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Player Props

2026 · week 9
Our model's chance each player clears a number, if he plays — not a market price, and no claim to beat one. Tested on 1.8M unseen player-games (2018-2025); no band off by more than 5 points. ≈base = barely better than knowing the player's volume.
Week123456789101112131415
Stat
PosTeamSort
2,011 props
showing 100 · click a column to sort
#PlayerPosTmGameStatProj ↓ChanceBook
1Josh HooverQBTCUvs KU10/31pass yds≈base270.1
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
325+
22%
2Jayden MaiavaQBUSCvs OSU10/31pass yds≈base250.7
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
3Jalen KitnaQBUAB@ USF10/31pass yds≈base250
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
4Trinidad ChamblissQBMISSvs AUB10/31pass yds≈base249.9
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
5Julian SayinQBOSU@ USC10/31pass yds≈base249.7
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
6Caden VeltkampQBFAU@ UNT10/29pass yds≈base248.5
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
7Drew MestemakerQBUNTvs FAU10/29pass yds≈base243.9
225+
60%
250+
51%
275+
40%
300+
30%
8Kevin JenningsQBSMU@ SYR10/31pass yds≈base239.5
225+
59%
250+
49%
275+
38%
300+
29%
9Jaron-Keawe SagapoluteleQBCAL@ NCSU10/31pass yds≈base235.5
200+
66%
225+
57%
250+
47%
275+
37%
10Darian MensahQBDUKEvs BC10/31pass yds≈base233.2
200+
65%
225+
56%
250+
46%
275+
36%
11Brad JacksonQBTXST@ BOIS11/1pass yds≈base232
200+
65%
225+
56%
250+
46%
275+
36%
12Malik WashingtonQBMDvs ILL10/31pass yds≈base231.7
200+
65%
225+
55%
250+
46%
275+
36%
13CJ CarrQBND@ NAVY10/31pass yds≈base223.7
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
14Brendan SorsbyQBCINvs UTAH10/31pass yds≈base223.5
200+
62%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
15Noah FifitaQBARIZ@ TTU10/31pass yds≈base222.8
200+
61%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
16Nick MinicucciQBDEL@ WKU10/27pass yds≈base222.7
200+
61%
225+
52%
250+
42%
275+
33%
17John MateerQBOUvs SC10/31pass yds≈base221.7
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
33%
18CJ BaileyQBNCSUvs CAL10/31pass yds≈base221.5
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
19Bear BachmeierQBBYUvs ASU10/31pass yds≈base221.1
200+
61%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
20Arch ManningQBTEXvs MSST10/31pass yds≈base220.2
200+
60%
225+
51%
250+
41%
275+
32%
21Dante MooreQBOREvs NU10/31pass yds≈base219.2
200+
60%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
32%
22Anthony ColandreaQBUNLVvs NIU11/1pass yds≈base219.1
200+
60%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
32%
23Jake RetzlaffQBTULN@ CLT10/30pass yds≈base217.6
200+
59%
225+
50%
250+
40%
275+
31%
24Steve AngeliQBSYRvs SMU10/31pass yds≈base212.1
175+
66%
200+
57%
225+
48%
250+
38%
25Bryce UnderwoodQBMICH@ RUTG10/31pass yds≈base210.5
175+
66%
200+
57%
225+
47%
250+
37%
26Maddux MadsenQBBOISvs TXST11/1pass yds≈base208.1
175+
65%
200+
56%
225+
46%
250+
36%
27Devon DampierQBUTAH@ CIN10/31pass yds≈base207.3
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
46%
250+
36%
28Dylan RaiolaQBNEBvs WASH10/31pass yds≈base206.6
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
45%
250+
35%
29Sam LeavittQBASU@ BYU10/31pass yds≈base206.4
175+
64%
200+
55%
225+
45%
250+
35%
30Maalik MurphyQBORST@ FRES10/31pass yds≈base205.3
175+
63%
200+
54%
225+
45%
250+
35%
31Gunner StocktonQBUGAvs FLA10/31pass yds≈base205.1
175+
63%
200+
54%
225+
45%
250+
35%
32Colton JosephQBODUvs MRSH10/31pass yds≈base203.5
175+
63%
200+
53%
225+
44%
250+
34%
33Jack LayneQBUNM@ SJSU10/31pass yds≈base202.4
175+
62%
200+
53%
225+
43%
250+
34%
34Rocco BechtQBISUvs OKST10/31pass yds≈base202.2
175+
62%
200+
53%
225+
43%
250+
34%
35Demond Williams Jr.QBWASH@ NEB10/31pass yds≈base201.4
175+
62%
200+
52%
225+
43%
250+
34%
36Brayden Fowler-NicolosiQBCSU@ USU10/31pass yds≈base198.8
175+
61%
200+
51%
225+
42%
250+
33%
37Drake LindseyQBMINN@ IU10/31pass yds≈base198.2
175+
61%
200+
51%
225+
42%
250+
32%
38LaNorris SellersQBSC@ OU10/31pass yds≈base197.1
175+
60%
200+
50%
225+
41%
250+
32%
39Avery JohnsonQBKSU@ COLO10/31pass yds≈base196.9
175+
60%
200+
50%
225+
41%
250+
32%
40Nico IamaleavaQBUCLAvs NEV10/31pass yds≈base195.1
175+
59%
200+
50%
225+
40%
250+
31%
41Dylan LonerganQBBC@ DUKE10/31pass yds≈base193.3
175+
58%
200+
49%
225+
40%
250+
31%
42Eli HolsteinQBPITTvs GT10/31pass yds≈base192.4
175+
58%
200+
48%
225+
39%
250+
30%
43JC French IVQBGASOvs APP10/31pass yds≈base191.1
175+
57%
200+
48%
225+
39%
250+
30%
44Ethan VaskoQBLIBvs FIU10/31pass yds≈base190.7
175+
57%
200+
47%
225+
39%
250+
30%
45Alonza Barnett IIIQBJMUvs TROY10/29pass yds≈base190.1
175+
57%
200+
47%
225+
38%
250+
30%
46DJ LagwayQBFLA@ UGA10/31pass yds≈base188.6
175+
56%
200+
47%
225+
38%
250+
29%
47Jaxon PotterQBWSU@ SDSU10/31pass yds≈base187.9
175+
56%
200+
46%
225+
38%
250+
29%
48JJ KohlQBAPP@ GASO10/31pass yds≈base187.5
150+
64%
175+
56%
200+
46%
225+
37%
49Amari OdomQBKENN@ MTSU10/28pass yds≈base184.3
150+
62%
175+
54%
200+
45%
225+
36%
50Rodney Tisdale Jr.QBWKUvs DEL10/27pass yds≈base183.8
150+
62%
175+
54%
200+
44%
225+
36%
51Keyone JenkinsQBFIU@ LIB10/31pass yds≈base182.7
150+
61%
175+
53%
200+
44%
225+
36%
52Carlos Del Rio-WilsonQBMRSH@ ODU10/31pass yds≈base180.1
150+
60%
175+
52%
200+
43%
225+
35%
53Dru DeShieldsQBKENT@ SAC10/31pass yds≈base179.6
150+
60%
175+
52%
200+
43%
225+
34%
54Tayven JacksonQBUCFvs BAY10/30pass yds≈base179.3
150+
59%
175+
52%
200+
42%
225+
34%
55Gio LopezQBUNCvs MIA10/31pass yds≈base172
150+
55%
175+
48%
200+
39%
225+
31%
56Blake BakerQBLT@ USA10/31pass yds≈base172
150+
55%
175+
48%
200+
39%
225+
31%
57Zane FloresQBOKST@ ISU10/31pass yds≈base171.6
150+
55%
175+
47%
200+
39%
225+
31%
58Goose CrowderQBTROY@ JMU10/29pass yds≈base170.3
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
38%
225+
30%
59Luke McNultyQBCLTvs TULN10/30pass yds≈base169.6
150+
54%
175+
46%
200+
37%
225+
30%
60Blake HorvathQBNAVYvs ND10/31pass yds≈base167.9
150+
52%
175+
45%
200+
37%
225+
29%
61Julian LewisQBCOLOvs KSU10/31pass yds≈base167.5
150+
52%
175+
45%
200+
36%
225+
29%
62Jackson ProctorQBNIU@ UNLV11/1pass yds≈base165.9
150+
51%
175+
44%
200+
35%
225+
28%
63Liam SzarkaQBAFvs CONN10/31pass yds≈base165.2
150+
51%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
28%
64Jackson ArnoldQBAUB@ MISS10/31pass yds≈base165.1
150+
50%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
28%
65Beau PribulaQBMIZ@ ARK10/31pass yds≈base164.3
150+
50%
175+
43%
200+
35%
225+
27%
66Roman GaglianoQBMTSUvs KENN10/28pass yds≈base163.6
150+
49%
175+
42%
200+
34%
225+
27%
67Jayden DenegalQBSDSUvs WSU10/31pass yds≈base162
125+
56%
150+
48%
175+
41%
200+
33%
68Bishop DavenportQBUSAvs LT10/31pass yds≈base160.2
125+
55%
150+
47%
175+
40%
200+
32%
69Carson ConklinQBFRESvs ORST10/31pass yds≈base159.9
125+
55%
150+
47%
175+
40%
200+
32%
70Ryan BrowneQBPUR@ PSU10/31pass yds≈base157.4
125+
53%
150+
45%
175+
38%
200+
31%
71Kaden MartiranoQBNEV@ UCLA10/31pass yds≈base153.7
125+
50%
150+
43%
175+
36%
200+
29%
72Baron MayQBBGSU@ WMU10/31pass yds≈base151.6
125+
48%
150+
41%
175+
34%
200+
28%
73Skyler LocklearQBUTEP@ NDSU10/31pass yds≈base148.9
140+
42%
150+
39%
160+
37%
170+
34%
74KJ JacksonQBARKvs MIZ10/31pass yds≈base147.6
140+
41%
150+
39%
160+
36%
170+
34%
75Aidan ArmentaQBULMvs USM10/31pass yds≈base146.3
140+
40%
150+
38%
160+
35%
170+
33%
76Parker AwadQBNMSUvs JXST10/29pass yds≈base143.7
130+
40%
140+
38%
150+
36%
160+
34%
77Bekkem KritzaQBPSUvs PUR10/31pass yds≈base143.2
130+
40%
140+
38%
150+
36%
160+
33%
78Danny O'NeilQBWIS@ IOWA10/31pass yds≈base142.8
130+
40%
140+
38%
150+
36%
160+
33%
79AJ SuraceQBRUTGvs MICH10/31pass yds≈base139.7
130+
38%
140+
36%
150+
34%
160+
31%
80Cardell WilliamsQBSACvs KENT10/31pass yds≈base139.5
130+
38%
140+
36%
150+
34%
160+
31%
81Cameran BrownQBGASTvs CCU10/31pass yds≈base138.4
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
82Deuce BaileyQBMOSTvs SHSU10/28pass yds≈base137.1
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
83Trent PearmanQBCLEM@ FSU10/31pass yds≈base135.6
130+
37%
140+
35%
150+
33%
160+
30%
84Will HammondQBTTUvs ARIZ10/31pass yds≈base134.1
120+
39%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
85Hunter WatsonQBSHSU@ MOST10/28pass yds≈base132.9
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
86Brady AllenQBLOUvs STAN10/31pass yds≈base132.5
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
87Jaylen KingQBFSUvs CLEM10/31pass yds≈base132.2
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
88Trey DrakeQBNDSUvs UTEP10/31pass yds≈base130.9
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
89John WhiteQBUSM@ ULM10/31pass yds≈base130.8
120+
38%
130+
36%
140+
34%
150+
32%
90John David BlackQBECUvs TEM10/31pass yds≈base128.2
120+
37%
130+
35%
140+
33%
150+
31%
91Aaron PhiloQBGT@ PITT10/31pass yds≈base127.1
120+
37%
130+
35%
140+
33%
150+
31%
92Broc LowryQBWMUvs BGSU10/31pass yds≈base127
120+
37%
130+
35%
140+
33%
150+
31%
93Caden CreelQBJXST@ NMSU10/29pass yds≈base124.9
110+
39%
120+
37%
130+
35%
140+
33%
94Camren BoykinQBTEM@ ECU10/31pass yds≈base124.2
110+
39%
120+
37%
130+
35%
140+
33%
95Daniel KaelinQBUVA@ WAKE10/31pass yds≈base124
110+
39%
120+
37%
130+
35%
140+
33%
96Locklan HewlettQBUSFvs UAB10/31pass yds≈base123.9
110+
39%
120+
37%
130+
35%
140+
33%
97Nick EversQBCONN@ AF10/31pass yds≈base123.7
110+
39%
120+
37%
130+
35%
140+
33%
98CJ LeeQBSJSUvs UNM10/31pass yds≈base122.3
110+
39%
120+
37%
130+
35%
140+
33%
99CJ TillerQBUSUvs CSU10/31pass yds≈base121.3
110+
38%
120+
36%
130+
34%
140+
33%
100Nate BennettQBBAY@ UCF10/30pass yds≈base117.2
110+
37%
120+
36%
130+
34%
140+
32%
100 of 2,011
Informational only — our own model's probabilities, not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.