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Player Props

2026 · week 13
Our model's chance each player clears a number, if he plays — not a market price, and no claim to beat one. Tested on 1.8M unseen player-games (2018-2025); no band off by more than 5 points. ≈base = barely better than knowing the player's volume.
Week123456789101112131415
Stat
PosTeamSort
2,336 props
showing 100 · click a column to sort
#PlayerPosTmGameStatProj ↓ChanceBook
1Joey AguilarQBTENN@ VAN11/28pass yds≈base271.9
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
325+
22%
2Josh HooverQBTCU@ TTU11/27pass yds≈base270.1
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
325+
22%
3Jayden MaiavaQBUSC@ UCLA11/28pass yds≈base250.7
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
4Jalen KitnaQBUAB@ UNT11/28pass yds≈base250
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
5Trinidad ChamblissQBMISSvs MSST11/27pass yds≈base249.9
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
6Julian SayinQBOSUvs MICH11/28pass yds≈base249.7
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
7Caden VeltkampQBFAU@ ECU11/27pass yds≈base248.5
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
8Drew MestemakerQBUNTvs UAB11/28pass yds≈base243.9
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
9Kevin JenningsQBSMU@ STAN11/28pass yds≈base239.5
225+
59%
250+
49%
275+
38%
300+
29%
10Jaron-Keawe SagapoluteleQBCALvs PITT11/28pass yds≈base235.5
200+
66%
225+
57%
250+
47%
275+
37%
11Micah AlejadoQBHAWvs SAC11/28pass yds≈base235.1
200+
66%
225+
57%
250+
47%
275+
37%
12Darian MensahQBDUKE@ WAKE11/28pass yds≈base233.2
200+
65%
225+
56%
250+
46%
275+
36%
13Malik WashingtonQBMDvs PSU11/28pass yds≈base231.7
200+
65%
225+
55%
250+
46%
275+
36%
14Owen McCownQBUTSAvs TLSA11/28pass yds≈base231.5
200+
65%
225+
55%
250+
46%
275+
36%
15Marcel ReedQBTA&Mvs TEX11/28pass yds≈base226.2
200+
63%
225+
53%
250+
43%
275+
34%
16CJ CarrQBND@ SYR11/28pass yds≈base223.7
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
17Jaylen RaynorQBARSTvs TROY11/28pass yds≈base223.6
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
18Brendan SorsbyQBCIN@ BYU11/28pass yds≈base223.5
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
19Noah FifitaQBARIZvs ASU11/28pass yds≈base222.8
200+
61%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
20Nick MinicucciQBDELvs JXST11/28pass yds≈base222.7
200+
61%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
21John MateerQBOU@ MIZ11/28pass yds≈base221.7
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
33%
22CJ BaileyQBNCSU@ UNC11/28pass yds≈base221.5
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
23Bear BachmeierQBBYUvs CIN11/28pass yds≈base221.1
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
24Arch ManningQBTEX@ TA&M11/28pass yds≈base220.2
200+
60%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
25Dante MooreQBOREvs WASH11/28pass yds≈base219.2
200+
60%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
32%
26Anthony ColandreaQBUNLVvs NEV11/29pass yds≈base219.1
200+
60%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
32%
27Jake RetzlaffQBTULN@ USF11/27pass yds≈base217.6
200+
59%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
31%
28Steve AngeliQBSYRvs ND11/28pass yds≈base212.1
175+
66%
200+
57%
225+
48%
250+
38%
29Bryce UnderwoodQBMICH@ OSU11/28pass yds≈base210.5
175+
66%
200+
57%
225+
47%
250+
37%
30Devon DampierQBUTAHvs WVU11/28pass yds≈base207.3
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
46%
250+
36%
31Dylan RaiolaQBNEB@ IOWA11/27pass yds≈base206.6
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
45%
250+
35%
32Sam LeavittQBASU@ ARIZ11/28pass yds≈base206.4
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
45%
250+
35%
33Gunner StocktonQBUGAvs GT11/28pass yds≈base205.1
175+
63%
200+
54%
225+
45%
250+
35%
34Colton JosephQBODUvs USM11/28pass yds≈base203.5
175+
63%
200+
53%
225+
44%
250+
34%
35Conner WeigmanQBHOUvs BAY11/28pass yds≈base203.1
175+
63%
200+
53%
225+
44%
250+
34%
36Jack LayneQBUNMvs AF11/28pass yds≈base202.4
175+
62%
200+
53%
225+
43%
250+
34%
37Rocco BechtQBISUvs KSU11/28pass yds≈base202.2
175+
62%
200+
53%
225+
43%
250+
34%
38Demond Williams Jr.QBWASH@ ORE11/28pass yds≈base201.4
175+
62%
200+
52%
225+
43%
250+
34%
39Drake LindseyQBMINN@ WIS11/28pass yds≈base198.2
175+
61%
200+
51%
225+
42%
250+
32%
40Baylor HayesQBTLSA@ UTSA11/28pass yds≈base198
175+
60%
200+
51%
225+
42%
250+
32%
41LaNorris SellersQBSC@ CLEM11/28pass yds≈base197.1
175+
60%
200+
50%
225+
41%
250+
32%
42Avery JohnsonQBKSU@ ISU11/28pass yds≈base196.9
175+
60%
200+
50%
225+
41%
250+
32%
43Nico IamaleavaQBUCLAvs USC11/28pass yds≈base195.1
175+
59%
200+
50%
225+
40%
250+
31%
44Aidan ChilesQBMSU@ RUTG11/28pass yds≈base193.6
175+
59%
200+
49%
225+
40%
250+
31%
45Dylan LonerganQBBC@ MIA11/28pass yds≈base193.3
175+
58%
200+
49%
225+
40%
250+
31%
46Eli HolsteinQBPITT@ CAL11/28pass yds≈base192.4
175+
58%
200+
48%
225+
39%
250+
30%
47JC French IVQBGASOvs LT11/28pass yds≈base191.1
175+
57%
200+
48%
225+
39%
250+
30%
48Ethan VaskoQBLIB@ MOST11/28pass yds≈base190.7
175+
57%
200+
47%
225+
39%
250+
30%
49Alonza Barnett IIIQBJMUvs CCU11/28pass yds≈base190.1
175+
57%
200+
47%
225+
38%
250+
30%
50DJ LagwayQBFLA@ FSU11/27pass yds≈base188.6
175+
56%
200+
47%
225+
38%
250+
29%
51JJ KohlQBAPP@ USA11/27pass yds≈base187.5
150+
64%
175+
56%
200+
46%
225+
37%
52Amari OdomQBKENN@ WKU11/28pass yds≈base184.3
150+
62%
175+
54%
200+
45%
225+
36%
53Rodney Tisdale Jr.QBWKUvs KENN11/28pass yds≈base183.8
150+
62%
175+
54%
200+
44%
225+
36%
54Keyone JenkinsQBFIUvs SHSU11/28pass yds≈base182.7
150+
61%
175+
53%
200+
44%
225+
36%
55Carlos Del Rio-WilsonQBMRSH@ ULM11/28pass yds≈base180.1
150+
60%
175+
52%
200+
43%
225+
35%
56Dru DeShieldsQBKENT@ EMU11/24pass yds≈base179.6
150+
60%
175+
52%
200+
43%
225+
34%
57Tayven JacksonQBUCF@ COLO11/28pass yds≈base179.3
150+
59%
175+
52%
200+
42%
225+
34%
58Cutter BoleyQBUKvs LOU11/28pass yds≈base176.8
150+
58%
175+
50%
200+
41%
225+
33%
59Gio LopezQBUNCvs NCSU11/28pass yds≈base172
150+
55%
175+
48%
200+
39%
225+
31%
60Blake BakerQBLT@ GASO11/28pass yds≈base172
150+
55%
175+
48%
200+
39%
225+
31%
61Zane FloresQBOKSTvs KU11/28pass yds≈base171.6
150+
55%
175+
47%
200+
39%
225+
31%
62Keelon RussellQBALAvs AUB11/28pass yds≈base170.3
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
38%
225+
30%
63Goose CrowderQBTROY@ ARST11/28pass yds≈base170.3
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
38%
225+
30%
64Luke McNultyQBCLTvs NAVY11/28pass yds≈base169.6
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
37%
225+
30%
65Blake HorvathQBNAVY@ CLT11/28pass yds≈base167.9
150+
52%
175+
45%
200+
37%
225+
29%
66Julian LewisQBCOLOvs UCF11/28pass yds≈base167.5
150+
52%
175+
45%
200+
36%
225+
29%
67Jackson ProctorQBNIUvs UTEP11/28pass yds≈base165.9
150+
51%
175+
44%
200+
35%
225+
28%
68Liam SzarkaQBAF@ UNM11/28pass yds≈base165.2
150+
51%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
28%
69Jackson ArnoldQBAUB@ ALA11/28pass yds≈base165.1
150+
50%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
28%
70Beau PribulaQBMIZvs OU11/28pass yds≈base164.3
150+
50%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
27%
71Roman GaglianoQBMTSUvs NMSU11/28pass yds≈base163.6
150+
49%
175+
42%
200+
34%
225+
27%
72Michael Van Buren Jr.QBLSU@ ARK11/28pass yds≈base161.4
125+
56%
150+
48%
175+
41%
200+
33%
73Bishop DavenportQBUSAvs APP11/27pass yds≈base160.2
125+
55%
150+
47%
175+
40%
200+
32%
74Ryan BrowneQBPUR@ IU11/28pass yds≈base157.4
125+
53%
150+
45%
175+
38%
200+
31%
75Aidan LefflerQBBALLvs CMU11/28pass yds≈base155.4
125+
51%
150+
44%
175+
37%
200+
30%
76Scotty Fox Jr.QBWVU@ UTAH11/28pass yds≈base155.3
125+
51%
150+
44%
175+
37%
200+
30%
77Kaden MartiranoQBNEV@ UNLV11/29pass yds≈base153.7
125+
50%
150+
43%
175+
36%
200+
29%
78Baron MayQBBGSUvs MASS11/28pass yds≈base151.6
125+
48%
150+
41%
175+
34%
200+
28%
79Thomas GotkowskiQBM-OH@ WMU11/24pass yds≈base149.8
140+
43%
150+
40%
160+
38%
170+
35%
80Skyler LocklearQBUTEP@ NIU11/28pass yds≈base148.9
140+
42%
150+
39%
160+
37%
170+
34%
81KJ JacksonQBARKvs LSU11/28pass yds≈base147.6
140+
41%
150+
39%
160+
36%
170+
34%
82Aidan ArmentaQBULMvs MRSH11/28pass yds≈base146.3
140+
40%
150+
38%
160+
35%
170+
33%
83Parker AwadQBNMSU@ MTSU11/28pass yds≈base143.7
130+
40%
140+
38%
150+
36%
160+
34%
84Bekkem KritzaQBPSU@ MD11/28pass yds≈base143.2
130+
40%
140+
38%
150+
36%
160+
33%
85Danny O'NeilQBWISvs MINN11/28pass yds≈base142.8
130+
40%
140+
38%
150+
36%
160+
33%
86Deyon BatisteQBWYOvs CONN11/28pass yds≈base141.6
130+
39%
140+
37%
150+
35%
160+
32%
87AJ SuraceQBRUTGvs MSU11/28pass yds≈base139.7
130+
38%
140+
36%
150+
34%
160+
31%
88Cardell WilliamsQBSAC@ HAW11/28pass yds≈base139.5
130+
38%
140+
36%
150+
34%
160+
31%
89Cameran BrownQBGASTvs UL11/28pass yds≈base138.4
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
90Lunch WinfieldQBUL@ GAST11/28pass yds≈base137.3
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
91Deuce BaileyQBMOSTvs LIB11/28pass yds≈base137.1
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
92Brian PlummerQBBUF@ AKR11/27pass yds≈base136.8
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
93Nick DemchukQBAKRvs BUF11/27pass yds≈base136.5
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
94Trent PearmanQBCLEMvs SC11/28pass yds≈base135.6
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
95Will HammondQBTTUvs TCU11/27pass yds≈base134.1
120+
39%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
96Hunter WatsonQBSHSU@ FIU11/28pass yds≈base132.9
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
97Brady AllenQBLOU@ UK11/28pass yds≈base132.5
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
98Jaylen KingQBFSUvs FLA11/27pass yds≈base132.2
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
99Trey DrakeQBNDSU@ SJSU11/27pass yds≈base130.9
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
100John WhiteQBUSM@ ODU11/28pass yds≈base130.8
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
100 of 2,336
Informational only — our own model's probabilities, not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.