NFL Projections · TD

Passing · 2026 forecast · full season (17 games) · ST Model

Passing Rushing Receiving Defense Kicking

Season2026 2025 2024

Projected leaders · Top 100

2026 P50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	Yds	TD ↓	INT	Cmp	Att	Rush
1	Joe Burrow	QB	CIN	3,960	33.2	12.0	397	578	120
2	Matthew Stafford	QB	LAR	4,143	30.5	9.8	370	577	25
3	Jared Goff	QB	DET	4,417	30.5	10.3	380	560	56
4	Baker Mayfield	QB	TB	3,838	30.2	11.0	354	532	351
5	Lamar Jackson	QB	BAL	3,612	30.2	7.7	293	455	707
6	Dak Prescott	QB	DAL	4,198	29.0	12.8	379	576	184
7	Brock Purdy	QB	SF	4,004	28.6	13.9	341	504	283
8	Jordan Love	QB	GB	3,774	27.3	10.5	331	512	226
9	Josh Allen	QB	BUF	3,836	26.9	12.0	344	529	461
10	Patrick Mahomes	QB	KC	4,133	26.5	12.9	386	597	316
11	Bo Nix	QB	DEN	3,959	26.3	11.4	380	587	429
12	Drake Maye	QB	NE	3,967	26.1	10.6	347	491	484
13	Tua Tagovailoa	QB	ATL	3,664	25.7	12.7	348	526	92
14	Sam Darnold	QB	SEA	3,788	25.5	11.4	312	457	124
15	Caleb Williams	QB	CHI	3,878	24.9	8.8	332	563	412
16	Trevor Lawrence	QB	JAX	3,947	24.9	13.8	344	547	291
17	Aaron Rodgers	QB	PIT	3,452	24.6	8.9	332	508	79
18	Justin Herbert	QB	LAC	3,821	24.5	11.1	362	528	440
19	Joe Flacco	QB	CIN	3,371	23.4	15.0	334	562	43
20	Jalen Hurts	QB	PHI	3,403	22.8	8.6	308	470	547
21	C.J. Stroud	QB	HOU	3,660	21.9	10.4	320	491	240
22	Jacoby Brissett	QB	ARI	3,352	21.1	10.8	304	512	192
23	Geno Smith	QB	NYJ	3,682	21.0	14.2	347	520	192
24	Bryce Young	QB	CAR	2,795	21.0	10.3	306	486	289
25	Jayden Daniels	QB	WAS	3,210	20.6	9.9	301	468	694
26	Kirk Cousins	QB	LV	3,401	20.0	11.3	322	475	26
27	Daniel Jones	QB	IND	3,608	19.9	12.4	338	493	304
28	Jaxson Dart	QB	NYG	2,981	19.6	8.8	271	435	689
29	Kyler Murray	QB	MIN	3,224	19.3	10.0	348	499	515
30	J.J. McCarthy	QB	MIN	3,053	18.6	14.7	266	438	278
31	Cam Ward	QB	TEN	3,202	18.3	12.3	306	523	175
32	Tyler Shough	QB	NO	3,440	17.8	11.3	320	482	263
33	Carson Wentz	QB	MIN	3,023	17.5	13.7	276	432	300
34	Sam Howell	QB	DAL	3,075	17.1	15.1	303	478	310
35	Will Levis	QB	TEN	2,910	16.7	11.7	276	435	207
36	Mac Jones	QB	SF	2,850	16.7	10.7	300	440	129
37	Marcus Mariota	QB	WAS	2,618	16.7	11.2	223	372	395
38	Quinn Ewers	QB	MIA	2,788	16.1	14.1	269	410	188
39	Tyrod Taylor	QB	GB	2,294	16.1	10.3	208	344	300
40	Jake Browning	QB	TB	2,454	15.9	12.0	235	345	157
41	Shedeur Sanders	QB	CLE	3,024	15.7	15.5	268	452	288
42	Adrian Martinez	QB	SF	2,244	15.5	12.4	206	321	133
43	Deshaun Watson	QB	CLE	2,512	15.1	11.6	280	460	300
44	Tanner McKee	QB	PHI	1,993	15.0	8.8	188	313	101
45	Justin Fields	QB	KC	2,398	15.0	7.2	231	381	603
46	Michael Penix Jr.	QB	ATL	3,023	14.8	9.4	268	448	140
47	Easton Stick	QB	IND	3,186	14.5	9.0	302	487	319
48	Spencer Rattler	QB	NO	2,802	14.3	9.7	292	467	280
49	Mason Rudolph	QB	PIT	2,319	13.6	11.3	237	360	98
50	Jameis Winston	QB	NYG	2,576	13.6	12.5	217	349	73
51	Case Keenum	QB	CHI	2,459	13.2	11.8	233	369	68
52	Joe Milton	QB	DAL	2,144	13.2	9.1	205	298	232
53	Dillon Gabriel	QB	CLE	2,107	13.1	8.5	225	372	227
54	Kedon Slovis	QB	ARI	1,999	12.9	11.7	177	287	117
55	Davis Mills	QB	HOU	2,145	12.8	9.1	196	353	172
56	Andy Dalton	QB	PHI	2,083	12.6	10.5	223	337	61
57	Aidan O'Connell	QB	LV	2,483	12.4	6.8	255	393	72
58	Sean Clifford	QB	CIN	2,059	12.3	9.7	173	281	145
59	Trevor Siemian	QB	ATL	2,523	12.3	11.6	252	435	98
60	Hendon Hooker	QB	TEN	1,920	11.8	9.5	166	280	121
61	Mitchell Trubisky	QB	TEN	1,573	11.3	5.5	144	227	82
62	Shane Buechele	QB	BUF	2,389	11.3	12.6	232	386	147
63	Jalen Milroe	QB	SEA	1,687	11.2	8.7	156	242	128
64	Tyson Bagent	QB	CHI	1,642	11.2	5.6	150	214	143
65	Riley Leonard	QB	IND	2,070	11.1	9.9	198	338	165
66	Tyler Huntley	QB	BAL	1,804	10.8	8.5	201	304	312
67	Brady Cook	QB	NYJ	2,568	10.7	16.4	278	471	201
68	Anthony Richardson	QB	IND	2,143	10.7	9.0	174	317	426
69	Tommy DeVito	QB	NE	1,921	10.6	8.7	211	340	223
70	Gardner Minshew	QB	ARI	2,478	10.5	8.8	240	379	80
71	Kenny Pickett	QB	CAR	2,139	10.5	6.5	193	333	109
72	Jarrett Stidham	QB	DEN	1,373	10.4	3.8	133	179	54
73	Bailey Zappe	QB	NYJ	2,210	10.4	9.9	217	358	106
74	Sam Ehlinger	QB	DEN	1,877	10.1	6.7	208	286	197
75	Josh Johnson	QB	CIN	1,927	9.8	7.7	182	284	156
76	Drew Lock	QB	SEA	1,678	9.6	8.2	173	290	160
77	Zach Wilson	QB	NO	2,087	9.5	8.6	210	365	182
78	Malik Willis	QB	MIA	1,909	9.4	5.9	160	253	376
79	Will Grier	QB	CAR	2,600	9.3	12.6	255	462	241
80	Skylar Thompson	QB	BAL	1,972	9.1	6.7	196	332	137
81	Chris Oladokun	QB	KC	1,923	8.9	8.1	222	346	153
82	Brandon Allen	QB	NYG	1,848	8.7	9.1	191	326	81
83	Max Brosmer	QB	MIN	1,745	8.2	11.3	185	300	113
84	Teddy Bridgewater	QB	DET	1,440	8.0	6.1	162	260	73
85	Nick Mullens	QB	JAX	1,567	7.9	7.2	131	209	58
86	Trey Lance	QB	LAC	1,908	6.8	8.9	173	305	321
87	Kyle Allen	QB	BUF	1,408	6.7	5.9	144	191	21
88	Carson Beck	QB	ARI	898	5.6	3.1	82	137	305
89	Cole Payton	QB	PHI	766	4.6	2.1	72	115	417
90	Drew Allar	QB	PIT	831	4.1	3.7	79	124	338
91	Fernando Mendoza	QB	LV	813	3.8	2.0	82	136	308
92	Athan Kaliakmanis	QB	WAS	722	3.3	2.7	72	121	110
93	Taylen Green	QB	CLE	777	3.2	3.8	73	121	373
94	Cade Klubnik	QB	NYJ	729	3.2	2.7	73	122	134
95	Garrett Nussmeier	QB	KC	772	3.2	3.1	76	126	69
96	Behren Morton	QB	NE	728	3.2	2.6	73	122	132
97	Ty Simpson	QB	LAR	758	2.9	2.7	79	126	217
98	Luke Altmyer	QB	DET	579	2.5	1.9	54	84	90
99	Diego Pavia	QB	BAL	351	2.0	1.4	39	70	183
100	Haynes King	QB	CAR	507	1.7	2.1	51	80	61