NFL Projections · TD

Passing · 2025 (model vs actual) · full season (17 games) · ST Model

Passing Rushing Receiving Defense Kicking

Season2026 2025 2024

Projected leaders · Top 89

2025 P50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	Yds	TD ↓	INT	Cmp	Att	Rush
1	Joe Burrow	QB	CIN	4,420	32.5	11.8	427	632	233
2	Lamar Jackson	QB	BAL	3,972	30.4	7.6	309	490	819
3	Patrick Mahomes	QB	KC	4,315	29.8	12.0	397	582	382
4	Jared Goff	QB	DET	4,229	28.9	11.1	370	536	46
5	Baker Mayfield	QB	TB	4,114	28.8	13.1	371	554	322
6	Josh Allen	QB	BUF	4,091	28.6	13.6	355	548	602
7	Dak Prescott	QB	DAL	4,106	28.4	11.5	373	563	200
8	Tua Tagovailoa	QB	ATL	4,386	28.0	11.7	384	542	91
9	Bo Nix	QB	DEN	3,706	27.4	13.1	360	559	370
10	Kirk Cousins	QB	LV	4,216	26.4	11.1	378	577	63
11	Jordan Love	QB	GB	3,720	25.6	12.3	324	494	177
12	Joe Flacco	QB	CIN	3,983	25.4	18.1	353	584	42
13	Brock Purdy	QB	SF	4,245	25.2	12.8	320	481	316
14	Aaron Rodgers	QB	PIT	3,334	24.9	11.8	329	527	71
15	Sam Darnold	QB	SEA	3,533	24.7	12.0	301	462	220
16	Justin Herbert	QB	LAC	3,920	24.0	9.8	362	550	207
17	Jayden Daniels	QB	WAS	3,604	23.6	11.8	329	482	737
18	Caleb Williams	QB	CHI	3,667	23.4	11.8	348	549	426
19	Geno Smith	QB	NYJ	4,061	23.4	12.4	372	550	214
20	Jalen Hurts	QB	PHI	3,589	22.9	9.1	326	471	624
21	Tanner McKee	QB	PHI	2,920	22.9	14.2	267	414	149
22	Kyler Murray	QB	MIN	3,691	22.7	11.6	378	559	444
23	C.J. Stroud	QB	HOU	3,986	22.3	9.8	349	535	222
24	Matthew Stafford	QB	LAR	3,997	22.0	10.9	364	552	41
25	Trevor Lawrence	QB	JAX	3,755	21.7	11.6	338	524	259
26	Cam Miller	QB	MIA	3,592	21.3	11.9	339	536	338
27	Drake Maye	QB	NE	3,058	19.8	13.0	297	455	649
28	Joe Milton	QB	DAL	3,318	19.2	14.3	292	440	267
29	Andy Dalton	QB	PHI	3,093	19.0	12.9	292	450	56
30	Marcus Mariota	QB	WAS	2,469	17.8	9.3	214	358	300
31	Bryce Young	QB	CAR	2,924	17.7	9.8	291	469	302
32	Carson Wentz	QB	MIN	2,688	17.6	10.4	247	384	279
33	Will Levis	QB	TEN	3,003	17.6	12.2	275	446	228
34	Sam Howell	QB	DAL	3,124	17.3	14.5	311	499	275
35	Jaxson Dart	QB	NYG	3,541	17.1	12.4	331	532	326
36	Jameis Winston	QB	NYG	2,713	17.0	14.7	245	414	108
37	Kyle McCord	QB	GB	3,409	16.4	10.2	317	526	187
38	Aidan O'Connell	QB	LV	3,098	16.2	10.9	295	473	106
39	Deshaun Watson	QB	CLE	2,725	16.0	14.9	282	481	254
40	Gardner Minshew	QB	ARI	3,285	15.9	11.8	303	485	125
41	Mason Rudolph	QB	PIT	2,879	15.8	10.8	267	422	217
42	Jake Browning	QB	TB	2,550	15.6	9.5	238	354	112
43	Mac Jones	QB	SF	3,055	15.5	12.8	309	474	148
44	Daniel Jones	QB	IND	3,078	15.1	10.3	329	486	569
45	Justin Fields	QB	KC	2,392	14.8	9.6	220	376	788
46	Will Howard	QB	PIT	3,576	14.7	11.3	354	563	287
47	Jacoby Brissett	QB	ARI	2,722	14.4	8.4	245	404	195
48	Drew Lock	QB	SEA	2,353	14.3	12.3	232	392	188
49	Sean Clifford	QB	CIN	2,088	14.0	9.6	186	290	132
50	Chris Oladokun	QB	KC	2,224	13.9	9.6	210	325	179
51	Easton Stick	QB	IND	3,285	13.8	11.7	315	506	284
52	Tyrod Taylor	QB	GB	1,873	13.6	5.8	192	291	223
53	Michael Penix Jr.	QB	ATL	2,705	13.5	12.7	228	396	159
54	Max Brosmer	QB	MIN	2,427	13.5	5.7	215	339	107
55	Kurtis Rourke	QB	SF	3,319	13.3	9.5	334	532	320
56	Davis Mills	QB	HOU	2,569	13.3	9.5	231	380	131
57	Sam Ehlinger	QB	DEN	2,258	13.1	8.9	231	347	214
58	Jarrett Stidham	QB	DEN	2,406	13.1	10.0	202	325	131
59	DJ Uiagalelei	QB	LAC	3,266	13.0	17.0	283	495	394
60	Anthony Richardson	QB	IND	2,656	12.9	9.4	215	400	628
61	Quinn Ewers	QB	MIA	3,021	12.5	11.3	311	507	168
62	Zach Wilson	QB	NO	3,005	12.5	10.9	283	479	267
63	Bailey Zappe	QB	NYJ	2,419	12.4	10.0	229	391	110
64	Cam Ward	QB	TEN	3,488	12.3	10.4	347	555	204
65	Nick Mullens	QB	JAX	2,532	12.2	11.9	194	297	36
66	Tyler Shough	QB	NO	2,781	12.2	11.5	266	456	170
67	Spencer Rattler	QB	NO	3,061	12.1	15.0	299	517	268
68	Teddy Bridgewater	QB	DET	1,745	12.0	6.3	164	247	71
69	Graham Mertz	QB	HOU	3,106	12.0	12.4	276	485	140
70	Case Keenum	QB	CHI	2,323	11.9	12.4	231	373	29
71	Jalen Milroe	QB	SEA	2,998	11.9	13.9	291	474	334
72	Malik Willis	QB	MIA	2,017	11.9	7.6	177	285	271
73	Brady Cook	QB	NYJ	1,768	11.8	5.7	207	281	106
74	Dillon Gabriel	QB	CLE	3,123	11.7	10.4	324	554	297
75	Shedeur Sanders	QB	CLE	3,114	11.6	7.4	316	507	316
76	Tyson Bagent	QB	CHI	1,737	11.2	11.1	200	321	152
77	Tyler Huntley	QB	BAL	2,206	11.1	9.4	224	356	235
78	Brandon Allen	QB	NYG	2,055	10.6	7.6	185	312	42
79	Trevor Siemian	QB	ATL	2,443	10.6	12.4	258	431	73
80	Tommy DeVito	QB	NE	1,978	10.6	7.4	222	346	228
81	Kenny Pickett	QB	CAR	2,516	10.6	5.7	240	388	171
82	Hendon Hooker	QB	TEN	1,717	10.5	7.1	155	251	109
83	Trey Lance	QB	LAC	2,090	10.1	11.3	192	337	348
84	Mitchell Trubisky	QB	TEN	1,578	10.0	8.8	165	255	72
85	Will Grier	QB	CAR	2,736	9.6	13.7	273	493	249
86	Riley Leonard	QB	IND	2,741	9.4	10.2	223	323	251
87	Kyle Allen	QB	BUF	1,583	9.3	7.4	154	218	31
88	Josh Johnson	QB	CIN	1,124	8.0	3.3	114	167	34
89	Skylar Thompson	QB	BAL	1,745	7.1	5.7	180	305	123