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Player Props

2026 · week 3
Our model's chance each player clears a number, if he plays — not a market price, and no claim to beat one. Tested on 1.8M unseen player-games (2018-2025); no band off by more than 5 points. ≈base = barely better than knowing the player's volume.
Week123456789101112131415
Stat
PosTeamSort
2,371 props
showing 100 · click a column to sort
#PlayerPosTmGameStatProj ↓ChanceBook
1Joey AguilarQBTENNvs KENN9/19pass yds≈base271.9
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
325+
22%
2Josh HooverQBTCUvs ARST9/20pass yds≈base270.1
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
325+
22%
3Jayden MaiavaQBUSC@ RUTG9/19pass yds≈base250.7
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
4Jalen KitnaQBUAB@ UL9/20pass yds≈base250
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
5Trinidad ChamblissQBMISSvs LSU9/19pass yds≈base249.9
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
6Julian SayinQBOSUvs KENT9/19pass yds≈base249.7
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
7Caden VeltkampQBFAUvs FIU9/19pass yds≈base248.5
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
8Drew MestemakerQBUNT@ TXST9/20pass yds≈base243.9
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
9Kevin JenningsQBSMU@ LOU9/19pass yds≈base239.5
225+
59%
250+
49%
275+
38%
300+
29%
10Jaron-Keawe SagapoluteleQBCALvs WAG9/19pass yds≈base235.5
200+
66%
225+
57%
250+
47%
275+
37%
11Darian MensahQBDUKEvs STAN9/19pass yds≈base233.2
200+
65%
225+
56%
250+
46%
275+
36%
12Brad JacksonQBTXSTvs UNT9/20pass yds≈base232
200+
65%
225+
56%
250+
46%
275+
36%
13Malik WashingtonQBMDvs VT9/19pass yds≈base231.7
200+
65%
225+
55%
250+
46%
275+
36%
14Owen McCownQBUTSA@ TEX9/20pass yds≈base231.5
200+
65%
225+
55%
250+
46%
275+
36%
15Marcel ReedQBTA&Mvs UK9/19pass yds≈base226.2
200+
63%
225+
53%
250+
43%
275+
34%
16CJ CarrQBNDvs MSU9/19pass yds≈base223.7
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
17Jaylen RaynorQBARST@ TCU9/20pass yds≈base223.6
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
18Brendan SorsbyQBCINvs M-OH9/19pass yds≈base223.5
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
19Noah FifitaQBARIZvs NIU9/20pass yds≈base222.8
200+
61%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
20Nick MinicucciQBDELvs CCU9/19pass yds≈base222.7
200+
61%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
21John MateerQBOUvs UNM9/19pass yds≈base221.7
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
33%
22CJ BaileyQBNCSU@ VAN9/19pass yds≈base221.5
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
23Bear BachmeierQBBYU@ CSU9/19pass yds≈base221.1
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
24Arch ManningQBTEXvs UTSA9/20pass yds≈base220.2
200+
60%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
25Dante MooreQBOREvs PRST9/19pass yds≈base219.2
200+
60%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
32%
26Jake RetzlaffQBTULN@ KSU9/19pass yds≈base217.6
200+
59%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
31%
27Steve AngeliQBSYR@ PITT9/17pass yds≈base212.1
175+
66%
200+
57%
225+
48%
250+
38%
28Bryce UnderwoodQBMICHvs UTEP9/19pass yds≈base210.5
175+
66%
200+
57%
225+
47%
250+
37%
29Maddux MadsenQBBOISvs SDAK9/20pass yds≈base208.1
175+
65%
200+
56%
225+
46%
250+
36%
30Devon DampierQBUTAHvs USU9/19pass yds≈base207.3
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
46%
250+
36%
31Dylan RaiolaQBNEBvs UND9/19pass yds≈base206.6
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
45%
250+
35%
32Sam LeavittQBASU@ KU9/19pass yds≈base206.4
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
45%
250+
35%
33Maalik MurphyQBORSTvs MONT9/20pass yds≈base205.3
175+
63%
200+
54%
225+
45%
250+
35%
34Gunner StocktonQBUGA@ ARK9/19pass yds≈base205.1
175+
63%
200+
54%
225+
45%
250+
35%
35Colton JosephQBODUvs ECU9/19pass yds≈base203.5
175+
63%
200+
53%
225+
44%
250+
34%
36Conner WeigmanQBHOU@ TTU9/19pass yds≈base203.1
175+
63%
200+
53%
225+
44%
250+
34%
37Jack LayneQBUNM@ OU9/19pass yds≈base202.4
175+
62%
200+
53%
225+
43%
250+
34%
38Rocco BechtQBISUvs BGSU9/19pass yds≈base202.2
175+
62%
200+
53%
225+
43%
250+
34%
39Demond Williams Jr.QBWASHvs EWU9/19pass yds≈base201.4
175+
62%
200+
52%
225+
43%
250+
34%
40Brayden Fowler-NicolosiQBCSUvs BYU9/19pass yds≈base198.8
175+
61%
200+
51%
225+
42%
250+
33%
41Drake LindseyQBMINNvs AKR9/19pass yds≈base198.2
175+
61%
200+
51%
225+
42%
250+
32%
42Baylor HayesQBTLSAvs ETAM9/20pass yds≈base198
175+
60%
200+
51%
225+
42%
250+
32%
43LaNorris SellersQBSCvs MSST9/19pass yds≈base197.1
175+
60%
200+
50%
225+
41%
250+
32%
44Avery JohnsonQBKSUvs TULN9/19pass yds≈base196.9
175+
60%
200+
50%
225+
41%
250+
32%
45Nico IamaleavaQBUCLAvs PUR9/20pass yds≈base195.1
175+
59%
200+
50%
225+
40%
250+
31%
46Aidan ChilesQBMSU@ ND9/19pass yds≈base193.6
175+
59%
200+
49%
225+
40%
250+
31%
47Dylan LonerganQBBCvs ME9/19pass yds≈base193.3
175+
58%
200+
49%
225+
40%
250+
31%
48Eli HolsteinQBPITTvs SYR9/17pass yds≈base192.4
175+
58%
200+
48%
225+
39%
250+
30%
49JC French IVQBGASO@ JXST9/19pass yds≈base191.1
175+
57%
200+
48%
225+
39%
250+
30%
50Ethan VaskoQBLIBvs BALL9/19pass yds≈base190.7
175+
57%
200+
47%
225+
39%
250+
30%
51Alonza Barnett IIIQBJMU@ SDSU9/20pass yds≈base190.1
175+
57%
200+
47%
225+
38%
250+
30%
52DJ LagwayQBFLA@ AUB9/19pass yds≈base188.6
175+
56%
200+
47%
225+
38%
250+
29%
53Jaxon PotterQBWSUvs DUQ9/19pass yds≈base187.9
175+
56%
200+
46%
225+
38%
250+
29%
54JJ KohlQBAPPvs CLT9/19pass yds≈base187.5
150+
64%
175+
56%
200+
46%
225+
37%
55Amari OdomQBKENN@ TENN9/19pass yds≈base184.3
150+
62%
175+
54%
200+
45%
225+
36%
56Rodney Tisdale Jr.QBWKU@ IU9/19pass yds≈base183.8
150+
62%
175+
54%
200+
44%
225+
36%
57Keyone JenkinsQBFIU@ FAU9/19pass yds≈base182.7
150+
61%
175+
53%
200+
44%
225+
36%
58Carlos Del Rio-WilsonQBMRSH@ MOST9/19pass yds≈base180.1
150+
60%
175+
52%
200+
43%
225+
35%
59Dru DeShieldsQBKENT@ OSU9/19pass yds≈base179.6
150+
60%
175+
52%
200+
43%
225+
34%
60Tayven JacksonQBUCFvs GAST9/19pass yds≈base179.3
150+
59%
175+
52%
200+
42%
225+
34%
61Cutter BoleyQBUK@ TA&M9/19pass yds≈base176.8
150+
58%
175+
50%
200+
41%
225+
33%
62Gio LopezQBUNC@ CLEM9/19pass yds≈base172
150+
55%
175+
48%
200+
39%
225+
31%
63Blake BakerQBLT@ BAY9/19pass yds≈base172
150+
55%
175+
48%
200+
39%
225+
31%
64Zane FloresQBOKSTvs MUR9/19pass yds≈base171.6
150+
55%
175+
47%
200+
39%
225+
31%
65Goose CrowderQBTROY@ MIZ9/19pass yds≈base170.3
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
38%
225+
30%
66Keelon RussellQBALAvs FSU9/19pass yds≈base170.3
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
38%
225+
30%
67Luke McNultyQBCLT@ APP9/19pass yds≈base169.6
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
37%
225+
30%
68Julian LewisQBCOLO@ NU9/19pass yds≈base167.5
150+
52%
175+
45%
200+
36%
225+
29%
69Jackson ProctorQBNIU@ ARIZ9/20pass yds≈base165.9
150+
51%
175+
44%
200+
35%
225+
28%
70Jackson ArnoldQBAUBvs FLA9/19pass yds≈base165.1
150+
50%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
28%
71Beau PribulaQBMIZvs TROY9/19pass yds≈base164.3
150+
50%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
27%
72Roman GaglianoQBMTSUvs NEV9/19pass yds≈base163.6
150+
49%
175+
42%
200+
34%
225+
27%
73Jayden DenegalQBSDSUvs JMU9/20pass yds≈base162
125+
56%
150+
48%
175+
41%
200+
33%
74Michael Van Buren Jr.QBLSU@ MISS9/19pass yds≈base161.4
125+
56%
150+
48%
175+
41%
200+
33%
75Bishop DavenportQBUSAvs OHIO9/19pass yds≈base160.2
125+
55%
150+
47%
175+
40%
200+
32%
76Carson ConklinQBFRES@ SJSU9/20pass yds≈base159.9
125+
55%
150+
47%
175+
40%
200+
32%
77Ryan BrowneQBPUR@ UCLA9/20pass yds≈base157.4
125+
53%
150+
45%
175+
38%
200+
31%
78Aidan LefflerQBBALL@ LIB9/19pass yds≈base155.4
125+
51%
150+
44%
175+
37%
200+
30%
79Scotty Fox Jr.QBWVU@ UVA9/19pass yds≈base155.3
125+
51%
150+
44%
175+
37%
200+
30%
80Kaden MartiranoQBNEV@ MTSU9/19pass yds≈base153.7
125+
50%
150+
43%
175+
36%
200+
29%
81Baron MayQBBGSU@ ISU9/19pass yds≈base151.6
125+
48%
150+
41%
175+
34%
200+
28%
82Thomas GotkowskiQBM-OH@ CIN9/19pass yds≈base149.8
140+
43%
150+
40%
160+
38%
170+
35%
83Skyler LocklearQBUTEP@ MICH9/19pass yds≈base148.9
140+
42%
150+
39%
160+
37%
170+
34%
84KJ JacksonQBARKvs UGA9/19pass yds≈base147.6
140+
41%
150+
39%
160+
36%
170+
34%
85Aidan ArmentaQBULMvs SELA9/19pass yds≈base146.3
140+
40%
150+
38%
160+
35%
170+
33%
86Bekkem KritzaQBPSUvs BUF9/19pass yds≈base143.2
130+
40%
140+
38%
150+
36%
160+
33%
87Danny O'NeilQBWISvs EMU9/19pass yds≈base142.8
130+
40%
140+
38%
150+
36%
160+
33%
88Deyon BatisteQBWYO@ CMU9/19pass yds≈base141.6
130+
39%
140+
37%
150+
35%
160+
32%
89AJ SuraceQBRUTGvs USC9/19pass yds≈base139.7
130+
38%
140+
36%
150+
34%
160+
31%
90Cardell WilliamsQBSACvs NDSU9/20pass yds≈base139.5
130+
38%
140+
36%
150+
34%
160+
31%
91Cameran BrownQBGAST@ UCF9/19pass yds≈base138.4
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
92Lunch WinfieldQBULvs UAB9/20pass yds≈base137.3
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
93Deuce BaileyQBMOSTvs MRSH9/19pass yds≈base137.1
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
94Brian PlummerQBBUF@ PSU9/19pass yds≈base136.8
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
95Nick DemchukQBAKR@ MINN9/19pass yds≈base136.5
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
96Trent PearmanQBCLEMvs UNC9/19pass yds≈base135.6
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
97Will HammondQBTTUvs HOU9/19pass yds≈base134.1
120+
39%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
98Hunter WatsonQBSHSUvs NICH9/19pass yds≈base132.9
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
99Brady AllenQBLOUvs SMU9/19pass yds≈base132.5
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
100Jaylen KingQBFSU@ ALA9/19pass yds≈base132.2
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
100 of 2,371
Informational only — our own model's probabilities, not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.