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Player Props

2026 · week 10
Our model's chance each player clears a number, if he plays — not a market price, and no claim to beat one. Tested on 1.8M unseen player-games (2018-2025); no band off by more than 5 points. ≈base = barely better than knowing the player's volume.
Week123456789101112131415
Stat
PosTeamSort
2,246 props
showing 100 · click a column to sort
#PlayerPosTmGameStatProj ↓ChanceBook
1Joey AguilarQBTENNvs UK11/7pass yds≈base271.9
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
325+
22%
2Josh HooverQBTCU@ ARIZ11/7pass yds≈base270.1
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
325+
22%
3Jalen KitnaQBUABvs CLT11/7pass yds≈base250
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
4Trinidad ChamblissQBMISSvs UGA11/7pass yds≈base249.9
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
5Julian SayinQBOSUvs ORE11/7pass yds≈base249.7
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
6Caden VeltkampQBFAUvs UTSA11/6pass yds≈base248.5
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
7Drew MestemakerQBUNTvs RICE11/7pass yds≈base243.9
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
8Kevin JenningsQBSMUvs VT11/7pass yds≈base239.5
225+
59%
250+
49%
275+
38%
300+
29%
9Micah AlejadoQBHAW@ UTEP11/7pass yds≈base235.1
200+
66%
225+
57%
250+
47%
275+
37%
10Darian MensahQBDUKE@ NCSU11/7pass yds≈base233.2
200+
65%
225+
56%
250+
46%
275+
36%
11Brad JacksonQBTXST@ ORST11/8pass yds≈base232
200+
65%
225+
56%
250+
46%
275+
36%
12Malik WashingtonQBMD@ PUR11/7pass yds≈base231.7
200+
65%
225+
55%
250+
46%
275+
36%
13Owen McCownQBUTSA@ FAU11/6pass yds≈base231.5
200+
65%
225+
55%
250+
46%
275+
36%
14Marcel ReedQBTA&M@ SC11/7pass yds≈base226.2
200+
63%
225+
53%
250+
43%
275+
34%
15CJ CarrQBNDvs MIA11/8pass yds≈base223.7
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
16Jaylen RaynorQBARSTvs ULM11/7pass yds≈base223.6
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
17Brendan SorsbyQBCIN@ HOU11/7pass yds≈base223.5
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
18Noah FifitaQBARIZvs TCU11/7pass yds≈base222.8
200+
61%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
19Nick MinicucciQBDEL@ KENN11/7pass yds≈base222.7
200+
61%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
20John MateerQBOU@ FLA11/7pass yds≈base221.7
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
33%
21CJ BaileyQBNCSUvs DUKE11/7pass yds≈base221.5
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
22Bear BachmeierQBBYU@ UTAH11/7pass yds≈base221.1
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
23Arch ManningQBTEX@ MIZ11/7pass yds≈base220.2
200+
60%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
24Dante MooreQBORE@ OSU11/7pass yds≈base219.2
200+
60%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
32%
25Anthony ColandreaQBUNLVvs WYO11/8pass yds≈base219.1
200+
60%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
32%
26Jake RetzlaffQBTULNvs TLSA11/7pass yds≈base217.6
200+
59%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
31%
27Steve AngeliQBSYRvs CLEM11/7pass yds≈base212.1
175+
66%
200+
57%
225+
48%
250+
38%
28Bryce UnderwoodQBMICHvs MSU11/7pass yds≈base210.5
175+
66%
200+
57%
225+
47%
250+
37%
29Maddux MadsenQBBOIS@ CSU11/7pass yds≈base208.1
175+
65%
200+
56%
225+
46%
250+
36%
30Devon DampierQBUTAHvs BYU11/7pass yds≈base207.3
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
46%
250+
36%
31Dylan RaiolaQBNEB@ ILL11/7pass yds≈base206.6
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
45%
250+
35%
32Sam LeavittQBASUvs COLO11/7pass yds≈base206.4
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
45%
250+
35%
33Maalik MurphyQBORSTvs TXST11/8pass yds≈base205.3
175+
63%
200+
54%
225+
45%
250+
35%
34Gunner StocktonQBUGA@ MISS11/7pass yds≈base205.1
175+
63%
200+
54%
225+
45%
250+
35%
35Colton JosephQBODU@ CCU11/7pass yds≈base203.5
175+
63%
200+
53%
225+
44%
250+
34%
36Conner WeigmanQBHOUvs CIN11/7pass yds≈base203.1
175+
63%
200+
53%
225+
44%
250+
34%
37Jack LayneQBUNM@ NEV11/7pass yds≈base202.4
175+
62%
200+
53%
225+
43%
250+
34%
38Rocco BechtQBISU@ BAY11/7pass yds≈base202.2
175+
62%
200+
53%
225+
43%
250+
34%
39Demond Williams Jr.QBWASHvs PSU11/7pass yds≈base201.4
175+
62%
200+
52%
225+
43%
250+
34%
40Brayden Fowler-NicolosiQBCSUvs BOIS11/7pass yds≈base198.8
175+
61%
200+
51%
225+
42%
250+
33%
41Drake LindseyQBMINNvs UCLA11/7pass yds≈base198.2
175+
61%
200+
51%
225+
42%
250+
32%
42Baylor HayesQBTLSA@ TULN11/7pass yds≈base198
175+
60%
200+
51%
225+
42%
250+
32%
43LaNorris SellersQBSCvs TA&M11/7pass yds≈base197.1
175+
60%
200+
50%
225+
41%
250+
32%
44Avery JohnsonQBKSUvs OKST11/7pass yds≈base196.9
175+
60%
200+
50%
225+
41%
250+
32%
45Nico IamaleavaQBUCLA@ MINN11/7pass yds≈base195.1
175+
59%
200+
50%
225+
40%
250+
31%
46Aidan ChilesQBMSU@ MICH11/7pass yds≈base193.6
175+
59%
200+
49%
225+
40%
250+
31%
47Dylan LonerganQBBCvs FSU11/7pass yds≈base193.3
175+
58%
200+
49%
225+
40%
250+
31%
48JC French IVQBGASOvs MRSH11/7pass yds≈base191.1
175+
57%
200+
48%
225+
39%
250+
30%
49Ethan VaskoQBLIB@ NMSU11/7pass yds≈base190.7
175+
57%
200+
47%
225+
39%
250+
30%
50Alonza Barnett IIIQBJMU@ USM11/6pass yds≈base190.1
175+
57%
200+
47%
225+
38%
250+
30%
51DJ LagwayQBFLAvs OU11/7pass yds≈base188.6
175+
56%
200+
47%
225+
38%
250+
29%
52JJ KohlQBAPPvs GAST11/7pass yds≈base187.5
150+
64%
175+
56%
200+
46%
225+
37%
53Amari OdomQBKENNvs DEL11/7pass yds≈base184.3
150+
62%
175+
54%
200+
45%
225+
36%
54Rodney Tisdale Jr.QBWKU@ MTSU11/7pass yds≈base183.8
150+
62%
175+
54%
200+
44%
225+
36%
55Keyone JenkinsQBFIUvs MOST11/7pass yds≈base182.7
150+
61%
175+
53%
200+
44%
225+
36%
56Carlos Del Rio-WilsonQBMRSH@ GASO11/7pass yds≈base180.1
150+
60%
175+
52%
200+
43%
225+
35%
57Tayven JacksonQBUCF@ KU11/7pass yds≈base179.3
150+
59%
175+
52%
200+
42%
225+
34%
58Cutter BoleyQBUK@ TENN11/7pass yds≈base176.8
150+
58%
175+
50%
200+
41%
225+
33%
59Blake BakerQBLT@ TROY11/7pass yds≈base172
150+
55%
175+
48%
200+
39%
225+
31%
60Gio LopezQBUNC@ CONN11/7pass yds≈base172
150+
55%
175+
48%
200+
39%
225+
31%
61Zane FloresQBOKST@ KSU11/7pass yds≈base171.6
150+
55%
175+
47%
200+
39%
225+
31%
62Keelon RussellQBALA@ LSU11/7pass yds≈base170.3
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
38%
225+
30%
63Goose CrowderQBTROYvs LT11/7pass yds≈base170.3
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
38%
225+
30%
64Luke McNultyQBCLT@ UAB11/7pass yds≈base169.6
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
37%
225+
30%
65Blake HorvathQBNAVYvs TEM11/7pass yds≈base167.9
150+
52%
175+
45%
200+
37%
225+
29%
66Julian LewisQBCOLO@ ASU11/7pass yds≈base167.5
150+
52%
175+
45%
200+
36%
225+
29%
67Jackson ProctorQBNIU@ SJSU11/7pass yds≈base165.9
150+
51%
175+
44%
200+
35%
225+
28%
68Liam SzarkaQBAF@ ARMY11/8pass yds≈base165.2
150+
51%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
28%
69Jackson ArnoldQBAUBvs ARK11/7pass yds≈base165.1
150+
50%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
28%
70Beau PribulaQBMIZvs TEX11/7pass yds≈base164.3
150+
50%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
27%
71Roman GaglianoQBMTSUvs WKU11/7pass yds≈base163.6
150+
49%
175+
42%
200+
34%
225+
27%
72Michael Van Buren Jr.QBLSUvs ALA11/7pass yds≈base161.4
125+
56%
150+
48%
175+
41%
200+
33%
73Bishop DavenportQBUSA@ UL11/7pass yds≈base160.2
125+
55%
150+
47%
175+
40%
200+
32%
74Carson ConklinQBFRES@ USU11/8pass yds≈base159.9
125+
55%
150+
47%
175+
40%
200+
32%
75Ryan BrowneQBPURvs MD11/7pass yds≈base157.4
125+
53%
150+
45%
175+
38%
200+
31%
76Aidan LefflerQBBALL@ MASS11/4pass yds≈base155.4
125+
51%
150+
44%
175+
37%
200+
30%
77Scotty Fox Jr.QBWVU@ TTU11/7pass yds≈base155.3
125+
51%
150+
44%
175+
37%
200+
30%
78Kaden MartiranoQBNEVvs UNM11/7pass yds≈base153.7
125+
50%
150+
43%
175+
36%
200+
29%
79Thomas GotkowskiQBM-OHvs BUF11/4pass yds≈base149.8
140+
43%
150+
40%
160+
38%
170+
35%
80Skyler LocklearQBUTEPvs HAW11/7pass yds≈base148.9
140+
42%
150+
39%
160+
37%
170+
34%
81KJ JacksonQBARK@ AUB11/7pass yds≈base147.6
140+
41%
150+
39%
160+
36%
170+
34%
82Aidan ArmentaQBULM@ ARST11/7pass yds≈base146.3
140+
40%
150+
38%
160+
35%
170+
33%
83Parker AwadQBNMSUvs LIB11/7pass yds≈base143.7
130+
40%
140+
38%
150+
36%
160+
34%
84Bekkem KritzaQBPSU@ WASH11/7pass yds≈base143.2
130+
40%
140+
38%
150+
36%
160+
33%
85Danny O'NeilQBWISvs RUTG11/7pass yds≈base142.8
130+
40%
140+
38%
150+
36%
160+
33%
86Deyon BatisteQBWYO@ UNLV11/8pass yds≈base141.6
130+
39%
140+
37%
150+
35%
160+
32%
87AJ SuraceQBRUTG@ WIS11/7pass yds≈base139.7
130+
38%
140+
36%
150+
34%
160+
31%
88Cardell WilliamsQBSACvs TOL11/4pass yds≈base139.5
130+
38%
140+
36%
150+
34%
160+
31%
89Cameran BrownQBGAST@ APP11/7pass yds≈base138.4
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
90Lunch WinfieldQBULvs USA11/7pass yds≈base137.3
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
91Deuce BaileyQBMOST@ FIU11/7pass yds≈base137.1
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
92Brian PlummerQBBUF@ M-OH11/4pass yds≈base136.8
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
93Nick DemchukQBAKRvs OHIO11/4pass yds≈base136.5
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
94Trent PearmanQBCLEM@ SYR11/7pass yds≈base135.6
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
95Will HammondQBTTUvs WVU11/7pass yds≈base134.1
120+
39%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
96Hunter WatsonQBSHSU@ JXST11/8pass yds≈base132.9
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
97Brady AllenQBLOU@ GT11/7pass yds≈base132.5
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
98Jaylen KingQBFSU@ BC11/7pass yds≈base132.2
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
99John WhiteQBUSMvs JMU11/6pass yds≈base130.8
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
100Blaze BerlowitzQBVAN@ MSST11/7pass yds≈base129.2
120+
37%
130+
35%
140+
33%
150+
31%
100 of 2,246
Informational only — our own model's probabilities, not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.