687 | 11.2 | 9.1 | 156 | 253 | 126 |
| 64 | Tyson Bagent | QB | CHI | 1,642 | 11.2 | 5.2 | 150 | 209 | 136 |
| 65 | Riley Leonard | QB | IND | 2,070 | 11.1 | 9.8 | 198 | 349 | 169 |
| 66 | Tyler Huntley | QB | BAL | 1,804 | 10.8 | 9.0 | 201 | 306 | 294 |
| 67 | Brady Cook | QB | NYJ | 2,568 | 10.7 | 16.1 | 278 | 474 | 203 |
| 68 | Anthony Richardson | QB | IND | 2,143 | 10.7 | 8.5 | 174 | 311 | 393 |
| 69 | Tommy DeVito | QB | NE | 1,921 | 10.6 | 9.0 | 211 | 338 | 198 |
| 70 | Gardner Minshew | QB | ARI | 2,478 | 10.5 | 8.5 | 240 | 370 | 73 |
| 71 | Kenny Pickett | QB | CAR | 2,139 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 193 | 342 | 114 |
| 72 | Jarrett Stidham | QB | DEN | 1,373 | 10.4 | 3.4 | 133 | 163 | 33 |
| 73 | Bailey Zappe | QB | NYJ | 2,210 | 10.4 | 9.1 | 217 | 355 | 90 |
| 74 | Sam Ehlinger | QB | DEN | 1,877 | 10.1 | 6.7 | 208 | 286 | 197 |
| 75 | Josh Johnson | QB | CIN | 1,927 | 9.8 | 7.8 | 182 | 295 | 149 |
| 76 | Drew Lock | QB | SEA | 1,678 | 9.6 | 8.0 | 173 | 286 | 153 |
| 77 | Zach Wilson | QB | NO | 2,087 | 9.5 | 8.8 | 210 | 367 | 176 |
| 78 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 1,909 | 9.4 | 6.4 | 160 | 265 | 377 |
| 79 | Will Grier | QB | CAR | 2,600 | 9.3 | 12.6 | 255 | 462 | 241 |
| 80 | Skylar Thompson | QB | BAL | 1,972 | 9.1 | 6.7 | 196 | 330 | 128 |
| 81 | Chris Oladokun | QB | KC | 1,923 | 8.9 | 8.6 | 222 | 355 | 150 |
| 82 | Brandon Allen | QB | NYG | 1,848 | 8.7 | 8.7 | 191 | 328 | 69 |
| 83 | Max Brosmer | QB | MIN | 1,745 | 8.2 | 11.5 | 185 | 313 | 119 |
| 84 | Teddy Bridgewater | QB | DET | 1,440 | 8.0 | 6.3 | 162 | 269 | 60 |
| 85 | Nick Mullens | QB | JAX | 1,567 | 7.9 | 6.9 | 131 | 209 | 56 |
| 86 | Trey Lance | QB | LAC | 1,908 | 6.8 | 9.3 | 173 | 314 | 337 |
| 87 | Kyle Allen | QB | BUF | 1,408 | 6.7 | 6.2 | 144 | 204 | 10 |
| 88 | Carson Beck | QB | ARI | 898 | 5.6 | 3.1 | 82 | 137 | 305 |
| 89 | Cole Payton | QB | PHI | 766 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 72 | 115 | 417 |
| 90 | Drew Allar | QB | PIT | 831 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 79 | 124 | 338 |
| 91 | Fernando Mendoza | QB | LV | 813 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 82 | 136 | 308 |
| 92 | Athan Kaliakmanis | QB | WAS | 722 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 72 | 121 | 110 |
| 93 | Taylen Green | QB | CLE | 777 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 73 | 121 | 373 |
| 94 | Cade Klubnik | QB | NYJ | 729 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 73 | 122 | 134 |
| 95 | Garrett Nussmeier | QB | KC | 772 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 76 | 126 | 69 |
| 96 | Behren Morton | QB | NE | 728 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 73 | 122 | 132 |
| 97 | Ty Simpson | QB | LAR | 758 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 79 | 126 | 217 |
| 98 | Luke Altmyer | QB | DET | 579 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 54 | 84 | 90 |
| 99 | Diego Pavia | QB | BAL | 351 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 39 | 70 | 183 |
| 100 | Haynes King | QB | CAR | 507 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 51 | 80 | 61 |