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Player Props

2026 · week 15
Our model's chance each player clears a number, if he plays — not a market price, and no claim to beat one. Tested on 1.8M unseen player-games (2018-2025); no band off by more than 5 points. ≈base = barely better than knowing the player's volume.
Week123456789101112131415
Stat
PosTeamSort
36 props
click a column to sort
#PlayerPosTmGameStatProj ↓ChanceBook
1Blake HorvathQBNAVY@ ARMY12/12pass yds≈base167.9
150+
52%
175+
45%
200+
37%
225+
29%
2Blake HorvathQBNAVY@ ARMY12/12rush yds≈base84
70+
27%
80+
22%
90+
17%
100+
13%
3Cale HellumsQBARMYvs NAVY12/12rush yds≈base75.7
70+
27%
80+
22%
90+
17%
100+
13%
4Cale HellumsQBARMYvs NAVY12/12pass yds≈base65.3
60+
53%
70+
50%
80+
48%
90+
45%
5Alex TeczaRBNAVY@ ARMY12/12rush yds≈base59.7
50+
52%
60+
43%
70+
37%
80+
30%
6Brady AndersonWR/TEARMYvs NAVY12/12rec yds≈base46.2
40+
51%
50+
41%
60+
33%
70+
26%
7Brady MottRBARMYvs NAVY12/12rush yds≈base35.7
30+
37%
35+
32%
40+
28%
45+
24%
8Zach OgboguRBARMYvs NAVY12/12rush yds≈base35.4
30+
37%
35+
33%
40+
28%
45+
25%
9Kalei AkagiRBARMYvs NAVY12/12rush yds≈base35.4
30+
37%
35+
33%
40+
28%
45+
25%
10Cody HowardWR/TENAVY@ ARMY12/12rec yds≈base34.5
30+
45%
35+
39%
40+
34%
45+
30%
11Brandon ChatmanWR/TENAVY@ ARMY12/12rec yds≈base29.2
25+
40%
30+
34%
35+
29%
40+
25%
12Joshua GuerinWR/TENAVY@ ARMY12/12rec yds≈base28.8
25+
39%
30+
34%
35+
28%
40+
25%
13Luke HutchisonWR/TENAVY@ ARMY12/12rec yds≈base28.3
25+
38%
30+
33%
35+
28%
40+
24%
14Parker PoloskeyWR/TEARMYvs NAVY12/12rec yds≈base26.2
20+
42%
25+
36%
30+
30%
35+
25%
15Brandon ChatmanWR/TENAVY@ ARMY12/12rec2.3
1+
88%
2+
53%
3+
33%
4+
20%
16Cody HowardWR/TENAVY@ ARMY12/12rec2.1
1+
84%
2+
48%
3+
28%
4+
17%
17Joshua GuerinWR/TENAVY@ ARMY12/12rec2.1
1+
84%
2+
48%
3+
28%
4+
17%
18Brady AndersonWR/TEARMYvs NAVY12/12rec2
1+
84%
2+
46%
3+
26%
4+
15%
19Luke HutchisonWR/TENAVY@ ARMY12/12rec2
1+
84%
2+
47%
3+
26%
4+
15%
20Parker PoloskeyWR/TEARMYvs NAVY12/12rec1.7
1+
75%
2+
40%
3+
22%
4+
12%
21Blake HorvathQBNAVY@ ARMY12/12pass TD1.2
1+
57%
2+
32%
··
22Alex TeczaRBNAVY@ ARMY12/12rec1.2
1+
62%
2+
34%
3+
18%
·
23Alex TeczaRBNAVY@ ARMY12/12rush TD0.7
1+
50%
2+
19%
··
24Cale HellumsQBARMYvs NAVY12/12pass TD0.5
1+
39%
2+
18%
··
25Brady AndersonWR/TEARMYvs NAVY12/12rec TD≈base0.3
1+
28%
···
26Parker PoloskeyWR/TEARMYvs NAVY12/12rec TD≈base0.3
1+
23%
···
27Brady MottRBARMYvs NAVY12/12rec0.3
1+
28%
2+
11%
··
28Zach OgboguRBARMYvs NAVY12/12rec0.3
1+
28%
2+
11%
··
29Kalei AkagiRBARMYvs NAVY12/12rec0.3
1+
28%
2+
11%
··
30Luke HutchisonWR/TENAVY@ ARMY12/12rec TD≈base0.3
1+
24%
···
31Brady MottRBARMYvs NAVY12/12rush TD0.2
1+
20%
···
32Zach OgboguRBARMYvs NAVY12/12rush TD0.2
1+
19%
···
33Kalei AkagiRBARMYvs NAVY12/12rush TD0.2
1+
19%
···
34Cody HowardWR/TENAVY@ ARMY12/12rec TD≈base0.2
1+
20%
···
35Brandon ChatmanWR/TENAVY@ ARMY12/12rec TD≈base0.2
1+
17%
···
36Joshua GuerinWR/TENAVY@ ARMY12/12rec TD≈base0.2
1+
17%
···
Informational only — our own model's probabilities, not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.