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Player Props

2026 · week 7
Our model's chance each player clears a number, if he plays — not a market price, and no claim to beat one. Tested on 1.8M unseen player-games (2018-2025); no band off by more than 5 points. ≈base = barely better than knowing the player's volume.
Week123456789101112131415
Stat
PosTeamSort
2,174 props
showing 100 · click a column to sort
#PlayerPosTmGameStatProj ↓ChanceBook
1Joey AguilarQBTENNvs ALA10/17pass yds≈base271.9
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
325+
22%
2Josh HooverQBTCU@ BAY10/17pass yds≈base270.1
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
325+
22%
3Jalen KitnaQBUABvs ECU10/15pass yds≈base250
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
4Trinidad ChamblissQBMISSvs MIZ10/17pass yds≈base249.9
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
5Julian SayinQBOSU@ IU10/17pass yds≈base249.7
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
6Caden VeltkampQBFAU@ ARMY10/17pass yds≈base248.5
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
7Kevin JenningsQBSMUvs UVA10/17pass yds≈base239.5
225+
59%
250+
49%
275+
38%
300+
29%
8Jaron-Keawe SagapoluteleQBCALvs WAKE10/17pass yds≈base235.5
200+
66%
225+
57%
250+
47%
275+
37%
9Micah AlejadoQBHAWvs UNM10/17pass yds≈base235.1
200+
66%
225+
57%
250+
47%
275+
37%
10Darian MensahQBDUKEvs UNC10/17pass yds≈base233.2
200+
65%
225+
56%
250+
46%
275+
36%
11Brad JacksonQBTXSTvs CSU10/16pass yds≈base232
200+
65%
225+
56%
250+
46%
275+
36%
12Malik WashingtonQBMDvs RUTG10/17pass yds≈base231.7
200+
65%
225+
55%
250+
46%
275+
36%
13Owen McCownQBUTSAvs NAVY10/17pass yds≈base231.5
200+
65%
225+
55%
250+
46%
275+
36%
14Marcel ReedQBTA&Mvs CIT10/17pass yds≈base226.2
200+
63%
225+
53%
250+
43%
275+
34%
15CJ CarrQBND@ BYU10/17pass yds≈base223.7
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
16Jaylen RaynorQBARST@ USM10/17pass yds≈base223.6
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
17Brendan SorsbyQBCIN@ WVU10/17pass yds≈base223.5
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
18Nick MinicucciQBDEL@ MTSU10/13pass yds≈base222.7
200+
61%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
19John MateerQBOUvs UK10/17pass yds≈base221.7
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
33%
20Bear BachmeierQBBYUvs ND10/17pass yds≈base221.1
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
21Arch ManningQBTEXvs FLA10/17pass yds≈base220.2
200+
60%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
22Dante MooreQBOREvs NEB10/17pass yds≈base219.2
200+
60%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
32%
23Anthony ColandreaQBUNLV@ AF10/17pass yds≈base219.1
200+
60%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
32%
24Jake RetzlaffQBTULNvs MEM10/16pass yds≈base217.6
200+
59%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
31%
25Steve AngeliQBSYRvs LOU10/17pass yds≈base212.1
175+
66%
200+
57%
225+
48%
250+
38%
26Bryce UnderwoodQBMICHvs PSU10/17pass yds≈base210.5
175+
66%
200+
57%
225+
47%
250+
37%
27Devon DampierQBUTAH@ COLO10/17pass yds≈base207.3
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
46%
250+
36%
28Dylan RaiolaQBNEB@ ORE10/17pass yds≈base206.6
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
45%
250+
35%
29Sam LeavittQBASU@ TTU10/17pass yds≈base206.4
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
45%
250+
35%
30Maalik MurphyQBORSTvs WSU10/17pass yds≈base205.3
175+
63%
200+
54%
225+
45%
250+
35%
31Gunner StocktonQBUGAvs AUB10/17pass yds≈base205.1
175+
63%
200+
54%
225+
45%
250+
35%
32Colton JosephQBODUvs GASO10/15pass yds≈base203.5
175+
63%
200+
53%
225+
44%
250+
34%
33Conner WeigmanQBHOUvs OKST10/17pass yds≈base203.1
175+
63%
200+
53%
225+
44%
250+
34%
34Jack LayneQBUNM@ HAW10/17pass yds≈base202.4
175+
62%
200+
53%
225+
43%
250+
34%
35Demond Williams Jr.QBWASH@ PUR10/17pass yds≈base201.4
175+
62%
200+
52%
225+
43%
250+
34%
36Brayden Fowler-NicolosiQBCSU@ TXST10/16pass yds≈base198.8
175+
61%
200+
51%
225+
42%
250+
33%
37Baylor HayesQBTLSA@ RICE10/17pass yds≈base198
175+
60%
200+
51%
225+
42%
250+
32%
38Avery JohnsonQBKSUvs KU10/17pass yds≈base196.9
175+
60%
200+
50%
225+
41%
250+
32%
39Nico IamaleavaQBUCLAvs WIS10/17pass yds≈base195.1
175+
59%
200+
50%
225+
40%
250+
31%
40Aidan ChilesQBMSUvs NU10/17pass yds≈base193.6
175+
59%
200+
49%
225+
40%
250+
31%
41Dylan LonerganQBBCvs PITT10/17pass yds≈base193.3
175+
58%
200+
49%
225+
40%
250+
31%
42Eli HolsteinQBPITT@ BC10/17pass yds≈base192.4
175+
58%
200+
48%
225+
39%
250+
30%
43JC French IVQBGASO@ ODU10/15pass yds≈base191.1
175+
57%
200+
48%
225+
39%
250+
30%
44Alonza Barnett IIIQBJMUvs GAST10/17pass yds≈base190.1
175+
57%
200+
47%
225+
38%
250+
30%
45DJ LagwayQBFLA@ TEX10/17pass yds≈base188.6
175+
56%
200+
47%
225+
38%
250+
29%
46Jaxon PotterQBWSU@ ORST10/17pass yds≈base187.9
175+
56%
200+
46%
225+
38%
250+
29%
47JJ KohlQBAPP@ CCU10/17pass yds≈base187.5
150+
64%
175+
56%
200+
46%
225+
37%
48Amari OdomQBKENN@ MOST10/14pass yds≈base184.3
150+
62%
175+
54%
200+
45%
225+
36%
49Rodney Tisdale Jr.QBWKU@ SHSU10/15pass yds≈base183.8
150+
62%
175+
54%
200+
44%
225+
36%
50Keyone JenkinsQBFIU@ JXST10/14pass yds≈base182.7
150+
61%
175+
53%
200+
44%
225+
36%
51Dru DeShieldsQBKENT@ USF10/17pass yds≈base179.6
150+
60%
175+
52%
200+
43%
225+
34%
52Cutter BoleyQBUK@ OU10/17pass yds≈base176.8
150+
58%
175+
50%
200+
41%
225+
33%
53Gio LopezQBUNC@ DUKE10/17pass yds≈base172
150+
55%
175+
48%
200+
39%
225+
31%
54Blake BakerQBLT@ ULM10/17pass yds≈base172
150+
55%
175+
48%
200+
39%
225+
31%
55Zane FloresQBOKST@ HOU10/17pass yds≈base171.6
150+
55%
175+
47%
200+
39%
225+
31%
56Keelon RussellQBALA@ TENN10/17pass yds≈base170.3
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
38%
225+
30%
57Goose CrowderQBTROY@ UL10/17pass yds≈base170.3
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
38%
225+
30%
58Luke McNultyQBCLT@ TEM10/17pass yds≈base169.6
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
37%
225+
30%
59Blake HorvathQBNAVY@ UTSA10/17pass yds≈base167.9
150+
52%
175+
45%
200+
37%
225+
29%
60Julian LewisQBCOLOvs UTAH10/17pass yds≈base167.5
150+
52%
175+
45%
200+
36%
225+
29%
61Jackson ProctorQBNIU@ WYO10/17pass yds≈base165.9
150+
51%
175+
44%
200+
35%
225+
28%
62Liam SzarkaQBAFvs UNLV10/17pass yds≈base165.2
150+
51%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
28%
63Jackson ArnoldQBAUB@ UGA10/17pass yds≈base165.1
150+
50%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
28%
64Beau PribulaQBMIZ@ MISS10/17pass yds≈base164.3
150+
50%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
27%
65Roman GaglianoQBMTSUvs DEL10/13pass yds≈base163.6
150+
49%
175+
42%
200+
34%
225+
27%
66Jayden DenegalQBSDSUvs FRES10/18pass yds≈base162
125+
56%
150+
48%
175+
41%
200+
33%
67Michael Van Buren Jr.QBLSUvs MSST10/17pass yds≈base161.4
125+
56%
150+
48%
175+
41%
200+
33%
68Carson ConklinQBFRES@ SDSU10/18pass yds≈base159.9
125+
55%
150+
47%
175+
40%
200+
32%
69Ryan BrowneQBPURvs WASH10/17pass yds≈base157.4
125+
53%
150+
45%
175+
38%
200+
31%
70Aidan LefflerQBBALL@ BGSU10/17pass yds≈base155.4
125+
51%
150+
44%
175+
37%
200+
30%
71Scotty Fox Jr.QBWVUvs CIN10/17pass yds≈base155.3
125+
51%
150+
44%
175+
37%
200+
30%
72Kaden MartiranoQBNEV@ NDSU10/17pass yds≈base153.7
125+
50%
150+
43%
175+
36%
200+
29%
73Baron MayQBBGSUvs BALL10/17pass yds≈base151.6
125+
48%
150+
41%
175+
34%
200+
28%
74Thomas GotkowskiQBM-OHvs AKR10/17pass yds≈base149.8
140+
43%
150+
40%
160+
38%
170+
35%
75Skyler LocklearQBUTEPvs SJSU10/17pass yds≈base148.9
140+
42%
150+
39%
160+
37%
170+
34%
76KJ JacksonQBARK@ VAN10/17pass yds≈base147.6
140+
41%
150+
39%
160+
36%
170+
34%
77Aidan ArmentaQBULMvs LT10/17pass yds≈base146.3
140+
40%
150+
38%
160+
35%
170+
33%
78Bekkem KritzaQBPSU@ MICH10/17pass yds≈base143.2
130+
40%
140+
38%
150+
36%
160+
33%
79Danny O'NeilQBWIS@ UCLA10/17pass yds≈base142.8
130+
40%
140+
38%
150+
36%
160+
33%
80Deyon BatisteQBWYOvs NIU10/17pass yds≈base141.6
130+
39%
140+
37%
150+
35%
160+
32%
81AJ SuraceQBRUTG@ MD10/17pass yds≈base139.7
130+
38%
140+
36%
150+
34%
160+
31%
82Cardell WilliamsQBSACvs OHIO10/17pass yds≈base139.5
130+
38%
140+
36%
150+
34%
160+
31%
83Cameran BrownQBGAST@ JMU10/17pass yds≈base138.4
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
84Lunch WinfieldQBULvs TROY10/17pass yds≈base137.3
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
85Deuce BaileyQBMOSTvs KENN10/14pass yds≈base137.1
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
86Brian PlummerQBBUFvs MASS10/17pass yds≈base136.8
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
87Nick DemchukQBAKR@ M-OH10/17pass yds≈base136.5
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
88Trent PearmanQBCLEMvs CHSO10/17pass yds≈base135.6
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
89Will HammondQBTTUvs ASU10/17pass yds≈base134.1
120+
39%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
90Hunter WatsonQBSHSUvs WKU10/15pass yds≈base132.9
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
91Brady AllenQBLOU@ SYR10/17pass yds≈base132.5
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
92Jaylen KingQBFSU@ MIA10/17pass yds≈base132.2
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
93Trey DrakeQBNDSUvs NEV10/17pass yds≈base130.9
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
94John WhiteQBUSMvs ARST10/17pass yds≈base130.8
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
95Blaze BerlowitzQBVANvs ARK10/17pass yds≈base129.2
120+
37%
130+
35%
140+
33%
150+
31%
96John David BlackQBECU@ UAB10/15pass yds≈base128.2
120+
37%
130+
35%
140+
33%
150+
31%
97Jace StuckeyQBEMUvs TOL10/17pass yds≈base127.7
120+
37%
130+
35%
140+
33%
150+
31%
98Aaron PhiloQBGT@ VT10/17pass yds≈base127.1
120+
37%
130+
35%
140+
33%
150+
31%
99Broc LowryQBWMU@ CMU10/17pass yds≈base127
120+
37%
130+
35%
140+
33%
150+
31%
100Caden CreelQBJXSTvs FIU10/14pass yds≈base124.9
110+
39%
120+
37%
130+
35%
140+
33%
100 of 2,174
Informational only — our own model's probabilities, not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.