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Player Props

2026 · week 2
Our model's chance each player clears a number, if he plays — not a market price, and no claim to beat one. Tested on 1.8M unseen player-games (2018-2025); no band off by more than 5 points. ≈base = barely better than knowing the player's volume.
Week123456789101112131415
Stat
PosTeamSort
2,425 props
showing 100 · click a column to sort
#PlayerPosTmGameStatProj ↓ChanceBook
1Joey AguilarQBTENN@ GT9/12pass yds≈base271.9
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
325+
22%
2Josh HooverQBTCUvs GRAM9/13pass yds≈base270.1
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
325+
22%
3Jayden MaiavaQBUSCvs UL9/13pass yds≈base250.7
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
4Jalen KitnaQBUABvs ULM9/12pass yds≈base250
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
5Trinidad ChamblissQBMISSvs CLT9/12pass yds≈base249.9
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
6Julian SayinQBOSU@ TEX9/12pass yds≈base249.7
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
7Caden VeltkampQBFAUvs NAVY9/12pass yds≈base248.5
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
8Drew MestemakerQBUNTvs UNLV9/12pass yds≈base243.9
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
9Kevin JenningsQBSMUvs UCD9/12pass yds≈base239.5
225+
59%
250+
49%
275+
38%
300+
29%
10Jaron-Keawe SagapoluteleQBCAL@ SYR9/12pass yds≈base235.5
200+
66%
225+
57%
250+
47%
275+
37%
11Micah AlejadoQBHAWvs NMSU9/12pass yds≈base235.1
200+
66%
225+
57%
250+
47%
275+
37%
12Darian MensahQBDUKE@ ILL9/12pass yds≈base233.2
200+
65%
225+
56%
250+
46%
275+
36%
13Brad JacksonQBTXSTvs UTSA9/12pass yds≈base232
200+
65%
225+
56%
250+
46%
275+
36%
14Malik WashingtonQBMD@ CONN9/12pass yds≈base231.7
200+
65%
225+
55%
250+
46%
275+
36%
15Owen McCownQBUTSA@ TXST9/12pass yds≈base231.5
200+
65%
225+
55%
250+
46%
275+
36%
16Marcel ReedQBTA&Mvs ASU9/12pass yds≈base226.2
200+
63%
225+
53%
250+
43%
275+
34%
17CJ CarrQBNDvs RICE9/12pass yds≈base223.7
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
18Jaylen RaynorQBARSTvs WGA9/12pass yds≈base223.6
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
19Brendan SorsbyQBCINvs WCU9/12pass yds≈base223.5
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
20Noah FifitaQBARIZ@ BYU9/12pass yds≈base222.8
200+
61%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
21Nick MinicucciQBDEL@ VAN9/12pass yds≈base222.7
200+
61%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
22John MateerQBOU@ MICH9/12pass yds≈base221.7
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
33%
23CJ BaileyQBNCSUvs RICH9/11pass yds≈base221.5
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
24Bear BachmeierQBBYUvs ARIZ9/12pass yds≈base221.1
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
25Arch ManningQBTEXvs OSU9/12pass yds≈base220.2
200+
60%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
26Dante MooreQBORE@ OKST9/12pass yds≈base219.2
200+
60%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
32%
27Anthony ColandreaQBUNLV@ UNT9/12pass yds≈base219.1
200+
60%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
32%
28Jake RetzlaffQBTULNvs USA9/12pass yds≈base217.6
200+
59%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
31%
29Steve AngeliQBSYRvs CAL9/12pass yds≈base212.1
175+
66%
200+
57%
225+
48%
250+
38%
30Bryce UnderwoodQBMICHvs OU9/12pass yds≈base210.5
175+
66%
200+
57%
225+
47%
250+
37%
31Maddux MadsenQBBOISvs MEM9/12pass yds≈base208.1
175+
65%
200+
56%
225+
46%
250+
36%
32Devon DampierQBUTAHvs ARK9/13pass yds≈base207.3
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
46%
250+
36%
33Dylan RaiolaQBNEBvs BGSU9/12pass yds≈base206.6
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
45%
250+
35%
34Sam LeavittQBASU@ TA&M9/12pass yds≈base206.4
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
45%
250+
35%
35Maalik MurphyQBORSTvs TTU9/12pass yds≈base205.3
175+
63%
200+
54%
225+
45%
250+
35%
36Gunner StocktonQBUGAvs WKU9/12pass yds≈base205.1
175+
63%
200+
54%
225+
45%
250+
35%
37Colton JosephQBODU@ VT9/12pass yds≈base203.5
175+
63%
200+
53%
225+
44%
250+
34%
38Conner WeigmanQBHOUvs SOU9/12pass yds≈base203.1
175+
63%
200+
53%
225+
44%
250+
34%
39Jack LayneQBUNMvs MERC9/12pass yds≈base202.4
175+
62%
200+
53%
225+
43%
250+
34%
40Rocco BechtQBISU@ IOWA9/12pass yds≈base202.2
175+
62%
200+
53%
225+
43%
250+
34%
41Demond Williams Jr.QBWASHvs USU9/12pass yds≈base201.4
175+
62%
200+
52%
225+
43%
250+
34%
42Brayden Fowler-NicolosiQBCSUvs SUU9/12pass yds≈base198.8
175+
61%
200+
51%
225+
42%
250+
33%
43Drake LindseyQBMINNvs MSST9/12pass yds≈base198.2
175+
61%
200+
51%
225+
42%
250+
32%
44Baylor HayesQBTLSA@ SHSU9/12pass yds≈base198
175+
60%
200+
51%
225+
42%
250+
32%
45LaNorris SellersQBSCvs TOW9/12pass yds≈base197.1
175+
60%
200+
50%
225+
41%
250+
32%
46Avery JohnsonQBKSUvs WSU9/12pass yds≈base196.9
175+
60%
200+
50%
225+
41%
250+
32%
47Nico IamaleavaQBUCLAvs SDSU9/12pass yds≈base195.1
175+
59%
200+
50%
225+
40%
250+
31%
48Aidan ChilesQBMSUvs EMU9/12pass yds≈base193.6
175+
59%
200+
49%
225+
40%
250+
31%
49Dylan LonerganQBBCvs RUTG9/11pass yds≈base193.3
175+
58%
200+
49%
225+
40%
250+
31%
50Eli HolsteinQBPITTvs UCF9/12pass yds≈base192.4
175+
58%
200+
48%
225+
39%
250+
30%
51JC French IVQBGASO@ CLEM9/12pass yds≈base191.1
175+
57%
200+
48%
225+
39%
250+
30%
52Ethan VaskoQBLIBvs GWEB9/12pass yds≈base190.7
175+
57%
200+
47%
225+
39%
250+
30%
53Alonza Barnett IIIQBJMUvs WAG9/12pass yds≈base190.1
175+
57%
200+
47%
225+
38%
250+
30%
54DJ LagwayQBFLAvs CAM9/12pass yds≈base188.6
175+
56%
200+
47%
225+
38%
250+
29%
55Jaxon PotterQBWSU@ KSU9/12pass yds≈base187.9
175+
56%
200+
46%
225+
38%
250+
29%
56JJ KohlQBAPP@ ECU9/12pass yds≈base187.5
150+
64%
175+
56%
200+
46%
225+
37%
57Amari OdomQBKENNvs GAST9/12pass yds≈base184.3
150+
62%
175+
54%
200+
45%
225+
36%
58Rodney Tisdale Jr.QBWKU@ UGA9/12pass yds≈base183.8
150+
62%
175+
54%
200+
44%
225+
36%
59Keyone JenkinsQBFIUvs BUF9/12pass yds≈base182.7
150+
61%
175+
53%
200+
44%
225+
36%
60Carlos Del Rio-WilsonQBMRSHvs MTSU9/12pass yds≈base180.1
150+
60%
175+
52%
200+
43%
225+
35%
61Dru DeShieldsQBKENTvs WOF9/12pass yds≈base179.6
150+
60%
175+
52%
200+
43%
225+
34%
62Tayven JacksonQBUCF@ PITT9/12pass yds≈base179.3
150+
59%
175+
52%
200+
42%
225+
34%
63Cutter BoleyQBUKvs ALA9/12pass yds≈base176.8
150+
58%
175+
50%
200+
41%
225+
33%
64Gio LopezQBUNCvs ETSU9/12pass yds≈base172
150+
55%
175+
48%
200+
39%
225+
31%
65Blake BakerQBLT@ LSU9/12pass yds≈base172
150+
55%
175+
48%
200+
39%
225+
31%
66Zane FloresQBOKSTvs ORE9/12pass yds≈base171.6
150+
55%
175+
47%
200+
39%
225+
31%
67Keelon RussellQBALA@ UK9/12pass yds≈base170.3
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
38%
225+
30%
68Goose CrowderQBTROYvs ALST9/12pass yds≈base170.3
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
38%
225+
30%
69Luke McNultyQBCLT@ MISS9/12pass yds≈base169.6
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
37%
225+
30%
70Blake HorvathQBNAVY@ FAU9/12pass yds≈base167.9
150+
52%
175+
45%
200+
37%
225+
29%
71Julian LewisQBCOLOvs WEB9/12pass yds≈base167.5
150+
52%
175+
45%
200+
36%
225+
29%
72Jackson ProctorQBNIUvs ILST9/12pass yds≈base165.9
150+
51%
175+
44%
200+
35%
225+
28%
73Liam SzarkaQBAFvs NDSU9/13pass yds≈base165.2
150+
51%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
28%
74Jackson ArnoldQBAUBvs USM9/12pass yds≈base165.1
150+
50%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
28%
75Beau PribulaQBMIZ@ KU9/12pass yds≈base164.3
150+
50%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
27%
76Roman GaglianoQBMTSU@ MRSH9/12pass yds≈base163.6
150+
49%
175+
42%
200+
34%
225+
27%
77Jayden DenegalQBSDSU@ UCLA9/12pass yds≈base162
125+
56%
150+
48%
175+
41%
200+
33%
78Michael Van Buren Jr.QBLSUvs LT9/12pass yds≈base161.4
125+
56%
150+
48%
175+
41%
200+
33%
79Bishop DavenportQBUSA@ TULN9/12pass yds≈base160.2
125+
55%
150+
47%
175+
40%
200+
32%
80Carson ConklinQBFRESvs SAC9/13pass yds≈base159.9
125+
55%
150+
47%
175+
40%
200+
32%
81Ryan BrowneQBPURvs WAKE9/12pass yds≈base157.4
125+
53%
150+
45%
175+
38%
200+
31%
82Aidan LefflerQBBALLvs STBK9/12pass yds≈base155.4
125+
51%
150+
44%
175+
37%
200+
30%
83Scotty Fox Jr.QBWVUvs UTM9/12pass yds≈base155.3
125+
51%
150+
44%
175+
37%
200+
30%
84Kaden MartiranoQBNEVvs MTST9/13pass yds≈base153.7
125+
50%
150+
43%
175+
36%
200+
29%
85Baron MayQBBGSU@ NEB9/12pass yds≈base151.6
125+
48%
150+
41%
175+
34%
200+
28%
86Thomas GotkowskiQBM-OHvs HC9/12pass yds≈base149.8
140+
43%
150+
40%
160+
38%
170+
35%
87Skyler LocklearQBUTEPvs TXSO9/13pass yds≈base148.9
140+
42%
150+
39%
160+
37%
170+
34%
88KJ JacksonQBARK@ UTAH9/13pass yds≈base147.6
140+
41%
150+
39%
160+
36%
170+
34%
89Aidan ArmentaQBULM@ UAB9/12pass yds≈base146.3
140+
40%
150+
38%
160+
35%
170+
33%
90Parker AwadQBNMSU@ HAW9/12pass yds≈base143.7
130+
40%
140+
38%
150+
36%
160+
34%
91Bekkem KritzaQBPSU@ TEM9/12pass yds≈base143.2
130+
40%
140+
38%
150+
36%
160+
33%
92Danny O'NeilQBWISvs WIU9/12pass yds≈base142.8
130+
40%
140+
38%
150+
36%
160+
33%
93Deyon BatisteQBWYOvs UNCO9/12pass yds≈base141.6
130+
39%
140+
37%
150+
35%
160+
32%
94AJ SuraceQBRUTG@ BC9/11pass yds≈base139.7
130+
38%
140+
36%
150+
34%
160+
31%
95Cardell WilliamsQBSAC@ FRES9/13pass yds≈base139.5
130+
38%
140+
36%
150+
34%
160+
31%
96Cameran BrownQBGAST@ KENN9/12pass yds≈base138.4
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
97Lunch WinfieldQBUL@ USC9/13pass yds≈base137.3
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
98Deuce BaileyQBMOSTvs LIN9/12pass yds≈base137.1
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
99Brian PlummerQBBUF@ FIU9/12pass yds≈base136.8
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
100Nick DemchukQBAKRvs RMU9/12pass yds≈base136.5
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
100 of 2,425
Informational only — our own model's probabilities, not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.